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Dubočica vs Sloboda Uzice Result & Analysis

Date: 13/03/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Dubočica
Dubočica
Vs
32%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sloboda Uzice
Sloboda Uzice
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubočica win✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice win✗ Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D02L02L11D21W01L15L01L31W12LH·MAC20/11A·RAD24/11H·BOR01/12A·GRA08/12H·RAD15/12A·FK 15/02H·ZEM22/02A·JAV26/02H·IND02/03A·MLA09/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.700.932.001.071.40
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.001.680.931.931.071.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-27pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Uzice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L11D01L00D01L01L01L22DH·GRA16/11A·RAD23/11H·FK 30/11A·ZEM07/12H·JAV14/12A·IND16/02H·MLA22/02H·OFK26/02A·FK 02/03H·SLO08/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.130.871.000.671.27
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (28)0.791.110.931.070.641.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.6%
Under 1.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.8%
Under 2.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.4%
Under 3.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
Dubočica goals ↓
Sloboda Uzice goals →
01234
011%11%7.1%2.8%0.9%
19.7%15%7.9%3.2%1.0%
26.1%7.4%4.4%1.8%0.5%
32.3%2.7%1.6%0.7%0.2%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dubočica goals (down), columns = Sloboda Uzice goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
Dubočica is 0.27 points better than Sloboda Uzice in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 0.84).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
Dubočica is 0.54 goals better than Sloboda Uzice in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 0.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
Dubočica is 0.41 goals worse than Sloboda Uzice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DubočicaDubočica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L00D01L11D01L11D00D00D00DH·MAC20/11A·RAD24/11H·BOR01/12A·GRA08/12H·RAD15/12A·FK 15/02H·ZEM22/02A·JAV26/02H·IND02/03A·MLA09/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.330.730.530.67
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.680.360.710.570.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Uzice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L00D00D00D00D00D00D00D10WH·GRA16/11A·RAD23/11H·FK 30/11A·ZEM07/12H·JAV14/12A·IND16/02H·MLA22/02H·OFK26/02A·FK 02/03H·SLO08/03
Avg total
0.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.470.400.330.60
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (28)0.430.430.500.430.360.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DubočicaDubočica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L02L10W10W00D04L01L31W12LH·MAC20/11A·RAD24/11H·BOR01/12A·GRA08/12H·RAD15/12A·FK 15/02H·ZEM22/02A·JAV26/02H·IND02/03A·MLA09/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.601.270.530.73
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.541.000.571.210.500.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Uzice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L11D01L00D01L01L01L12LH·GRA16/11A·RAD23/11H·FK 30/11A·ZEM07/12H·JAV14/12A·IND16/02H·MLA22/02H·OFK26/02A·FK 02/03H·SLO08/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.400.600.330.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.360.680.430.640.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
DUB wins
2
Draws
1
SU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dubočica vs Sloboda Uzice · H/A from DUB
DateH/AGameScore
13/10/24ASloboda Uzice Vs DUB1-1
21/04/24HDUB Vs Sloboda Uzice1-1
02/04/24ASloboda Uzice Vs DUB1-0
21/10/23HDUB Vs Sloboda Uzice1-0

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/25AMladost Novi Sad Vs DUB2-1
02/03/25HDUB Vs Indjija3-1
26/02/25AJavor Vs DUB1-0
22/02/25HDUB Vs Zemun1-5
15/02/25AFK Vozdovac Vs DUB1-0
15/12/24HDUB Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica2-1
08/12/24AGrafičar Vs DUB1-1
01/12/24HDUB Vs Borac Cacak0-2
24/11/24ARadnik Surdulica Vs DUB2-0
20/11/24HDUB Vs Macva2-2

Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HSU Vs Sloven Ruma2-2
02/03/25AFK Trayal Vs SU1-0
26/02/25HSU Vs OFK Vršac0-1
22/02/25HSU Vs Mladost Novi Sad0-1
16/02/25AIndjija Vs SU0-0
14/12/24HSU Vs Javor0-1
07/12/24AZemun Vs SU1-1
30/11/24HSU Vs FK Vozdovac0-1
23/11/24ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs SU2-0
16/11/24HSU Vs Grafičar0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dubočica
Dubočica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.04
HomeDLWLW1.15
AwayLDLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%27%17%
AVG goals2.202.421.96
Over 1.5 %68%77%58%
Over 2.5 %36%46%25%
Over 3.5 %18%19%17%
Scored0.860.960.75
Conceded1.341.461.21
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Sloboda Uzice
Sloboda Uzice
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.02
HomeLLLLD1.20
AwayLLDDL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals1.941.882.00
Over 1.5 %58%56%60%
Over 2.5 %22%20%24%
Over 3.5 %14%12%16%
Scored0.820.920.72
Conceded1.120.961.28
BTTS34%36%32%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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