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Dubočica vs Stepojevac Vaga Result & Analysis

Date: 01/03/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Dubočica
Dubočica
Vs
46%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stepojevac Vaga
Stepojevac Vaga
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubočica win✓ Hit
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stepojevac Vaga win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D32W03L23L04L11D02L01L10W22DH·JED24/10H·BOR03/11A·ZEM08/11H·FK 18/11A·SEM23/11H·DIN29/11A·FAP07/12H·LOZ14/12H·OFK15/02A·FK 21/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.471.131.130.801.80
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.001.561.151.150.861.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stepojevac Vaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stepojevac VagaStepojevac Vaga

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L03L21W12L13L12L00D22D00DH·MAC24/10H·KAB31/10A·JED09/11H·BOR14/11A·ZEM22/11H·FK 28/11A·SEM06/12H·DIN12/12A·FAP15/02H·LOZ20/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.380.920.920.831.83
vs Stronger (8)0.501.380.400.800.672.33
vs Similar (16)1.061.381.291.000.891.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
Dubočica goals ↓
Stepojevac Vaga goals →
01234
08.2%6.6%4.3%1.6%0.5%
19.6%13%6.7%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.3%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.3%4.8%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.7%1.9%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dubočica goals (down), columns = Stepojevac Vaga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zemun
2.00
Macva
1.89
FK Vozdovac
1.86
Loznica
1.74
Dinamo Jug
1.59
Semendrija 1924
1.51
Borac Cacak
1.38
Grafičar
1.33
OFK Vršac
1.31
Jedinstvo Ub
1.26
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.26
Kabel Novi Sad
1.10
FAP
1.03
Dubočica
0.95
FK Trayal
0.90
Stepojevac Vaga
0.74
Dubočica is 0.21 points better than Stepojevac Vaga in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 0.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Vozdovac
1.71
Zemun
1.57
Semendrija 1924
1.36
Macva
1.34
Jedinstvo Ub
1.31
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.21
Dinamo Jug
1.13
Borac Cacak
1.10
Loznica
1.06
FAP
1.05
Grafičar
1.05
FK Trayal
1.03
OFK Vršac
1.00
Dubočica
1.00
Kabel Novi Sad
0.97
Stepojevac Vaga
0.79
Dubočica is 0.21 goals better than Stepojevac Vaga in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Loznica
0.74
Macva
0.83
FK Vozdovac
0.83
Dinamo Jug
0.85
Zemun
0.94
Grafičar
0.97
Semendrija 1924
1.00
Borac Cacak
1.03
OFK Vršac
1.03
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.33
Kabel Novi Sad
1.44
FK Trayal
1.44
Jedinstvo Ub
1.49
FAP
1.49
Stepojevac Vaga
1.54
Dubočica
1.54
Dubočica and Stepojevac Vaga are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.54).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DubočicaDubočica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W01L22D00D00D01L00D10W10WH·JED24/10H·BOR03/11A·ZEM08/11H·FK 18/11A·SEM23/11H·DIN29/11A·FAP07/12H·LOZ14/12H·OFK15/02A·FK 21/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.730.400.530.53
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.480.770.380.570.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stepojevac Vaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stepojevac VagaStepojevac Vaga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L11D11D11D00D00D10W00DH·MAC24/10H·KAB31/10A·JED09/11H·BOR14/11A·ZEM22/11H·FK 28/11A·SEM06/12H·DIN12/12A·FAP15/02H·LOZ20/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.460.500.170.250.75
vs Stronger (8)0.380.500.400.000.331.33
vs Similar (16)0.380.440.570.290.220.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stepojevac Vaga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stepojevac Vaga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stepojevac Vaga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DubočicaDubočica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L02L01L04L11D01L01L00D12LH·JED24/10H·BOR03/11A·ZEM08/11H·FK 18/11A·SEM23/11H·DIN29/11A·FAP07/12H·LOZ14/12H·OFK15/02A·FK 21/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.400.730.271.27
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.331.070.380.770.291.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stepojevac Vaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stepojevac VagaStepojevac Vaga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L02L10W01L02L12L00D12L00DH·MAC24/10H·KAB31/10A·JED09/11H·BOR14/11A·ZEM22/11H·FK 28/11A·SEM06/12H·DIN12/12A·FAP15/02H·LOZ20/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.920.420.750.581.08
vs Stronger (8)0.120.880.000.800.331.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.940.710.710.671.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stepojevac Vaga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stepojevac Vaga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stepojevac Vaga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
FV (20)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (5)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
DUB wins
1
Draws
0
SV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dubočica vs Stepojevac Vaga · H/A from DUB
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/25AStepojevac Vaga Vs DUB1-1

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26AFK Trayal Vs DUB2-2
15/02/26HDUB Vs OFK Vršac1-0
14/12/25HDUB Vs Loznica0-1
07/12/25AFAP Vs DUB2-0
29/11/25HDUB Vs Dinamo Jug1-1
23/11/25ASemendrija 1924 Vs DUB4-0
18/11/25HDUB Vs FK Vozdovac2-3
08/11/25AZemun Vs DUB3-0
03/11/25HDUB Vs Borac Cacak3-2
24/10/25HDUB Vs Jedinstvo Ub0-0

Stepojevac VagaStepojevac Vaga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/26HSV Vs Loznica0-0
15/02/26AFAP Vs SV2-2
12/12/25HSV Vs Dinamo Jug0-0
06/12/25ASemendrija 1924 Vs SV2-1
28/11/25HSV Vs FK Vozdovac1-3
22/11/25AZemun Vs SV2-1
14/11/25HSV Vs Borac Cacak2-1
09/11/25AJedinstvo Ub Vs SV3-0
31/10/25HSV Vs Kabel Novi Sad0-1
24/10/25HSV Vs Macva1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dubočica
Dubočica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.06
HomeWLDLW1.27
AwayLLLLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%35%17%
AVG goals2.542.812.25
Over 1.5 %74%77%71%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %28%35%21%
Scored1.041.350.71
Conceded1.501.461.54
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet20%23%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Stepojevac Vaga
Stepojevac Vaga
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDD0.79
HomeLWLDD1.17
AwayLLLLD0.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%25%8%
AVG goals2.251.832.67
Over 1.5 %67%58%75%
Over 2.5 %50%33%67%
Over 3.5 %17%17%17%
Scored0.880.920.83
Conceded1.380.921.83
BTTS58%50%67%
Clean Sheet21%33%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZemunZemun3570
57%
2.0
5533+22
2.5
71%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.60.9
-
2MacvaMacva3566
54%
1.9
4729+18
2.2
71%
40%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.30.8
-
3FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3565
54%
1.9
6029+31
2.5
71%
49%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
4Dinamo JugDinamo Jug3962
41%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
62%
33%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
5LoznicaLoznica3561
49%
1.7
3726+11
1.8
63%
26%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.10.7
-
6Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243959
44%
1.5
5339+14
2.4
67%
41%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.0
-
7Borac CacakBorac Cacak3954
36%
1.4
4340+3
2.1
59%
31%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.0
-
8GrafičarGrafičar3952
36%
1.3
4138+3
2.0
67%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.0
-
9Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3949
31%
1.3
4752-5
2.5
77%
49%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
10OFK VršacOFK Vršac3546
29%
1.3
3536-1
2.0
54%
34%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.0
-
11Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3544
31%
1.3
4652-6
2.8
77%
51%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.5
-
12Kabel Novi SadKabel Novi Sad3943
26%
1.1
3856-18
2.4
69%
46%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
13FAPFAP3940
26%
1.0
4158-17
2.5
74%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
14DubočicaDubočica3937
21%
0.9
3960-21
2.5
77%
51%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.01.5
-
15FK TrayalFK Trayal3935
23%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
74%
38%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
16Stepojevac VagaStepojevac Vaga3929
15%
0.7
3160-29
2.3
69%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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