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Dukagjini vs Ballkani Result & Analysis

Date: 31/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Vs
34%
31%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Dukagjini a 34% win probability against Ballkani in the Kosovo: Superliga on 2026-05-31, with 31% for the draw and 35% for Ballkani. The model estimates around 2.4 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Dukagjini finished 1-0 against Ballkani (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 34% home win, 31% draw and 35% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dukagjini win✓ Hit
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ballkani win✗ Miss
35.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L11D32W01L21W01L00D20W32WH·PRI22/03A·BAL04/04A·PRI13/04A·GJI19/04H·MAL26/04A·FER30/04H·DRE03/05A·LLA10/05H·DRI17/05A·PRI24/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.071.070.931.121.19
vs Stronger (7)0.861.431.000.330.752.25
vs Similar (16)1.060.941.001.291.110.67
vs Weaker (7)1.431.001.250.751.671.33
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W11D24L30W21W01L02L32W12LA·PRI21/03H·DUK04/04H·GJI12/04A·MAL19/04H·FER26/04A·DRE30/04H·LLA03/05A·DRI09/05H·PRI17/05H·PRI24/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.172.001.061.361.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)2.001.002.500.001.502.00
vs Weaker (26)1.651.191.931.211.331.17
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.8%
Under 2.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
Dukagjini goals ↓
Ballkani goals →
01234
011%9.9%6.6%2.6%0.8%
19.8%14%7.8%3.1%0.9%
26.5%7.7%4.6%1.8%0.5%
32.5%3.0%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dukagjini goals (down), columns = Ballkani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.19 points worse than Ballkani in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.53 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Dukagjini is 0.14 goals better than Ballkani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D10W00D10W00D00D20W12LH·PRI22/03A·BAL04/04A·PRI13/04A·GJI19/04H·MAL26/04A·FER30/04H·DRE03/05A·LLA10/05H·DRI17/05A·PRI24/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.500.290.500.50
vs Stronger (7)0.570.290.670.000.500.50
vs Similar (16)0.440.440.430.570.440.33
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.500.000.671.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W10W10W10W00D01L01L11DA·PRI21/03H·DUK04/04H·GJI12/04A·MAL19/04H·FER26/04A·DRE30/04H·LLA03/05A·DRI09/05H·PRI17/05H·PRI24/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.470.940.500.640.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.500.501.500.001.501.00
vs Weaker (26)0.690.460.860.570.500.33
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
DUK wins
2
Draws
6
BAL wins

Head-to-head

Dukagjini vs Ballkani · H/A from DUK
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26ABallkani Vs DUK2-1
21/12/25HDUK Vs Ballkani0-0
19/10/25ABallkani Vs DUK2-0
11/04/25HDUK Vs Ballkani0-5
07/02/25ABallkani Vs DUK1-0
26/10/24HDUK Vs Ballkani0-0
11/08/24ABallkani Vs DUK2-0
05/05/24ABallkani Vs DUK3-0

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26APrishtina e Re Vs DUK2-3
17/05/26HDUK Vs Drita2-0
10/05/26ALlapi Vs DUK0-0
03/05/26HDUK Vs Drenica Skënderaj0-1
30/04/26AFerizaj Vs DUK1-2
26/04/26HDUK Vs Malisheva0-1
19/04/26AGjilani Vs DUK2-3
13/04/26APrishtina Vs DUK1-1
04/04/26ABallkani Vs DUK2-1
22/03/26HDUK Vs Prishtina e Re1-1

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26HBAL Vs Prishtina1-2
17/05/26HBAL Vs Prishtina e Re3-2
09/05/26ADrita Vs BAL2-0
03/05/26HBAL Vs Llapi0-1
30/04/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs BAL1-2
26/04/26HBAL Vs Ferizaj3-0
19/04/26AMalisheva Vs BAL4-2
12/04/26HBAL Vs Gjilani1-1
04/04/26HBAL Vs Dukagjini2-1
21/03/26APrishtina Vs BAL1-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.42
HomeLDLLW1.44
AwayDWWDW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals2.242.322.16
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %36%36%36%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.081.041.12
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.68
HomeDWLWL2.00
AwayWLLWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%60%36%
AVG goals3.002.963.04
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.781.961.60
Conceded1.221.001.44
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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