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Dukagjini vs Ferizaj Result & Analysis

Date: 01/10/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 4-1
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Vs
35%
30%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dukagjini win✓ Hit
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj win✗ Miss
35.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L11D01L01L11D12L03LH·PRI13/08A·DRI20/08H·LLA25/08A·BAL28/08H·GJI04/09A·MAL10/09H·DRE15/09A·TRE18/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.500.751.500.251.50
vs Stronger (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.671.670.751.500.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L00D13L11D00D21W11D03LA·GJI13/08H·PRI21/08A·MAL24/08H·DRI28/08A·DRE04/09H·LLA11/09A·TRE15/09H·BAL19/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.500.751.251.001.75
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.502.00--
vs Similar (6)1.001.331.000.501.001.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.4%
Dukagjini goals ↓
Ferizaj goals →
01234
09.5%8.9%6.4%2.7%0.8%
19.0%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.4%8.0%5.0%2.1%0.7%
32.7%3.4%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dukagjini goals (down), columns = Ferizaj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Dukagjini is 0.25 points better than Ferizaj in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.30 goals better than Ferizaj in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 0.84).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Dukagjini is 0.32 goals better than Ferizaj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L01L01L02L02LA·DRI20/08H·LLA25/08A·BAL28/08H·GJI04/09A·MAL10/09H·DRE15/09A·TRE18/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.141.000.331.000.001.00
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (5)0.201.200.331.000.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D20W00D01LH·PRI21/08A·MAL24/08H·DRI28/08A·DRE04/09H·LLA11/09A·TRE15/09H·BAL19/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.290.500.250.000.33
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Similar (5)0.400.201.000.000.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %71% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L00D00D10W10W01LA·DRI20/08H·LLA25/08A·BAL28/08H·GJI04/09A·MAL10/09H·DRE15/09A·TRE18/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.430.330.330.250.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.330.330.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D00D01L11D02LH·PRI21/08A·MAL24/08H·DRI28/08A·DRE04/09H·LLA11/09A·TRE15/09H·BAL19/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.000.251.000.671.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.501.50--
vs Similar (5)0.400.800.000.500.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DUK wins
0
Draws
0
FER wins

Head-to-head

Dukagjini vs Ferizaj · H/A from DUK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/22ATrepça'89 Vs DUK3-0
15/09/22HDUK Vs Drenica Skënderaj1-2
10/09/22AMalisheva Vs DUK1-1
04/09/22HDUK Vs Gjilani0-1
28/08/22ABallkani Vs DUK1-0
25/08/22HDUK Vs Llapi1-1
20/08/22ADrita Vs DUK1-0
13/08/22HDUK Vs Prishtina1-2

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/22HFER Vs Ballkani0-3
15/09/22ATrepça'89 Vs FER1-1
11/09/22HFER Vs Llapi2-1
04/09/22ADrenica Skënderaj Vs FER0-0
28/08/22HFER Vs Drita1-1
24/08/22AMalisheva Vs FER3-1
21/08/22HFER Vs Prishtina0-0
13/08/22AGjilani Vs FER3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.25
HomeLDLL0.25
AwayLLDL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals2.002.251.75
Over 1.5 %62%75%50%
Over 2.5 %38%50%25%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.500.750.25
Conceded1.501.501.50
BTTS50%75%25%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDL0.88
HomeDDWL1.25
AwayLLDD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%25%0%
AVG goals2.382.002.75
Over 1.5 %75%75%75%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %25%0%50%
Scored0.880.751.00
Conceded1.501.251.75
BTTS62%50%75%
Clean Sheet25%25%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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