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Dukagjini vs Ferizaj Result & Analysis

Date: 13/12/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Vs
41%
34%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dukagjini win✓ Hit
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj win✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L12L10W00D22D21W21W12L01L02LH·DRI28/09A·FER04/10H·LLA20/10H·BAL26/10H·SUH30/10A·GJI02/11H·FER09/11A·MAL23/11H·PRI01/12A·DRI07/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.571.001.200.871.93
vs Stronger (7)0.291.710.501.250.002.33
vs Similar (21)1.141.621.301.301.001.91
vs Weaker (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L21W21W10W11D01L12L00D11D11DA·BAL28/09H·DUK04/10A·GJI18/10A·FER25/10H·MAL31/10A·PRI03/11H·DRI10/11A·SUH24/11A·LLA30/11H·BAL08/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.201.201.000.531.40
vs Stronger (7)0.432.140.671.000.253.00
vs Similar (23)1.000.911.331.000.640.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%025%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
58.8%
Under 1.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.4%
Under 2.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.0%
Under 3.5
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.9%
No
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.8%
1-0 ✓
14.7%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
Dukagjini goals ↓
Ferizaj goals →
01234
016%11%4.9%1.4%0.3%
115%15%5.5%1.5%0.3%
28.9%7.3%3.0%0.8%0.2%
33.3%2.7%1.1%0.3%0.1%
40.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dukagjini goals (down), columns = Ferizaj goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
2.06
Ballkani
1.67
Malisheva
1.47
Gjilani
1.42
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Dukagjini
1.33
Llapi
1.30
Suhareka
1.19
Vushtrria
1.00
Feronikeli
0.44
Dukagjini is 0.06 points worse than Ferizaj in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.64
Drita
1.64
Suhareka
1.36
Gjilani
1.33
Malisheva
1.22
Prishtina
1.17
Ferizaj
1.17
Llapi
1.14
Dukagjini
0.97
Feronikeli
0.69
Vushtrria
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.19 goals worse than Ferizaj in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.17).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vushtrria
0.00
Drita
0.72
Prishtina
1.00
Malisheva
1.08
Llapi
1.11
Ballkani
1.11
Dukagjini
1.25
Ferizaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Feronikeli
1.72
Suhareka
1.72
Dukagjini is 0.06 goals better than Ferizaj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D11D20W00D11D00D01LH·DRI28/09A·FER04/10H·LLA20/10H·BAL26/10H·SUH30/10A·GJI02/11H·FER09/11A·MAL23/11H·PRI01/12A·DRI07/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.400.530.470.93
vs Stronger (7)0.001.000.000.750.001.33
vs Similar (21)0.520.710.600.500.450.91
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W20W00D00D00D00D00D00D01LA·BAL28/09H·DUK04/10A·GJI18/10A·FER25/10H·MAL31/10A·PRI03/11H·DRI10/11A·SUH24/11A·LLA30/11H·BAL08/12
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.370.400.400.200.33
vs Stronger (7)0.000.430.000.330.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.390.350.500.420.270.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W10W00D11D01L21W01L01L01LH·DRI28/09A·FER04/10H·LLA20/10H·BAL26/10H·SUH30/10A·GJI02/11H·FER09/11A·MAL23/11H·PRI01/12A·DRI07/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.600.670.401.00
vs Stronger (7)0.290.710.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.620.900.700.800.551.00
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L01L10W11D01L12L00D11D10WA·BAL28/09H·DUK04/10A·GJI18/10A·FER25/10H·MAL31/10A·PRI03/11H·DRI10/11A·SUH24/11A·LLA30/11H·BAL08/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.800.600.271.13
vs Stronger (7)0.431.710.670.670.252.50
vs Similar (23)0.570.610.830.580.270.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
DUK wins
1
Draws
2
FER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dukagjini vs Ferizaj · H/A from DUK
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/24AFerizaj Vs DUK2-1
28/05/23AFerizaj Vs DUK2-1
02/04/23HDUK Vs Ferizaj3-1
26/11/22AFerizaj Vs DUK0-0
01/10/22HDUK Vs Ferizaj4-1

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/24ADrita Vs DUK2-0
01/12/24HDUK Vs Prishtina0-1
23/11/24AMalisheva Vs DUK2-1
09/11/24HDUK Vs Feronikeli2-1
02/11/24AGjilani Vs DUK1-2
30/10/24HDUK Vs Suhareka2-2
26/10/24HDUK Vs Ballkani0-0
20/10/24HDUK Vs Llapi1-0
04/10/24AFerizaj Vs DUK2-1
28/09/24HDUK Vs Drita0-2

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/24HFER Vs Ballkani1-1
30/11/24ALlapi Vs FER1-1
24/11/24ASuhareka Vs FER0-0
10/11/24HFER Vs Drita1-2
03/11/24APrishtina Vs FER1-0
31/10/24HFER Vs Malisheva1-1
25/10/24AFeronikeli Vs FER0-1
18/10/24AGjilani Vs FER1-2
04/10/24HFER Vs Dukagjini2-1
28/09/24ABallkani Vs FER4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.24
HomeWDDWL1.60
AwayLLWLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.441.843.04
Over 1.5 %72%52%92%
Over 2.5 %48%32%64%
Over 3.5 %22%12%32%
Scored1.060.961.16
Conceded1.380.881.88
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet28%44%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDD1.16
HomeLWDLD1.48
AwayWWLDD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals2.162.401.92
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %40%48%32%
Over 3.5 %14%12%16%
Scored0.841.120.56
Conceded1.321.281.36
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3674
61%
2.1
5926+33
2.4
69%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.60.7
-
2BallkaniBallkani3660
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.8
72%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.1
-
3MalishevaMalisheva3653
39%
1.5
4439+5
2.3
61%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.1
-
4GjilaniGjilani3651
36%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
5FerizajFerizaj3650
39%
1.4
4247-5
2.5
69%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
6PrishtinaPrishtina3648
31%
1.3
4236+6
2.2
61%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.21.0
-
7LlapiLlapi3748
32%
1.3
4241+1
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
8DukagjiniDukagjini3648
36%
1.3
3545-10
2.2
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.01.2
-
9SuharekaSuhareka3643
33%
1.2
4962-13
3.1
89%
72%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10FeronikeliFeronikeli3616
8%
0.4
2562-37
2.4
67%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.7
-
11VushtrriaVushtrria11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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