Dukagjini vs Gjilani Result & Analysis

The clash between Dukagjini and Gjilani is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win at 37%. Home and away win chances sit at 33% and 37% respectively, while a draw is 30%. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modest scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.3% chance. Dukagjini’s home form shows they average 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against against similar opposition, whereas Gjilani, playing away, averages 1.86 for and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include an Under 3.5 with a 77.4% probability (hit) and an Over 1.5 with a 71.0% chance (miss). All figures are presented as percentages, and every selection is listed with its probability. This match remains finely balanced, with neither side clearly dominating the other.

The match finished 0-0, a stalemate that stunned the pre-match favourite, the away side, which had a 37% chance of victory. The model’s call was therefore wrong, as the actual result was a draw. The home team, Dukagjini, had been unbeaten in their last five outings, a run that ended with this goalless tie, while Gjilani, also unbeaten in five, saw their streak halted. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a 77.4% probability, whereas its pick of Over 1.5 missed, at 71.0%. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with 14.3% probability, did not materialise, and the predicted 2-goal total was also off.