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Dukagjini vs Llapi Result & Analysis

Date: 20/10/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 1-0
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Vs
22%
29%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dukagjini win✓ Hit
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Llapi win✗ Miss
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L24L02L13L21W20W13L03L02L12LA·FER18/05H·GJI25/05A·BAL11/08A·SUH17/08H·GJI25/08A·FER31/08H·MAL15/09A·PRI20/09H·DRI28/09A·FER04/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.501.071.140.881.81
vs Stronger (6)0.332.000.671.670.002.33
vs Similar (21)1.051.521.301.100.821.91
vs Weaker (3)1.670.330.000.002.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L22D11D20W01L23L10W10W30W00DA·BRO25/07H·BRO01/08H·GJI10/08A·FER18/08H·MAL24/08A·PRI31/08H·DRI15/09A·FER21/09H·SUH27/09H·BAL06/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.931.250.751.431.14
vs Stronger (7)0.711.861.001.250.332.67
vs Similar (21)1.480.711.360.641.600.80
vs Weaker (2)2.000.001.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.8%
Under 2.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0 ✓
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.9%
Dukagjini goals ↓
Llapi goals →
01234
011%13%10%4.9%1.8%
17.3%14%9.0%4.4%1.6%
23.8%5.6%4.1%2.0%0.7%
31.1%1.7%1.2%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dukagjini goals (down), columns = Llapi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
2.06
Ballkani
1.67
Malisheva
1.47
Gjilani
1.42
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Dukagjini
1.33
Llapi
1.30
Suhareka
1.19
Vushtrria
1.00
Feronikeli
0.44
Dukagjini is 0.04 points better than Llapi in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.30).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.64
Drita
1.64
Suhareka
1.36
Gjilani
1.33
Malisheva
1.22
Prishtina
1.17
Ferizaj
1.17
Llapi
1.14
Dukagjini
0.97
Feronikeli
0.69
Vushtrria
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.16 goals worse than Llapi in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vushtrria
0.00
Drita
0.72
Prishtina
1.00
Malisheva
1.08
Llapi
1.11
Ballkani
1.11
Dukagjini
1.25
Ferizaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Feronikeli
1.72
Suhareka
1.72
Dukagjini is 0.14 goals worse than Llapi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L21W01L00D11D10W11D01L00D02LA·FER18/05H·GJI25/05A·BAL11/08A·SUH17/08H·GJI25/08A·FER31/08H·MAL15/09A·PRI20/09H·DRI28/09A·FER04/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.730.430.570.310.88
vs Stronger (6)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.380.760.600.500.181.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.000.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L10W00D00D00D11D00D00D10W00DA·BRO25/07H·BRO01/08H·GJI10/08A·FER18/08H·MAL24/08A·PRI31/08H·DRI15/09A·FER21/09H·SUH27/09H·BAL06/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.300.560.190.500.43
vs Stronger (7)0.290.860.250.250.331.67
vs Similar (21)0.620.140.730.180.500.10
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %83% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L01L13L10W10W02L02L02L10WA·FER18/05H·GJI25/05A·BAL11/08A·SUH17/08H·GJI25/08A·FER31/08H·MAL15/09A·PRI20/09H·DRI28/09A·FER04/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.640.570.560.94
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.670.670.001.33
vs Similar (21)0.670.760.700.600.640.91
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L12L11D20W01L12L10W10W20W00DA·BRO25/07H·BRO01/08H·GJI10/08A·FER18/08H·MAL24/08A·PRI31/08H·DRI15/09A·FER21/09H·SUH27/09H·BAL06/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.690.561.000.57
vs Stronger (7)0.431.000.751.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.900.480.640.451.200.50
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
Dukagjini's squad is €2m less valuable than Llapi's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
Dukagjini and Llapi have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Dukagjini and Llapi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Dukagjini's defence is €1m less valuable than Llapi's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
DUK wins
4
Draws
3
LLA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dukagjini vs Llapi · H/A from DUK
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/24HDUK Vs Llapi1-1
18/02/24ALlapi Vs DUK2-1
29/10/23HDUK Vs Llapi0-0
20/08/23ALlapi Vs DUK3-0
23/04/23ALlapi Vs DUK1-1
23/02/23HDUK Vs Llapi0-1
26/10/22ALlapi Vs DUK0-1
25/08/22HDUK Vs Llapi1-1

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/24AFerizaj Vs DUK2-1
28/09/24HDUK Vs Drita0-2
20/09/24APrishtina Vs DUK3-0
15/09/24HDUK Vs Malisheva1-3
31/08/24AFeronikeli Vs DUK0-2
25/08/24HDUK Vs Gjilani2-1
17/08/24ASuhareka Vs DUK3-1
11/08/24ABallkani Vs DUK2-0
25/05/24HDUK Vs Gjilani2-4
18/05/24AFeronikeli Vs DUK3-2

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24HLLA Vs Ballkani0-0
27/09/24HLLA Vs Suhareka3-0
21/09/24AFerizaj Vs LLA0-1
15/09/24HLLA Vs Drita1-0
31/08/24APrishtina Vs LLA3-2
24/08/24HLLA Vs Malisheva0-1
18/08/24AFeronikeli Vs LLA0-2
10/08/24HLLA Vs Gjilani1-1
01/08/24HLLA Vs Brondby2-2
25/07/24ABrondby Vs LLA6-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.20
HomeWLWLL1.58
AwayLLWLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals2.641.923.31
Over 1.5 %74%54%92%
Over 2.5 %52%33%69%
Over 3.5 %26%12%38%
Scored1.101.001.19
Conceded1.540.922.12
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners8.756.5011.00
Cards8.336.5012.00
Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.74
HomeDLWWD1.77
AwayLLWLW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.442.192.71
Over 1.5 %66%54%79%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %20%15%25%
Scored1.461.381.54
Conceded0.980.811.17
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet44%42%46%
Corners11.5014.009.00
Cards4.503.505.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3674
61%
2.1
5926+33
2.4
69%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.60.7
-
2BallkaniBallkani3660
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.8
72%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.1
-
3MalishevaMalisheva3653
39%
1.5
4439+5
2.3
61%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.1
-
4GjilaniGjilani3651
36%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
5FerizajFerizaj3650
39%
1.4
4247-5
2.5
69%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
6PrishtinaPrishtina3648
31%
1.3
4236+6
2.2
61%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.21.0
-
7LlapiLlapi3748
32%
1.3
4241+1
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
8DukagjiniDukagjini3648
36%
1.3
3545-10
2.2
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.01.2
-
9SuharekaSuhareka3643
33%
1.2
4962-13
3.1
89%
72%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10FeronikeliFeronikeli3616
8%
0.4
2562-37
2.4
67%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.7
-
11VushtrriaVushtrria11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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