PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Dukagjini vs Llapi Result & Analysis

Date: 25/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Vs
43%
30%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dukagjini win✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Llapi win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W31W13L23L20W10W20W11DA·MAL03/05H·PRI07/05A·DRI11/05H·FER17/05A·LLA25/05H·PRI17/08H·GJI24/08A·MAL31/08H·FER14/09A·DRE21/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.031.331.000.871.07
vs Stronger (5)0.401.800.503.000.331.00
vs Similar (25)1.240.881.460.691.001.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D24L10W31W00D00D03L11D01L22DH·FER08/05A·SUH11/05A·BAL17/05H·DUK25/05A·VUS31/05A·DRE17/08A·PRI24/08H·DRI01/09A·PRI14/09H·BAL21/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.201.070.711.001.62
vs Stronger (4)0.751.251.000.500.502.00
vs Similar (25)1.121.241.080.751.151.69
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.6%
Under 1.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.0%
Under 2.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.8%
Dukagjini goals ↓
Llapi goals →
01234
011%8.2%4.8%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.2%0.6%
28.6%8.7%4.4%1.5%0.4%
33.9%3.9%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.3%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dukagjini goals (down), columns = Llapi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.01 points better than Llapi in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.13 goals worse than Llapi in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Dukagjini is 0.35 goals better than Llapi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D20W02L02L10W00D10W00DA·MAL03/05H·PRI07/05A·DRI11/05H·FER17/05A·LLA25/05H·PRI17/08H·GJI24/08A·MAL31/08H·FER14/09A·DRE21/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.470.470.330.33
vs Stronger (5)0.000.800.001.500.000.33
vs Similar (25)0.480.320.540.310.420.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W20W00D00D01L00D01L11DH·FER08/05A·SUH11/05A·BAL17/05H·DUK25/05A·VUS31/05A·DRE17/08A·PRI24/08H·DRI01/09A·PRI14/09H·BAL21/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.640.070.380.69
vs Stronger (4)0.500.000.500.000.500.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.480.670.080.380.85
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W11D11D21W10W10W10W11DA·MAL03/05H·PRI07/05A·DRI11/05H·FER17/05A·LLA25/05H·PRI17/08H·GJI24/08A·MAL31/08H·FER14/09A·DRE21/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.930.600.530.73
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.501.500.330.67
vs Similar (25)0.800.601.000.460.580.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L00D11D00D00D02L11D00D11DH·FER08/05A·SUH11/05A·BAL17/05H·DUK25/05A·VUS31/05A·DRE17/08A·PRI24/08H·DRI01/09A·PRI14/09H·BAL21/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.430.640.620.94
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.500.500.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.600.760.420.670.770.85
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Dukagjini's squad is €2m less valuable than Llapi's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Dukagjini and Llapi have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Dukagjini and Llapi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Dukagjini's defence is €1m less valuable than Llapi's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
DUK wins
3
Draws
3
LLA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dukagjini vs Llapi · H/A from DUK
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/25ALlapi Vs DUK3-1
06/04/25HDUK Vs Llapi3-1
20/12/24ALlapi Vs DUK0-0
20/10/24HDUK Vs Llapi1-0
14/04/24HDUK Vs Llapi1-1
18/02/24ALlapi Vs DUK2-1
29/10/23HDUK Vs Llapi0-0
20/08/23ALlapi Vs DUK3-0

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25ADrenica Skënderaj Vs DUK1-1
14/09/25HDUK Vs Ferizaj2-0
31/08/25AMalisheva Vs DUK0-1
24/08/25HDUK Vs Gjilani2-0
17/08/25HDUK Vs Prishtina2-3
25/05/25ALlapi Vs DUK3-1
17/05/25HDUK Vs Ferizaj3-1
11/05/25ADrita Vs DUK0-1
07/05/25HDUK Vs Prishtina0-0
03/05/25AMalisheva Vs DUK1-1

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HLLA Vs Ballkani2-2
14/09/25APrishtina e Re Vs LLA1-0
01/09/25HLLA Vs Drita1-1
24/08/25APrishtina Vs LLA3-0
17/08/25ADrenica Skënderaj Vs LLA0-0
31/05/25AVushtrria Vs LLA0-0
25/05/25HLLA Vs Dukagjini3-1
17/05/25ABallkani Vs LLA0-1
11/05/25ASuhareka Vs LLA4-2
08/05/25HLLA Vs Ferizaj1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.36
HomeDWLWW1.64
AwayDWLWD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.322.402.24
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %42%40%44%
Over 3.5 %20%28%12%
Scored1.061.240.88
Conceded1.261.161.36
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.18
HomeDDWDD1.42
AwayWDDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.361.882.81
Over 1.5 %64%58%69%
Over 2.5 %42%25%58%
Over 3.5 %26%17%35%
Scored1.101.081.12
Conceded1.260.791.69
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners11.5014.009.00
Cards4.503.505.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

← all matches