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Dukagjini vs Malisheva Result & Analysis

Date: 12/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Vs
43%
31%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Malisheva
Malisheva
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dukagjini win✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Malisheva win✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D02L10W41W31W12L21W32W01L16LH·BAL30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL06/05A·DRE14/05H·TRE20/05A·FER28/05H·EUR13/07A·EUR20/07H·HNK27/07A·HNK03/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.131.270.601.271.67
vs Stronger (8)0.622.000.400.801.004.00
vs Similar (22)1.500.821.700.501.331.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L22D02L21W21W10W01L11D10W32WA·LLA01/04A·BAL08/04H·GJI15/04A·FER22/04A·DRE29/04H·TRE03/05A·DUK06/05H·PRI14/05A·DRI20/05H·LLA28/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.371.471.471.331.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.371.441.361.501.381.38
vs Weaker (3)1.670.673.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.6%
Under 1.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.7%
Under 2.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.5%
No
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
0-1 ✓
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
Dukagjini goals ↓
Malisheva goals →
01234
012%8.6%4.8%1.5%0.4%
112%14%6.3%2.0%0.5%
28.8%8.5%4.1%1.3%0.3%
33.9%3.7%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.3%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dukagjini goals (down), columns = Malisheva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.17
Llapi
1.97
Drita
1.86
Malisheva
1.58
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.27
Dukagjini
1.25
Gjilani
1.25
Fushë Kosova
0.56
Liria Prizren
0.39
Prishtina e Re
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.33 points worse than Malisheva in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.61
Llapi
1.56
Drita
1.36
Gjilani
1.19
Prishtina
1.14
Feronikeli
1.08
Dukagjini
1.06
Liria Prizren
0.72
Fushë Kosova
0.56
Prishtina e Re
0.00
Dukagjini is 0.56 goals worse than Malisheva in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ballkani
0.72
Drita
0.75
Llapi
0.75
Prishtina
0.89
Prishtina e Re
1.00
Gjilani
1.06
Malisheva
1.25
Feronikeli
1.27
Dukagjini
1.33
Fushë Kosova
1.78
Liria Prizren
2.17
Dukagjini is 0.08 goals worse than Malisheva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D31W20W01L11D11D01L13LH·BAL30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL06/05A·DRE14/05H·TRE20/05A·FER28/05H·EUR13/07A·EUR20/07H·HNK27/07A·HNK03/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.570.500.690.69
vs Stronger (8)0.250.750.000.400.671.33
vs Similar (22)0.770.550.890.560.690.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L10W21W10W00D00D00D11DA·LLA01/04A·BAL08/04H·GJI15/04A·FER22/04A·DRE29/04H·TRE03/05A·DUK06/05H·PRI14/05A·DRI20/05H·LLA28/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.560.750.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.700.470.730.420.67
vs Weaker (3)1.330.672.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DukagjiniDukagjini

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L10W10W11D11D10W21W00D03LH·BAL30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL06/05A·DRE14/05H·TRE20/05A·FER28/05H·EUR13/07A·EUR20/07H·HNK27/07A·HNK03/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.860.210.560.88
vs Stronger (8)0.381.250.400.400.332.67
vs Similar (22)0.820.321.110.110.620.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L22D00D11D00D00D01L11D10W21WA·LLA01/04A·BAL08/04H·GJI15/04A·FER22/04A·DRE29/04H·TRE03/05A·DUK06/05H·PRI14/05A·DRI20/05H·LLA28/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.880.690.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.780.850.870.730.671.00
vs Weaker (3)0.330.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukagjini) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dukagjini over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukagjini over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
Dukagjini's squad is €2m less valuable than Malisheva's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
Dukagjini and Malisheva have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
Dukagjini and Malisheva have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
Dukagjini's defence is €1m less valuable than Malisheva's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
DUK wins
1
Draws
0
MAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dukagjini vs Malisheva · H/A from DUK
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23HDUK Vs Malisheva1-0
08/03/23AMalisheva Vs DUK1-2
05/11/22HDUK Vs Malisheva4-0
10/09/22AMalisheva Vs DUK1-1

DukagjiniDukagjini

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/23AHNK Rijeka Vs DUK6-1
27/07/23HDUK Vs HNK Rijeka0-1
20/07/23AEuropa Vs DUK2-3
13/07/23HDUK Vs Europa2-1
28/05/23AFerizaj Vs DUK2-1
20/05/23HDUK Vs Trepça'893-1
14/05/23ADrenica Skënderaj Vs DUK1-4
06/05/23HDUK Vs Malisheva1-0
03/05/23AGjilani Vs DUK2-0
30/04/23HDUK Vs Ballkani1-1

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/23HMAL Vs Llapi3-2
20/05/23ADrita Vs MAL0-1
14/05/23HMAL Vs Prishtina1-1
06/05/23ADukagjini Vs MAL1-0
03/05/23HMAL Vs Trepça'891-0
29/04/23ADrenica Skënderaj Vs MAL1-2
22/04/23AFerizaj Vs MAL1-2
15/04/23HMAL Vs Gjilani0-2
08/04/23ABallkani Vs MAL2-2
01/04/23ALlapi Vs MAL1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dukagjini
Dukagjini
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.40
HomeDWWWL1.55
AwayLWLWL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%45%35%
AVG goals2.352.102.60
Over 1.5 %60%55%65%
Over 2.5 %40%35%45%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.181.301.05
Conceded1.180.801.55
BTTS50%45%55%
Clean Sheet25%30%20%
Corners8.756.5011.00
Cards8.336.5012.00
Malisheva
Malisheva
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.28
HomeDLWDW1.28
AwayDWWLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals2.892.942.83
Over 1.5 %72%78%67%
Over 2.5 %58%56%61%
Over 3.5 %39%39%39%
Scored1.441.501.39
Conceded1.441.441.44
BTTS61%67%56%
Clean Sheet22%22%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3678
64%
2.2
6226+36
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.7
-
2LlapiLlapi3671
58%
2.0
5627+29
2.3
64%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.8
-
3DritaDrita3667
53%
1.9
4927+22
2.1
58%
33%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.40.8
-
4MalishevaMalisheva3657
47%
1.6
5845+13
2.9
67%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.2
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3649
31%
1.4
4132+9
2.0
56%
39%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.10.9
-
6FeronikeliFeronikeli3747
35%
1.3
4047-7
2.4
62%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.3
-
7GjilaniGjilani3645
31%
1.2
4338+5
2.2
69%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.1
-
8DukagjiniDukagjini3645
28%
1.2
3848-10
2.4
67%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.3
-
9Fushë KosovaFushë Kosova3620
11%
0.6
2064-44
2.3
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
10Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3614
6%
0.4
2678-52
2.9
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
11Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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