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Dunav Ruse vs FK Minyor Pernik Result & Analysis

Date: 22/11/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 2-0
Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
Vs
70%
21%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Minyor Pernik
FK Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dunav Ruse win✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik win✗ Miss
8.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W30W20W40W11D40W11D20W20W10WH·CHE20/09A·HEB29/09H·ETA05/10A·BEN12/10A·MAR18/10H·SPO24/10H·LOK28/10A·SEV02/11H·FRA10/11A·YAN15/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.431.930.271.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.500.301.730.181.220.44
vs Weaker (10)2.300.702.500.502.170.83
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W23L01L02L20W13L03L00D10W32WA·SEV13/09H·FRA21/09A·YAN27/09H·LUD03/10A·PAR12/10A·LOK25/10H·CHE29/10H·SPA02/11A·CSK07/11H·VIH16/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.571.131.401.131.73
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (28)1.141.571.211.291.071.86
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%018%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.8%
Under 2.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.1%
No
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
15.4%
1-0
14.7%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
5.0%
Dunav Ruse goals ↓
FK Minyor Pernik goals →
01234
08.7%3.5%1.2%0.2%0.0%
115%9.6%2.5%0.5%0.1%
215%8.7%2.5%0.5%0.1%
310%5.7%1.6%0.3%0.0%
45.0%2.8%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunav Ruse goals (down), columns = FK Minyor Pernik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Dunav Ruse is 1.22 points better than FK Minyor Pernik in terms of average points per game (2.16 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Dunav Ruse is 0.66 goals better than FK Minyor Pernik in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Dunav Ruse is 0.91 goals better than FK Minyor Pernik in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W10W10W10W30W00D00D10W10WH·CHE20/09A·HEB29/09H·ETA05/10A·BEN12/10A·MAR18/10H·SPO24/10H·LOK28/10A·SEV02/11H·FRA10/11A·YAN15/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.100.930.070.670.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.700.100.730.090.670.11
vs Weaker (10)1.000.101.500.000.670.17
Clean sheet %90% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W01L00D00D02L00D00D10W11DA·SEV13/09H·FRA21/09A·YAN27/09H·LUD03/10A·PAR12/10A·LOK25/10H·CHE29/10H·SPA02/11A·CSK07/11H·VIH16/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.600.670.470.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.570.680.640.710.500.64
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W30W01L10W11D20W10W00DH·CHE20/09A·HEB29/09H·ETA05/10A·BEN12/10A·MAR18/10H·SPO24/10H·LOK28/10A·SEV02/11H·FRA10/11A·YAN15/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.331.000.200.930.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.800.201.000.090.560.33
vs Weaker (10)1.300.601.000.501.500.67
Clean sheet %73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L00D02L20W11D03L00D00D21WA·SEV13/09H·FRA21/09A·YAN27/09H·LUD03/10A·PAR12/10A·LOK25/10H·CHE29/10H·SPA02/11A·CSK07/11H·VIH16/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.530.730.671.13
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (28)0.570.890.570.570.571.21
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.1%-------✓ Hit
Home win70.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
DR wins
0
Draws
1
FMP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dunav Ruse vs FK Minyor Pernik · H/A from DR
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/25AFK Minyor Pernik Vs DR0-2
25/08/24HDR Vs FK Minyor Pernik1-0
20/05/23HDR Vs FK Minyor Pernik4-2
22/10/22AFK Minyor Pernik Vs DR2-0

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/11/25AYantra 2019 Vs DR0-1
10/11/25HDR Vs Fratria2-0
02/11/25ASevlievo Vs DR0-2
28/10/25HDR Vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1
24/10/25HDR Vs Sportist Svoge4-0
18/10/25AMarek Vs DR1-1
12/10/25ABenkovski Isperih Vs DR0-4
05/10/25HDR Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo2-0
29/09/25AHebar 1918 Vs DR0-3
20/09/25HDR Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas2-0

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/25HFMP Vs Vihren3-2
07/11/25ACSKA Sofia II Vs FMP0-1
02/11/25HFMP Vs Spartak Pleven0-0
29/10/25HFMP Vs Cherno More Varna0-3
25/10/25ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs FMP3-1
12/10/25APartizan Vs FMP0-2
03/10/25HFMP Vs Ludogorets II0-2
27/09/25AYantra 2019 Vs FMP1-0
21/09/25HFMP Vs Fratria2-3
13/09/25ASevlievo Vs FMP1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.04
HomeWWWDW2.25
AwayWWDWW1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%67%50%
AVG goals2.242.122.35
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.621.671.58
Conceded0.620.460.77
BTTS40%29%50%
Clean Sheet52%67%38%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Minyor Pernik
FK Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.08
HomeLLLDW1.16
AwayWLWLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.522.162.88
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %38%28%48%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.020.961.08
Conceded1.501.201.80
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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