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Dunav Ruse vs Fratria Result & Analysis

Date: 10/11/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 2-0
Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
Vs
59%
27%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fratria
Fratria
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dunav Ruse win✓ Hit
58.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fratria win✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W31W20W30W20W40W11D40W11D20WH·BEL06/09A·PIR14/09H·CHE20/09A·HEB29/09H·ETA05/10A·BEN12/10A·MAR18/10H·SPO24/10H·LOK28/10A·SEV02/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.431.800.271.670.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.450.301.550.181.330.44
vs Weaker (10)2.300.702.500.502.170.83
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FratriaFratria

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W50W01L32W11D40W10W01L12L20WA·SEV31/08H·LUD06/09H·YAN12/09A·FK 21/09A·LOK06/10A·GER12/10H·SPA20/10A·CSK24/10H·ARD28/10H·VIH31/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.102.000.941.641.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.861.142.250.921.401.40
vs Weaker (8)1.751.001.251.002.251.00
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.0%
Under 2.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.3%
No
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.9%
2-0 ✓
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
Dunav Ruse goals ↓
Fratria goals →
01234
011%5.7%2.4%0.5%0.1%
115%12%3.8%0.9%0.2%
213%9.0%3.1%0.7%0.1%
37.1%4.9%1.7%0.4%0.1%
42.9%2.0%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunav Ruse goals (down), columns = Fratria goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Dunav Ruse is 0.19 points better than Fratria in terms of average points per game (2.16 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Dunav Ruse is 0.25 goals worse than Fratria in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Dunav Ruse is 0.41 goals better than Fratria in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.91).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L10W20W10W10W10W30W00D00DH·BEL06/09A·PIR14/09H·CHE20/09A·HEB29/09H·ETA05/10A·BEN12/10A·MAR18/10H·SPO24/10H·LOK28/10A·SEV02/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.100.870.070.600.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.600.100.640.090.560.11
vs Weaker (10)1.000.101.500.000.670.17
Clean sheet %90% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FratriaFratria

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D02L11D00D10W00D01L00DA·SEV31/08H·LUD06/09H·YAN12/09A·FK 21/09A·LOK06/10A·GER12/10H·SPA20/10A·CSK24/10H·ARD28/10H·VIH31/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.880.440.570.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.730.450.920.420.500.50
vs Weaker (8)0.750.500.750.500.750.50
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W10W10W10W30W01L10W11D20WH·BEL06/09A·PIR14/09H·CHE20/09A·HEB29/09H·ETA05/10A·BEN12/10A·MAR18/10H·SPO24/10H·LOK28/10A·SEV02/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.330.930.201.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.850.200.910.090.780.33
vs Weaker (10)1.300.601.000.501.500.67
Clean sheet %73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FratriaFratria

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W01L30W00D40W00D01L11D20WA·SEV31/08H·LUD06/09H·YAN12/09A·FK 21/09A·LOK06/10A·GER12/10H·SPA20/10A·CSK24/10H·ARD28/10H·VIH31/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.631.120.501.070.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.140.681.330.500.900.90
vs Weaker (8)1.000.500.500.501.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Dunav Ruse's squad is €1m more valuable than Fratria's (€4m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Dunav Ruse and Fratria have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Dunav Ruse and Fratria have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Dunav Ruse and Fratria have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
DR wins
0
Draws
0
FRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dunav Ruse vs Fratria · H/A from DR
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25HDR Vs Fratria4-0
23/11/24AFratria Vs DR0-4

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25ASevlievo Vs DR0-2
28/10/25HDR Vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1
24/10/25HDR Vs Sportist Svoge4-0
18/10/25AMarek Vs DR1-1
12/10/25ABenkovski Isperih Vs DR0-4
05/10/25HDR Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo2-0
29/09/25AHebar 1918 Vs DR0-3
20/09/25HDR Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas2-0
14/09/25APirin Blagoevgrad Vs DR1-3
06/09/25HDR Vs Belasitsa3-0

FratriaFratria

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/25HFRA Vs Vihren2-0
28/10/25HFRA Vs Arda Kardzhali1-2
24/10/25ACSKA Sofia II Vs FRA1-0
20/10/25HFRA Vs Spartak Pleven1-0
12/10/25AGermaneya Vs FRA0-4
06/10/25ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs FRA1-1
21/09/25AFK Minyor Pernik Vs FRA2-3
12/09/25HFRA Vs Yantra 20190-1
06/09/25HFRA Vs Ludogorets II5-0
31/08/25ASevlievo Vs FRA0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.94
HomeWWWWD2.17
AwayWWWDW1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals2.222.042.38
Over 1.5 %74%62%85%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.561.581.54
Conceded0.660.460.85
BTTS40%29%50%
Clean Sheet50%67%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Fratria
Fratria
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.62
HomeWLWLW1.72
AwayWWDWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals2.762.962.56
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.561.801.32
Conceded1.201.161.24
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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