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Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets Result & Analysis

Date: 27/07/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-2
Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
vs
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
Bulgaria: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dunav Ruse win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D00D23L20W22D01L21W12LA·CHE29/03H·HEB04/04A·ETA13/04H·MAR17/04A·SPO26/04H·SEV02/05A·FRA11/05H·YAN15/05A·FK 23/05A·LEV17/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.601.670.331.670.87
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.410.591.420.421.400.80
vs Weaker (7)2.570.432.670.002.500.75
Clean sheet %60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LudogoretsLudogorets

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L12L00D01L10W11D01L10W00D10WH·CSK21/04H·CSK25/04A·CSK29/04A·CSK03/05A·LEV09/05H·LEV13/05A·CSK16/05H·CSK25/05H·LOK29/05H·LOK18/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.771.350.711.540.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.070.791.560.780.200.80
vs Weaker (16)1.750.751.120.622.380.88
Clean sheet %43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Levski Sofia
3.00
Ludogorets
2.67
CSKA Sofia
2.60
CSKA 1948
2.40
Arda Kardzhali
2.17
Spartak Varna
1.20
Slavia Sofia
1.20
Botev Plovdiv
1.17
Septemvri Sofia
1.17
Botev Vratsa
0.67
Cherno More Varna
0.67
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.50
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.40
Dunav Ruse is 2.17 points worse than Ludogorets in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 2.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Levski Sofia
3.00
CSKA Sofia
2.60
CSKA 1948
2.20
Ludogorets
1.83
Arda Kardzhali
1.50
Spartak Varna
1.20
Botev Plovdiv
1.17
Cherno More Varna
1.17
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Dunav Ruse
0.83
Botev Vratsa
0.67
Septemvri Sofia
0.67
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.50
Dunav Ruse is 1.00 goals worse than Ludogorets in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Levski Sofia
0.40
Slavia Sofia
0.60
CSKA Sofia
0.60
Ludogorets
0.67
Arda Kardzhali
0.67
CSKA 1948
1.00
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.33
Botev Plovdiv
1.50
Septemvri Sofia
1.50
Lokomotiv Sofia
2.00
Dunav Ruse
2.00
Spartak Varna
2.00
Botev Vratsa
2.17
Cherno More Varna
2.17
Dunav Ruse is 1.33 goals worse than Ludogorets in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

LudogoretsLudogorets

For 6.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

14010391247149461063113131068491010914H·CSKA·ARDH·CSKA·SPAH·CSKA·MONH·LEVH·LOKA·FERA·BOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

10014511221525512452756337010399H·CSKA·ARDH·CSKA·SPAH·CSKA·MONH·LEVH·LOKA·FERA·BOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

370712911612176911971720816149131519201823201637242328H·CSKA·ARDH·CSKA·SPAH·CSKA·MONH·LEVH·LOKA·FERA·BOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (37)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (12)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Ludogorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LudogoretsLudogorets

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.48.63.03.03.023.123.322.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)8.38.68.03.73.63.825.026.023.8
vs Weaker (29)10.411.89.02.62.62.521.721.222.1
% over line42%56%27%42%44%40%65%62%67%
% under line58%44%73%58%56%60%35%38%33%
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Slavia Sofia
10.4
Botev Plovdiv
10.2
CSKA Sofia
10.2
Spartak Varna
10.1
Levski Sofia
9.6
Ludogorets
9.5
Botev Vratsa
9.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.4
CSKA 1948
9.3
Cherno More Varna
9.0
Septemvri Sofia
8.9
Arda Kardzhali
8.6
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Arda Kardzhali
5.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.0
Septemvri Sofia
4.9
Spartak Varna
4.9
Botev Vratsa
4.8
Cherno More Varna
4.8
CSKA Sofia
4.7
Ludogorets
4.7
Levski Sofia
4.7
Slavia Sofia
4.6
Botev Plovdiv
4.5
CSKA 1948
4.2
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cherno More Varna
25.3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.1
Levski Sofia
24.7
Botev Vratsa
24.5
Arda Kardzhali
24.1
Lokomotiv Sofia
23.9
Slavia Sofia
23.8
Spartak Varna
23.0
Septemvri Sofia
22.9
CSKA 1948
22.9
Ludogorets
22.4
CSKA Sofia
22.4
Botev Plovdiv
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.9%
Under 9.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.0%
Under 3.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
58.3%
Under 21.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D00D21W00D10W01L01L01LA·CHE29/03H·HEB04/04A·ETA13/04H·MAR17/04A·SPO26/04H·SEV02/05A·FRA11/05H·YAN15/05A·FK 23/05A·LEV17/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.200.730.070.670.33
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.500.180.500.080.500.30
vs Weaker (7)1.430.141.670.001.250.25
Clean sheet %80% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LudogoretsLudogorets

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L00D01L00D00D00D00D00D10WH·CSK21/04H·CSK25/04A·CSK29/04A·CSK03/05A·LEV09/05H·LEV13/05A·CSK16/05H·CSK25/05H·LOK29/05H·LOK18/07
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.590.290.620.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.430.780.220.000.80
vs Weaker (16)0.690.310.380.381.000.25
Clean sheet %70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D02L20W12L00D20W11DA·CHE29/03H·HEB04/04A·ETA13/04H·MAR17/04A·SPO26/04H·SEV02/05A·FRA11/05H·YAN15/05A·FK 23/05A·LEV17/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.400.930.271.000.53
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.910.410.920.330.900.50
vs Weaker (7)1.140.291.000.001.250.50
Clean sheet %73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LudogoretsLudogorets

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D10W11D01L10W00D00DH·CSK21/04H·CSK25/04A·CSK29/04A·CSK03/05A·LEV09/05H·LEV13/05A·CSK16/05H·CSK25/05H·LOK29/05H·LOK18/07
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.400.760.410.920.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.360.780.560.200.00
vs Weaker (16)1.060.440.750.251.380.62
Clean sheet %70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards85.4%--------
Under 11.5 corners79.1%--------
Over 19.5 fouls74.0%--------
Under 25.5 fouls73.3%--------
Over 3.5 cards70.0%--------

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
BP (52)
€20m
AK (20)
€10m
CMV (22)
€6m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
BP (20)
€7m
AK (7)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
BP (11)
€4m
AK (3)
€3m
CMV (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
BP (21)
€8m
AK (10)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DR wins
0
Draws
0
LUD wins

Head-to-head

Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets · H/A from DR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/26ALevski Sofia Vs DR2-1
23/05/26AFK Minyor Pernik Vs DR1-2
15/05/26HDR Vs Yantra 20190-1
11/05/26AFratria Vs DR2-2
02/05/26HDR Vs Sevlievo2-0
26/04/26ASportist Svoge Vs DR3-2
17/04/26HDR Vs Marek0-0
13/04/26AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs DR0-0
04/04/26HDR Vs Hebar 19180-0
29/03/26AChernomorets 1919 Burgas Vs DR1-1

LudogoretsLudogorets

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26HLUD Vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0
29/05/26HLUD Vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv0-0
25/05/26HLUD Vs CSKA Sofia1-0
16/05/26ACSKA 1948 Vs LUD1-0
13/05/26HLUD Vs Levski Sofia1-1
09/05/26ALevski Sofia Vs LUD0-1
03/05/26ACSKA Sofia Vs LUD1-0
29/04/26ACSKA Sofia Vs LUD0-0
25/04/26HLUD Vs CSKA 19481-2
21/04/26HLUD Vs CSKA Sofia1-2

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.96
HomeDDDWL2.08
AwayDLDWL1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%60%52%
AVG goals2.101.922.28
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %38%32%44%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.541.601.48
Conceded0.560.320.80
BTTS32%16%48%
Clean Sheet60%76%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
Bulgaria: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.68
HomeLDWDW1.96
AwayLDLWL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%40%
AVG goals2.562.482.64
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.561.601.52
Conceded1.000.881.12
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners9.5210.388.60
Cards4.904.755.07

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LudogoretsLudogorets616
83%
2.7
114+7
2.5
83%
33%
17%
-
0%
10.0
100%
-
0%
46
276131.80.7
-
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia515
100%
3.0
152+13
3.4
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
2.0
0%
-
0%
38
118193.00.4
-
3CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia513
80%
2.6
133+10
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
26
106102.60.6
-
4Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali613
67%
2.2
94+5
2.2
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
6.0
100%
-
0%
10
3331.50.7
-
5CSKA 1948CSKA 1948512
80%
2.4
115+6
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
6.0
100%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
7.0
100%
-
0%
20
7481.21.5
-
7Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia67
33%
1.2
49-5
2.2
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
5.5
100%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia56
20%
1.2
53+2
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
10.0
100%
-
0%
0
0001.00.6
-
9Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna56
40%
1.2
610-4
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
10Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna64
17%
0.7
713-6
3.3
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
6
3121.22.2
-
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa64
17%
0.7
413-9
2.8
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
7.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
12Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv63
17%
0.5
38-5
1.8
50%
33%
0%
-
0%
8.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.51.3
-
13Dunav RuseDunav Ruse63
17%
0.5
512-7
2.8
100%
67%
17%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia52
0%
0.4
510-5
3.0
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Bulgaria: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →

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