Dunav Ruse return to the pitch after a draw against Lokomotiv Sofia, while Slavia Sofia arrive on the back of a 1-1 stalemate with Septemvri Sofia. The model sees a 25% chance of a home win, 35% for a draw and 40% for an away win, making an away victory the favourite. With an expected total of 1.8 goals, the most likely total is two goals, a 28% chance, and the single scoreline the model deems most probable is 0-0, with a 17.7% probability. Dunav Ruse average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Slavia Sofia average 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded on the road versus similar teams. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.7%, edge 4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%, edge 7%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.2%, edge 6%), Under 5.5 (98.9%, edge 6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.9%, edge 7%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9%, edge 5%) and Under 4.5 (96.3%, edge 10%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dunav Ruse win
25.5%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.70
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.80
Unibet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.70
1xBet
2.70
Draw
35.0%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.20
Edge
+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.24
Slavia Sofia win
39.4%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.47
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dunav Ruse
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.90
1.40
0.60
1.27
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.29
0.86
1.30
0.70
1.27
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Sofia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
1.25
1.06
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.25
1.12
1.31
1.15
1.18
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.3%
@ 1.31-15.0%
Under 1.5
44.7%
@ 3.11+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.25
Betano
3.20
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
27.2%
@ 2.03-19.0%
Under 2.5
72.8%
@ 1.74+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
BetVictor
1.74
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
11.0%
@ 3.54-15.1%
Under 3.5
89.0%
@ 1.25+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.25
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
36.1%
@ 1.77-16.3%
No
63.9%
@ 1.94+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
No
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.96
William Hil
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.7%@ 8.28+12.4%
0-1
15.6%@ 7.30+9.6%
1-1
14.4%@ 5.80+7.0%
1-0
11.4%@ 7.70+5.8%
0-2
8.7%@ 11.09+4.8%
1-2
6.8%@ 8.85+1.9%
2-1
5.1%@ 9.32+0.4%
2-0
4.9%@ 12.06+1.3%
Dunav Ruse goals ↓
Slavia Sofia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
18%
16%
8.7%
3.0%
0.8%
1
11%
14%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
4.9%
5.1%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
3
1.3%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunav Ruse goals (down), columns = Slavia Sofia goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levski Sofia
3.00
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.50
Ludogorets
2.43
Arda Kardzhali
2.29
Spartak Varna
1.17
Septemvri Sofia
1.14
Botev Plovdiv
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Dunav Ruse
0.57
Cherno More Varna
0.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
Dunav Ruse is 0.43 points worse than Slavia Sofia in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levski Sofia
2.86
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.17
Ludogorets
1.71
Arda Kardzhali
1.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.17
Spartak Varna
1.17
Botev Plovdiv
1.14
Cherno More Varna
1.14
Dunav Ruse
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Septemvri Sofia
0.71
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
Dunav Ruse and Slavia Sofia are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arda Kardzhali
0.57
Levski Sofia
0.57
CSKA Sofia
0.67
Ludogorets
0.71
CSKA 1948
0.83
Slavia Sofia
0.86
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.43
Septemvri Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.71
Spartak Varna
1.83
Lokomotiv Sofia
2.00
Dunav Ruse
2.00
Botev Vratsa
2.14
Cherno More Varna
2.29
Dunav Ruse is 1.14 goals worse than Slavia Sofia in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
63%
Slavia Sofia
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dunav Ruse
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Slavia Sofia
For 3.0 · Against 6.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunav Ruse
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.2
0.2
0.2
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
-
-
-
0.3
0.3
0.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
4%
4%
4%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
96%
96%
96%
-
-
-
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
9.9
11.5
2.4
2.0
2.8
21.9
22.2
21.5
vs Stronger (9)
9.5
7.0
12.0
3.7
1.4
6.5
22.4
18.5
25.0
vs Similar (41)
11.1
10.8
11.4
2.1
2.1
2.0
21.8
23.0
20.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
54%
69%
28%
19%
38%
48%
58%
38%
% under line
38%
46%
31%
72%
81%
62%
52%
42%
62%
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slavia Sofia
10.6
Botev Plovdiv
10.1
Spartak Varna
10.0
CSKA Sofia
9.6
Levski Sofia
9.5
CSKA 1948
9.4
Ludogorets
9.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.4
Botev Vratsa
9.4
Septemvri Sofia
9.1
Cherno More Varna
9.0
Arda Kardzhali
8.7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arda Kardzhali
5.2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.0
Septemvri Sofia
5.0
Botev Vratsa
4.8
Spartak Varna
4.8
CSKA Sofia
4.8
Ludogorets
4.8
Cherno More Varna
4.7
Slavia Sofia
4.7
Levski Sofia
4.6
Botev Plovdiv
4.5
Dunav Ruse
4.5
CSKA 1948
4.2
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cherno More Varna
25.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.0
Botev Vratsa
24.7
Levski Sofia
24.5
Arda Kardzhali
24.4
Slavia Sofia
23.9
Lokomotiv Sofia
23.9
Septemvri Sofia
22.8
CSKA 1948
22.7
Spartak Varna
22.7
CSKA Sofia
22.6
Botev Plovdiv
22.4
Ludogorets
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.2%
@ 1.96+6.4%
Under 9.5
46.8%
@ 1.72-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.96
Under
Unibet
1.72
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.0%
Under 21.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dunav Ruse or Draw
60.6%
Avg Implied 62.8% · @ 1.48
Edge
-2.2%
26%
35%
39%
covers Dunav Ruse + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Dunav Ruse or Slavia Sofia
65.0%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.30
Edge
-6.5%
26%
35%
39%
covers Dunav Ruse + Slavia Sofia
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Draw or Slavia Sofia
74.5%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
+8.7%
26%
35%
39%
covers Draw + Slavia Sofia
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5
Over
54.0%
@ 1.32-15.7%
Under
46.0%
@ 3.06+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.05
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5
Over
18.3%
@ 2.63-16.9%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.43+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.80
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5
Over
4.4%
@ 6.04-11.0%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.10+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Dunav Ruse over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
@ 14.75-5.7%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5
Over
64.4%
@ 1.29-7.2%
Under
35.6%
@ 3.24+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
1xBet
3.24
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5
Over
27.6%
@ 2.47-10.0%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.49+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.65
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Bet365
2.38
Under
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5
Over
8.6%
@ 5.56-8.1%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.11+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Slavia Sofia over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
@ 13.38-5.0%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dunav Ruse, so a minus line means Dunav Ruse give that many goals of a start and Slavia Sofia receive them. At -1, Dunav Ruse must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dunav Ruse win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dunav Ruse)
Dunav Ruse -2
1.9%
@ 13.00-5.1%
Draw -2
6.4%
@ 8.00-4.9%
Slavia Sofia +2
91.7%
@ 1.11+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
1.11
Handicap -1 (Dunav Ruse)
Dunav Ruse -1
8.3%
@ 5.70-7.3%
Draw -1
17.2%
@ 4.22-3.9%
Slavia Sofia +1
74.5%
@ 1.41+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.35
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
3.95
Away
Marathonbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Dunav Ruse)
Dunav Ruse +1
60.6%
@ 1.49+0.7%
Draw +1
23.3%
@ 4.08+1.5%
Slavia Sofia -1
16.1%
@ 4.86-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Unibet
1.46
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
3.98
Unibet
3.80
Away
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Betfair
4.50
Handicap +2 (Dunav Ruse)
Dunav Ruse +2
83.9%
@ 1.12+5.8%
Draw +2
11.3%
@ 6.55-2.1%
Slavia Sofia -2
4.8%
@ 10.38-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dunav Ruse
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.30
0.60
0.20
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.24
0.40
0.20
0.45
0.27
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.69
0.44
0.57
0.36
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.46
0.69
0.54
0.55
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.0%
@ 1.40+3.1%
Under 0.5
31.0%
@ 2.70-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.43
BetVictor
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.70
1xBet
2.69
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.1%
@ 2.86-0.3%
Under 1.5
67.9%
@ 1.37+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.38
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 7.21-1.8%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.06+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.75
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.3%
@ 2.20-5.8%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.59+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.15
Under
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Unibet
1.55
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.7%
@ 7.13-5.3%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.07+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 12.50-6.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.0%
@ 2.09+4.9%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.65-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.17
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Unibet
1.58
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.9%
@ 6.67+1.0%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.08-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.0%
@ 12.00-3.7%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dunav Ruse
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.62
0.90
0.50
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.56
0.62
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.67
0.62
0.62
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunav Ruse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.25+4.6%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 3.58-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.75
William Hil
3.50
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.4%
@ 2.21+1.2%
Under 1.5
56.6%
@ 1.61-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.40
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.5%
@ 4.64-3.5%
Under 2.5
83.5%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunav Ruse over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.9%
@ 1.83-7.6%
Under
57.1%
@ 1.87+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Dunav Ruse over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.3%
@ 5.15-6.7%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.13+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Dunav Ruse over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 10.50-6.9%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.9%
@ 1.78+5.9%
Under
42.1%
@ 1.93-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.5%
@ 4.85+5.4%
Under
75.5%
@ 1.15-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.5%
@ 10.00-3.8%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
99.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+5.7%
Under 5.5
98.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+5.0%
Under 4.5
96.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+10.1%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
95.6%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+11.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+5.3%
Away +2 handicap
91.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+10.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
91.4%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+8.1%
Under 3.5
89.0%
1.25
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
+15.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+1.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+6.7%
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-1.0%
Home +2 handicap
83.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+5.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.5%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+3.5%
Home under 1.5 goals
81.7%
1.43
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+16.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.25
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
+4.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
75.5%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-5.4%
Under 25.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
74.5%
1.42
Betano
1.47
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
+8.7%
Away +1 handicap
74.5%
1.41
Marathonbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.40
-
-
+11.2%
Under 2.5
72.8%
1.74
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
BetVictor
1.74
+19.0%
Away under 1.5 goals
72.4%
1.49
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
+10.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.6%
1.28
Unibet
1.28
-
-
-
-
-1.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slavia Sofia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Isaac Solet50%
Toni Tasev25%
Yanis Guermouche19%
Emil Stoev18%
Kristiyan Balov18%
David Malembana17%
Luka Ivanov17%
Ivan Minchev14%
Iliyan Stefanov11%
Emilian Gogev11%
Roberto Raychev10%
Lazar Marin5%
Vladimir Medved0%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Levi Ntumba0%
Diego Ferraresso0%
Nikola Savić0%
Ivan Andonov0%
Mouhamed Dosso0%
Jordan Semedo Varela0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Artyom Varganov0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Boris Todorov0%
Vasil Kazaldzhiev0%
Marko Miletic0%
Georgi Shopov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lazar Marin24%
Emil Stoev18%
David Malembana17%
Isaac Solet17%
Martin Georgiev17%
Yanis Guermouche14%
Georgi Shopov14%
Levi Ntumba12%
Iliyan Stefanov11%
Mouhamed Dosso11%
Kristiyan Stoyanov11%
Boris Todorov11%
Marko Miletic11%
Ivan Minchev10%
Nikola Savić7%
Jordan Semedo Varela7%
Diego Ferraresso6%
Roberto Raychev5%
Vladimir Medved0%
Toni Tasev0%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Ivan Andonov0%
Luka Ivanov0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
Artyom Varganov0%
Vasil Kazaldzhiev0%
Emilian Gogev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toni Tasev25%
Vladimir Medved20%
Ivan Minchev19%
Kristiyan Balov14%
Boris Todorov11%
Emil Stoev9%
Martin Georgiev8%
Mouhamed Dosso6%
Yanis Guermouche5%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Iliyan Stefanov0%
Lazar Marin0%
Levi Ntumba0%
David Malembana0%
Diego Ferraresso0%
Nikola Savić0%
Isaac Solet0%
Ivan Andonov0%
Luka Ivanov0%
Jordan Semedo Varela0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Artyom Varganov0%
Vasil Kazaldzhiev0%
Marko Miletic0%
Emilian Gogev0%
Georgi Shopov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Toni Tasev25%
Iliyan Stefanov11%
Yanis Guermouche10%
Roberto Raychev5%
Lazar Marin5%
Kristiyan Balov5%
Vladimir Medved0%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Ivan Minchev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Levi Ntumba0%
David Malembana0%
Diego Ferraresso0%
Nikola Savić0%
Isaac Solet0%
Ivan Andonov0%
Luka Ivanov0%
Mouhamed Dosso0%
Jordan Semedo Varela0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Artyom Varganov0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Boris Todorov0%
Vasil Kazaldzhiev0%
Marko Miletic0%
Emilian Gogev0%
Georgi Shopov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
Dunav Ruse's squad is €3m less valuable than Slavia Sofia's (€4m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
Dunav Ruse's attack is €1m less valuable than Slavia Sofia's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
Dunav Ruse and Slavia Sofia have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Dunav Ruse's defence is €1m less valuable than Slavia Sofia's (€2m vs €3m).
Bulgaria: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →