This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arbroath
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.17
1.20
0.93
0.67
1.40
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.67
0.80
1.40
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.11
0.94
1.44
0.67
0.78
1.22
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.82+3.3%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 1.92-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.3%
No
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
6.3%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
2.6%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
8.5%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
8.8%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
3
11%
6.6%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
6.3%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Dundee Utd
2.11
Inverness CT
1.67
Dundee
1.52
Ayr
1.48
Arbroath
1.38
Dunfermline
1.32
Morton
1.29
Alloa
1.11
Queen of Sth
1.00
Partick
0.96
Dundee Utd is 0.72 points better than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.38).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dundee Utd
1.86
Morton
1.61
Dunfermline
1.46
Inverness CT
1.44
Ayr
1.41
Partick
1.19
Dundee
1.19
Alloa
1.18
Queen of Sth
1.00
Arbroath
0.92
Dundee Utd is 0.93 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 0.92).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dundee Utd
0.79
Arbroath
1.00
Dundee
1.15
Inverness CT
1.19
Dunfermline
1.29
Ayr
1.30
Queen of Sth
1.43
Alloa
1.54
Partick
1.74
Morton
1.86
Dundee Utd is 0.21 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (0.79 vs 1.00).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Dundee Utd
For 6.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 10.1 · Total 18.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arbroath
For 6.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 8.9 · Total 19.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
10.8
12.2
3.8
3.9
3.6
22.7
23.1
22.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
11.1
10.4
11.8
3.9
3.8
4.1
23.0
22.8
23.2
vs Weaker (14)
12.5
12.0
13.0
3.4
4.1
2.6
22.1
23.9
20.3
% over line
70%
60%
80%
52%
52%
52%
58%
56%
60%
% under line
30%
40%
20%
48%
48%
48%
42%
44%
40%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arbroath
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.4
3.7
3.6
3.8
21.6
21.3
21.8
vs Stronger (16)
9.9
9.0
10.9
4.5
4.9
4.1
22.4
23.4
21.5
vs Similar (22)
9.7
10.3
9.1
2.8
2.5
3.0
21.3
20.5
22.1
vs Weaker (12)
10.8
9.5
12.0
4.2
3.8
4.7
21.0
20.2
21.8
% over line
58%
48%
68%
50%
44%
56%
50%
52%
48%
% under line
42%
52%
32%
50%
56%
44%
50%
48%
52%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.8
Inverness CT
11.7
Dundee Utd
11.5
Partick
10.8
Morton
10.7
Queen of Sth
10.1
Dundee
10.1
Arbroath
10.0
Dunfermline
9.8
Ayr
9.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dundee Utd
3.8
Arbroath
3.7
Dundee
3.5
Inverness CT
3.4
Dunfermline
3.3
Ayr
3.2
Morton
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Partick
2.8
Alloa
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundee
22.8
Dundee Utd
22.7
Ayr
21.9
Arbroath
21.6
Inverness CT
21.4
Dunfermline
21.1
Morton
21.0
Alloa
20.7
Queen of Sth
20.5
Partick
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.6%
Under 9.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
44.9%
Under 21.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
1.27
0.40
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.43
1.27
0.36
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.44
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arbroath
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.67
0.60
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.89
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.56
0.89
0.44
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.43
1.09
0.36
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.11
2.00
0.25
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arbroath
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.53
0.33
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.78
0.40
0.40
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.39
0.56
0.22
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 4.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home win
74.5%
1.43
-
-
-
-
-
+9.9%
â Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Dundee Utd · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Agyei25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
D. Bennie0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vicko Å evelj67%
D. Bennie40%
Abdoulaye Yoro33%
Dylan Tait25%
William Ferry20%
B. Esselink20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Merghem25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
D. Bennie0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Merghem25%
Dylan Tait25%
D. Bennie20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
William Ferry0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Dundee Utd's squad is €10m more valuable than Arbroath's (€11m vs €1m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Dundee Utd's attack is €3m more valuable than Arbroath's (€4m vs €0m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Dundee Utd's midfield is €3m more valuable than Arbroath's (€3m vs €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's defence is €4m more valuable than Arbroath's (€4m vs €0m).
Scotland: Championship 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Inverness CT
Dundee
Dunfermline
Morton
Partick