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Dundee Utd vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 18/07/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 3-0
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Vs
40%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dundee Utd win✓ Hit
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W24L32W30W03L02L00D11D10W01LH·CEL22/03A·RAN04/04H·LIV11/04H·DUN26/04A·KIL02/05A·ABE09/05H·LIV12/05A·ST 17/05A·STI11/07A·MON14/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.431.330.871.072.00
vs Stronger (5)1.602.202.001.001.004.00
vs Similar (24)1.121.331.170.831.081.83
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L01L01L21W21W00D00D01L00D21WH·ST 04/04A·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05A·SPA11/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.031.290.931.061.12
vs Stronger (10)1.301.401.501.751.171.17
vs Similar (20)1.100.851.200.601.001.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
01234
09.0%8.0%5.5%2.2%0.6%
19.3%14%7.5%3.0%0.9%
27.3%8.6%5.1%2.0%0.6%
33.3%3.9%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Dundee Utd is 1.00 points worse than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Dundee Utd is 0.50 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Dundee Utd is 0.75 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

For 4.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

150210782484244311076745512156126711131110A·ST H·LIVA·ABEA·KILH·DUNH·LIVA·RANH·CELA·DUNA·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70224611121224131212671134543A·ST H·LIVA·ABEA·KILH·DUNA·RANH·CELA·DUNA·FALH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 9.2 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

2901010141216121013227791297813510720262823291621151817A·ST H·LIVA·ABEA·KILH·DUNH·LIVA·RANH·CELA·DUNA·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

For 4.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

1206664237824294212661010696H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

704332322322135275554452H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

29012111111111016131288139159152322212920212424H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.511.79.43.53.53.422.221.822.5
vs Stronger (9)13.014.212.03.35.02.018.117.818.4
vs Similar (40)9.811.18.63.63.24.023.222.723.8
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line60%71%50%50%46%54%49%48%50%
% under line40%29%50%50%54%46%51%52%50%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.38.41.11.11.123.522.324.6
vs Stronger (17)7.76.78.51.61.61.623.921.325.8
vs Similar (33)9.210.08.30.80.90.823.223.323.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%33%43%18%22%15%69%50%86%
% under line62%67%57%82%78%85%31%50%14%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.2%
Under 9.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.0%
Under 21.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundee Utd or Draw✓ Hit
68.7%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
31%
covers Dundee Utd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd or Arbroath✓ Hit
71.0%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
31%
covers Dundee Utd + Arbroath
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Arbroath✗ Miss
60.3%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
31%
covers Draw + Arbroath
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.6%
Under
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.7%
Under
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.6%
Under
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.4%
Under
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dundee Utd, so a minus line means Dundee Utd give that many goals of a start and Arbroath receive them. At -1, Dundee Utd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundee Utd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd -2
7.0%
Draw -2
12.1%
Arbroath +2
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd -1
19.0%
Draw -1
20.7%
Arbroath +1
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd +1
68.7%
Draw +1
17.8%
Arbroath -1
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd +2
86.5%
Draw +2
9.1%
Arbroath -2
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W10W01L01L00D10W00D01LH·CEL22/03A·RAN04/04H·LIV11/04H·DUN26/04A·KIL02/05A·ABE09/05H·LIV12/05A·ST 17/05A·STI11/07A·MON14/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.400.400.400.87
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.330.670.502.00
vs Similar (24)0.420.540.420.330.420.75
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D10W10W00D00D01L00D10WH·ST 04/04A·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05A·SPA11/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.430.140.560.56
vs Stronger (10)0.500.300.500.250.500.33
vs Similar (20)0.500.400.400.100.600.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L22D20W02L01L00D01L10W00DH·CEL22/03A·RAN04/04H·LIV11/04H·DUN26/04A·KIL02/05A·ABE09/05H·LIV12/05A·ST 17/05A·STI11/07A·MON14/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.930.470.671.13
vs Stronger (5)1.201.001.670.330.502.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.790.750.500.671.08
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L01L11D11D00D00D00D00D11DH·ST 04/04A·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05A·SPA11/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.860.790.500.56
vs Stronger (10)0.801.101.001.500.670.83
vs Similar (20)0.600.450.800.500.400.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.588.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap86.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals84.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls83.7%--------
Away +2 handicap81.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards80.8%--------
Home over 0.5 goals74.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.2%--------
Under 5.5 cards72.9%--------
Over 21.5 fouls71.0%--------
Home or Away71.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Agyei33%
Jesse Randall25%
William Ferry25%
Lachlan Rose25%
Zachary Sapsford25%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
Jack James Walton0%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Bert Esselink0%
Daniel Bennie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vicko Ševelj67%
Daniel Bennie50%
Dylan Tait33%
William Ferry25%
Bert Esselink25%
Lachlan Rose25%
Zachary Sapsford25%
Panutche Camará0%
Jack James Walton0%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Jesse Randall0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mehdi Merghem33%
Jesse Randall25%
William Ferry25%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
Jack James Walton0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Bert Esselink0%
Lachlan Rose0%
Zachary Sapsford0%
Daniel Bennie0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mehdi Merghem33%
Dylan Tait33%
Daniel Bennie25%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
Jack James Walton0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Joshua Rawlins0%
Jesse Randall0%
William Ferry0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Bert Esselink0%
Lachlan Rose0%
Zachary Sapsford0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's squad is €10m more valuable than Arbroath's (€11m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dundee Utd's attack is €3m more valuable than Arbroath's (€4m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dundee Utd's midfield is €3m more valuable than Arbroath's (€3m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Dundee Utd's defence is €4m more valuable than Arbroath's (€4m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
6
DU wins
0
Draws
1
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dundee Utd vs Arbroath · H/A from DU
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24HDU Vs Arbroath4-0
02/01/24AArbroath Vs DU0-3
27/10/23HDU Vs Arbroath6-0
04/08/23AArbroath Vs DU0-4
01/02/20HDU Vs Arbroath0-1
14/12/19AArbroath Vs DU0-1
21/09/19HDU Vs Arbroath2-1

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/07/26AMontrose Vs DU1-0
11/07/26AStirling Vs DU0-1
17/05/26AST Mirren Vs DU1-1
12/05/26HDU Vs Livingston0-0
09/05/26AAberdeen Vs DU2-0
02/05/26AKilmarnock Vs DU3-0
26/04/26HDU Vs Dundee3-0
11/04/26HDU Vs Livingston3-2
04/04/26ARangers Vs DU4-2
22/03/26HDU Vs Celtic2-0

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/07/26ASpartans Vs ARB1-2
08/05/26HARB Vs Dunfermline0-0
05/05/26ADunfermline Vs ARB1-0
01/05/26ADunfermline Vs ARB0-0
25/04/26HARB Vs Partick0-0
18/04/26HARB Vs Raith Rovers2-1
18/04/26HARB Vs Raith Rvs2-1
11/04/26AAyr Utd Vs ARB1-0
11/04/26AAyr Vs ARB1-0
04/04/26HARB Vs ST Johnstone2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.30
HomeWWWWD1.71
AwayLLDWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%19%
AVG goals2.782.463.08
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %32%21%42%
Scored1.301.381.23
Conceded1.481.081.85
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners10.4911.679.36
Cards4.124.423.87
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDW1.48
HomeLWWDD1.87
AwayLLDLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%30%
AVG goals2.342.432.26
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %46%43%48%
Over 3.5 %20%26%15%
Scored1.221.481.00
Conceded1.120.961.26
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet28%39%19%
Corners8.388.338.43
Cards4.234.334.14

🏆 17. League Table

Dundee Utd plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic39
100%
3.0
82+6
3.3
67%
67%
33%
11.3
67%
2.7
33%
19.7
33%
116
5620412.70.7
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren37
67%
2.3
63+3
3.0
67%
33%
33%
11.7
67%
3.7
67%
27.0
67%
8
1332.01.0
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
4.0
50%
24.7
100%
22
12462.31.0
53%
4DundeeDundee46
50%
1.5
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
10.2
50%
3.8
50%
20.2
50%
5
1221.20.8
44%
5HibernianHibernian36
67%
2.0
54+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.7
67%
2.7
33%
24.3
100%
20
7851.71.3
47%
6MotherwellMotherwell35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
4.0
100%
28.7
100%
16
10151.71.3
58%
7RangersRangers34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
0%
12.3
100%
5.0
67%
30.0
100%
136
3844541.01.0
58%
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.8
50%
5.0
75%
24.2
100%
11
4341.21.8
42%
9ST JohnstoneST Johnstone33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
67%
67%
33%
9.3
33%
3.5
50%
21.0
33%
5
2121.72.0
-
10AberdeenAberdeen33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
10.3
67%
6.0
100%
28.0
67%
15
4470.71.3
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
33%
0%
9.0
33%
4.3
100%
30.0
67%
6
2130.31.3
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock30
0%
0.0
413-9
5.7
100%
100%
100%
9.7
33%
3.7
67%
21.3
67%
7
3231.34.3
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
Arbroath plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches