Dundee Utd enter the fixture on a positive streak, having won their last match 4-0 against Kilmarnock, while Falkirk are still reeling from a 1-2 loss to Celtic. The model sees a 41% chance of a home win, 30% for a draw and 29% for an away victory, making a Dundee Utd win the favourite outcome. The expected total goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals at a 28% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 14.3% chance. Dundee’s home form shows they average 1.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Falkirk’s away form averages 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.7%) and Under 5.5 (96.6%) with an 8% edge.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dundee Utd win
41.5%
Avg Implied 48.5% · @ 1.93
Edge
-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Dafabet
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Draw
30.2%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.63
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.70
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
Falkirk win
28.3%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.63
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.85
Betano
3.80
Pinnacle
3.78
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dundee Utd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.60
1.53
1.00
1.07
2.20
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.60
1.00
1.67
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.52
1.55
0.91
1.08
2.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Falkirk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.50
1.73
1.87
1.13
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
3.00
1.50
3.50
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.35
1.20
1.70
1.40
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.20-8.0%
Under 1.5
30.3%
@ 4.19+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Under
Unibet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Pinnacle
4.23
BetVictor
4.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.1%
@ 1.70-13.5%
Under 2.5
57.9%
@ 2.13+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Unibet
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.18
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.4%
@ 2.70-13.3%
Under 3.5
78.6%
@ 1.43+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.77
Pinnacle
2.76
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Both teams to score
Yes
48.8%
@ 1.59-9.5%
No
51.2%
@ 2.23+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
No
Unibet
2.38
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.22
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 6.72+7.6%
1-0
11.1%@ 8.26+5.7%
0-0
10.7%@ 11.72+6.9%
2-1
8.5%@ 7.91+2.9%
0-1
8.5%@ 11.62+4.7%
2-0
8.2%@ 9.84+3.6%
1-2
6.8%@ 11.19+2.8%
0-2
5.1%@ 18.62+2.7%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
Falkirk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.5%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.2%
8.5%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.6%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = Falkirk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Dundee Utd is 0.11 points worse than Falkirk in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dundee Utd is 0.03 goals worse than Falkirk in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
ST Johnstone
1.56
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Dundee Utd is 0.05 goals better than Falkirk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Dundee Utd is 8.5 percentage points worse than Falkirk in terms of average possession (42% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee Utd
For 4.2 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Falkirk
For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.2
9.2
3.4
3.1
3.7
22.5
22.1
23.0
vs Stronger (8)
13.1
14.5
11.3
3.1
3.4
2.7
20.1
19.2
21.3
vs Similar (40)
9.6
10.4
8.9
3.6
3.2
4.0
23.0
22.8
23.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
70%
45%
50%
44%
56%
52%
50%
55%
% under line
43%
30%
55%
50%
56%
44%
48%
50%
45%
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Falkirk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.9
10.4
3.6
3.7
3.5
25.7
25.5
25.8
vs Stronger (11)
10.1
9.0
11.2
3.5
3.8
3.3
24.0
25.4
22.6
vs Similar (36)
9.5
9.0
10.1
3.8
3.8
3.9
26.1
25.5
26.9
vs Weaker (3)
7.0
7.0
-
0.7
2.0
0.0
27.0
27.0
-
% over line
53%
43%
65%
54%
58%
50%
74%
74%
75%
% under line
47%
57%
35%
46%
42%
50%
26%
26%
25%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
11.0
Dundee Utd
10.5
Hibernian
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Rangers
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.1
Dundee
9.7
Falkirk
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Motherwell
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Rangers
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Celtic
3.8
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rangers
26.7
Motherwell
25.9
Aberdeen
25.6
Falkirk
25.4
Heart Of Midlothian
24.6
Kilmarnock
24.2
Hibernian
23.2
ST Mirren
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.2
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Celtic
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.0%
@ 1.76+7.5%
Under 9.5
40.0%
@ 1.95-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Under
Unibet
2.20
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.7%
Under 3.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.7%
Under 21.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundee Utd or Draw
71.7%
Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.27
Edge
-2.2%
42%
30%
28%
covers Dundee Utd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Dundee Utd or Falkirk
69.8%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.26
Edge
-4.7%
42%
30%
28%
covers Dundee Utd + Falkirk
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Falkirk
58.5%
Avg Implied 51.6% · @ 1.82
Edge
+6.8%
42%
30%
28%
covers Draw + Falkirk
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Unibet
1.82
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5
Over
73.3%
@ 1.16-7.0%
Under
26.7%
@ 4.71+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Betano
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5
Over
38.0%
@ 1.82-13.5%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.93+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Under
Unibet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5
Over
14.7%
@ 3.50-11.9%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.27+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.61
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Dundee Utd over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
@ 7.62-7.7%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.05+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Unibet
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Falkirk over/under 0.5
Over
64.9%
@ 1.34-4.4%
Under
35.1%
@ 3.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Unibet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.14
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.93
Falkirk over/under 1.5
Over
28.2%
@ 2.68-6.8%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.44+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Marathonbet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.44
Falkirk over/under 2.5
Over
8.9%
@ 6.61-5.2%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.08+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.90
Betano
6.10
Under
Unibet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Falkirk over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
@ 16.00-3.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dundee Utd, so a minus line means Dundee Utd give that many goals of a start and Falkirk receive them. At -1, Dundee Utd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundee Utd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundee Utd)
Dundee Utd -2
7.1%
@ 6.89-6.0%
Draw -2
12.6%
@ 5.47-3.7%
Falkirk +2
80.3%
@ 1.27+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Unibet
6.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.30
Away
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Handicap -1 (Dundee Utd)
Dundee Utd -1
19.7%
@ 3.35-7.1%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 3.80-1.8%
Falkirk +1
58.5%
@ 1.81+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.77
Handicap +1 (Dundee Utd)
Dundee Utd +1
71.7%
@ 1.27+0.7%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 5.35+0.2%
Falkirk -1
11.2%
@ 7.44-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Unibet
6.75
10Bet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Dundee Utd)
Dundee Utd +2
88.8%
@ 1.07+3.7%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 9.67-1.5%
Falkirk -2
3.3%
@ 16.67-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.07
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
8.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
10Bet
15.00
Unibet
14.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.47
0.33
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.33
0.67
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.61
0.45
0.27
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Falkirk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
1.07
1.00
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.57
1.25
1.50
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.65
0.90
0.90
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.5%
@ 1.31-4.4%
Under 0.5
33.5%
@ 3.21+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.35
BetVictor
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Marathonbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.0%
@ 2.49-8.5%
Under 1.5
71.0%
@ 1.49+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.54
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.52
William Hil
1.50
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 5.83-6.2%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.10+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.6%
@ 1.74-9.9%
Under
56.4%
@ 2.00+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Unibet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.7%
@ 4.69-8.0%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.15+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.60
1xBet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
@ 10.25-7.0%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.03+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Falkirk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.1%
@ 2.23-4.5%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.59+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Under
Unibet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Falkirk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.2%
@ 7.27-3.5%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.06+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.50
Betano
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Under
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Falkirk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
@ 12.50-6.4%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
1.07
0.67
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.91
1.09
0.64
0.58
1.17
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Falkirk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.67
0.87
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.43
0.25
2.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.7%
@ 1.17-6.3%
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 4.43+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Under
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.45
1xBet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.7%
@ 1.86-11.4%
Under 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.86+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Under
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 3.71-10.8%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.24+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Betano
3.60
Under
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.26
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.2%
@ 1.50-12.0%
Under
49.8%
@ 2.46+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.42
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.8%
@ 3.31-12.0%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.28+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 8.35-8.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.04+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
Falkirk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.7%
@ 1.88-4.5%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.82+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Falkirk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.6%
@ 5.26-6.0%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.12+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.10
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Falkirk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 11.00-6.1%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+8.1%
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.03
+6.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+7.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
91.1%
1.08
Unibet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+5.2%
Under 4.5
90.8%
1.15
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
+9.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
+3.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.11
+6.2%
Home +2 handicap
88.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.07
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+6.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+8.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.8%
1.24
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.26
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+10.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.3%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
+11.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.2%
1.28
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
-
+12.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.3%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
-
+9.7%
Under 3.5
78.6%
1.43
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
+13.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
73.3%
1.16
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
-7.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
72.7%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-6.3%
Away under 1.5 goals
71.8%
1.44
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.44
+6.8%
Over 8.5 corners
71.8%
1.42
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.34
-
+7.2%
Home or Draw
71.7%
1.27
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
-2.2%
Home +1 handicap
71.7%
1.27
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
-
+0.7%
Under 5.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.0%
1.49
Unibet
1.52
William Hil
1.50
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
+8.5%
Over 21.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Agyei25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
D. Bennie0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vicko Ševelj67%
D. Bennie40%
Abdoulaye Yoro33%
Dylan Tait25%
William Ferry20%
B. Esselink20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Merghem25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
D. Bennie0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Merghem25%
Dylan Tait25%
D. Bennie20%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
William Ferry0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Falkirk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ross Maclver0%
L. McCann0%
L. Neilson0%
D. Meļņiks0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Finley Frank Barbrook0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
L. Neilson33%
Ethan Ross25%
L. McCann25%
Aodhan Doherty25%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ross Maclver0%
D. Meļņiks0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Finley Frank Barbrook0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ross Maclver0%
L. McCann0%
L. Neilson0%
D. Meļņiks0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Finley Frank Barbrook0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethan Ross25%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ross Maclver0%
L. McCann0%
L. Neilson0%
D. Meļņiks0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Finley Frank Barbrook0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
Dundee Utd's squad is €5m more valuable than Falkirk's (€11m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
Dundee Utd's attack is €2m more valuable than Falkirk's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
Dundee Utd's midfield is €2m more valuable than Falkirk's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
Dundee Utd's defence is €1m more valuable than Falkirk's (€4m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Dundee
Rangers
Hibernian
ST Johnstone
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock