This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.83
1.17
2.25
1.09
1.36
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
2.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (16)
1.00
2.12
0.75
2.75
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
11%
8.8%
4.3%
1.6%
1
7.2%
14%
9.1%
4.5%
1.6%
2
4.4%
6.4%
4.7%
2.3%
0.8%
3
1.5%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.26
Aberdeen
1.87
Heart Of Midlothian
1.71
ST Johnstone
1.47
Inverness CT
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Dundee
1.26
Ross County
1.26
Partick
1.21
Hamilton
1.13
Kilmarnock
0.95
Dundee Utd
0.82
Dundee Utd is 0.13 points worse than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 0.95).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.45
Aberdeen
1.63
Heart Of Midlothian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.53
Ross County
1.45
Inverness CT
1.42
Dundee
1.39
Motherwell
1.24
Dundee Utd
1.18
Hamilton
1.11
Partick
1.08
Kilmarnock
1.08
Dundee Utd is 0.11 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.08).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.82
Heart Of Midlothian
1.05
Inverness CT
1.26
Aberdeen
1.26
Partick
1.32
ST Johnstone
1.45
Dundee
1.50
Ross County
1.61
Hamilton
1.66
Motherwell
1.66
Kilmarnock
1.68
Dundee Utd
1.84
Dundee Utd is 0.16 goals worse than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (1.84 vs 1.68).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Dundee Utd
For 6.0 · Against 6.9 · Total 12.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kilmarnock
For 4.0 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
12.3
13.1
11.5
4.1
4.6
3.5
22.3
22.5
22.1
vs Stronger (3)
15.3
15.0
16.0
3.7
4.5
2.0
20.0
21.0
18.0
vs Similar (17)
11.6
13.0
10.3
4.2
4.8
3.8
22.7
23.0
22.4
vs Weaker (2)
14.0
10.0
18.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
22.5
22.0
23.0
% over line
73%
91%
55%
59%
64%
55%
55%
55%
55%
% under line
27%
9%
45%
41%
36%
45%
45%
45%
45%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
10.7
9.0
12.5
3.9
3.1
4.7
24.6
25.2
23.8
vs Stronger (4)
14.8
13.5
16.0
4.5
2.5
6.5
28.8
29.5
28.0
vs Similar (16)
10.1
8.2
12.0
3.9
3.5
4.2
23.2
24.4
22.1
vs Weaker (3)
8.3
7.5
10.0
3.0
2.0
5.0
26.0
24.5
29.0
% over line
65%
42%
91%
57%
33%
82%
65%
75%
55%
% under line
35%
58%
9%
43%
67%
18%
35%
25%
45%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dundee Utd
12.3
Celtic
11.7
Aberdeen
11.5
Ross County
11.1
ST Johnstone
11.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.7
Kilmarnock
10.7
Inverness CT
10.5
Motherwell
10.3
Dundee
10.3
Partick
10.0
Hamilton
9.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
5.2
Hamilton
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
Kilmarnock
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Partick
3.6
Inverness CT
3.6
Dundee
3.3
Motherwell
3.3
Ross County
3.2
Aberdeen
3.2
Celtic
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
28.4
Hamilton
25.6
Aberdeen
25.2
Dundee
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.6
Inverness CT
24.5
Ross County
23.3
ST Johnstone
22.5
Partick
22.5
Dundee Utd
22.3
Motherwell
21.7
Celtic
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
81.1%
Under 9.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.2%
Under 3.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.0%
Under 21.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.45
0.73
0.55
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.33
1.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.88
0.25
0.50
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
45% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.00
0.67
1.25
0.45
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.56
1.06
0.50
1.50
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.36
1.05
0.36
1.00
0.36
1.09
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.88
0.50
0.88
0.33
0.89
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
32% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.44
1.06
0.25
1.25
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 8.5 corners
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 9.5 corners
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 10.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Dundee Utd · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Agyei25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
D. Bennie0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vicko Å evelj67%
D. Bennie40%
Abdoulaye Yoro33%
Dylan Tait25%
William Ferry20%
B. Esselink20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Merghem25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
D. Bennie0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Merghem25%
Dylan Tait25%
D. Bennie20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
William Ferry0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Kilmarnock · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Greg Kiltie25%
M. SchjÃļnning-Larsen25%
Joe Hugill25%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
E. Ring0%
B. Rice0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Hugill50%
B. Rice50%
Tyreece John-Jules25%
J. Brandon25%
Greg Kiltie25%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
G. Stanger0%
M. SchjÃļnning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Lowery50%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
Greg Kiltie0%
M. SchjÃļnning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
Joe Hugill0%
B. Rice0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joe Hugill25%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
Greg Kiltie0%
M. SchjÃļnning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
B. Rice0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
PAR (20)
€3m
RC (11)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Dundee Utd's squad is €4m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€11m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
IC (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd and Kilmarnock have a similar attack value (both €4m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (5)
€20m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Dundee Utd's midfield is €1m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€3m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
IC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's defence is €2m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€4m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Johnstone
Inverness CT
Motherwell
Dundee
Ross County
Partick