This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.20
0.62
0.94
0.71
1.50
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.69
0.33
1.33
0.43
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.82
0.80
0.70
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.9%
Under 1.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.6%
@ 2.36+3.7%
Under 2.5
56.4%
@ 1.57-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.4%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.6%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.5%
3.8%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
Dundee Utd is 0.39 points worse than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
Dundee Utd is 0.08 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
Dundee Utd is 0.24 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.84 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee Utd
For 3.9 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
For 5.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 0.8 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.0
10.9
3.5
4.1
3.0
22.7
22.7
22.7
vs Stronger (11)
11.5
12.3
10.6
3.5
4.2
2.8
17.5
18.2
16.6
vs Similar (39)
10.8
10.5
11.0
3.5
4.1
3.0
24.3
24.2
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
62%
48%
56%
68%
44%
49%
50%
48%
% under line
45%
38%
52%
44%
32%
56%
51%
50%
52%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.3
11.2
3.2
3.6
2.8
23.0
22.7
23.2
vs Stronger (19)
11.3
10.7
12.0
3.5
4.2
2.8
21.9
22.0
21.9
vs Similar (31)
11.1
11.6
10.7
3.0
3.2
2.8
23.6
23.2
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
65%
62%
38%
48%
28%
64%
61%
67%
% under line
36%
35%
38%
62%
52%
72%
36%
39%
33%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
ST Mirren
11.1
Rangers
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.7
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.4
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
Ross County
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.8
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.2
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.2
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.7
Rangers
22.2
Celtic
21.8
Partick
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.6%
Under 9.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.1%
Under 3.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.6%
Under 21.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.33
0.40
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.88
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.45
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.53
0.19
0.31
0.29
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.08
0.77
0.00
0.33
0.14
1.14
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.35
0.30
0.30
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.80
0.93
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.82
0.91
1.00
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.44
0.62
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.92
0.33
1.00
0.29
0.86
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.47
0.50
0.40
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Fletcher26%
Jamie McGrath24%
Tony Watt21%
Dylan Levitt17%
Glenn Middleton10%
Aziz Behich9%
Ian Harkes6%
Charlie Mulgrew5%
Ilmari Niskanen5%
Kieran Freeman4%
Liam Smith3%
Craig Sibbald3%
Arnaud Djoum0%
Mark Birighitti0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Scott McMann0%
Ross Graham0%
Archie Meekison0%
Peter Pawlett0%
Nicky Clark0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jack Newman0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Sadat Anaku0%
Loick Ayina0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Miller Thomson0%
Rory Macleod0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kieran Freeman32%
Loick Ayina25%
Ilmari Niskanen23%
Craig Sibbald22%
Scott McMann19%
Peter Pawlett17%
Tony Watt16%
Aziz Behich16%
Ian Harkes16%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe15%
Ryan Edwards15%
Jamie McGrath15%
Charlie Mulgrew14%
Sadat Anaku14%
Ross Graham13%
Glenn Middleton13%
Archie Meekison12%
Steven Fletcher11%
Dylan Levitt10%
Kai Fotheringham9%
Mark Birighitti7%
Arnaud Djoum6%
Nicky Clark0%
Liam Smith0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jack Newman0%
Miller Thomson0%
Rory Macleod0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Fotheringham18%
Dylan Levitt10%
Aziz Behich9%
Ian Harkes9%
Jamie McGrath9%
Peter Pawlett8%
Loick Ayina8%
Kieran Freeman8%
Ross Graham7%
Glenn Middleton6%
Steven Fletcher6%
Tony Watt5%
Ilmari Niskanen5%
Arnaud Djoum0%
Mark Birighitti0%
Charlie Mulgrew0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Scott McMann0%
Archie Meekison0%
Nicky Clark0%
Liam Smith0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jack Newman0%
Sadat Anaku0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Miller Thomson0%
Rory Macleod0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Fletcher40%
Tony Watt11%
Sadat Anaku7%
Glenn Middleton6%
Charlie Mulgrew5%
Dylan Levitt3%
Aziz Behich3%
Ryan Edwards3%
Jamie McGrath3%
Arnaud Djoum0%
Mark Birighitti0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Scott McMann0%
Ross Graham0%
Ian Harkes0%
Archie Meekison0%
Peter Pawlett0%
Nicky Clark0%
Liam Smith0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Ilmari Niskanen0%
Kieran Freeman0%
Jack Newman0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Loick Ayina0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Miller Thomson0%
Rory Macleod0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mark O'Hara23%
Curtis Main16%
Jonah Ayunga16%
Alex Greive14%
Ryan Strain11%
Tony Watt10%
Richard Tait8%
Declan Gallagher7%
Alexander Gogić7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Joe Shaughnessy5%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Scott Tanser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Thierry Small0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus27%
Charles Dunne27%
Jonah Ayunga26%
Declan Gallagher26%
Marcus Fraser21%
Mark O'Hara20%
Alexander Gogić20%
Ethan Erhahon15%
Thierry Small14%
Curtis Main14%
Scott Tanser13%
Greg Kiltie11%
Ryan Strain11%
Kieran Offord11%
Richard Taylor9%
Richard Tait8%
Alex Greive7%
Ryan Flynn5%
Joe Shaughnessy5%
Trevor Carson3%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Tony Watt0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eamonn Brophy17%
Ryan Strain14%
Jonah Ayunga11%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Thierry Small7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Mark O'Hara6%
Curtis Main5%
Ethan Erhahon5%
Ryan Flynn5%
Alexander Gogić3%
Greg Kiltie3%
Scott Tanser0%
Tony Watt0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Richard Tait0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonah Ayunga32%
Curtis Main30%
Mark O'Hara11%
Tony Watt10%
Ryan Strain8%
Eamonn Brophy8%
Thierry Small7%
Greg Kiltie6%
Alex Greive4%
Alexander Gogić3%
Keanu Baccus3%
Joe Shaughnessy0%
Scott Tanser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Richard Tait0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Dundee Utd's squad is €3m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€11m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's attack is €2m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd and ST Mirren have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Dundee Utd's defence is €1m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Rangers
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Motherwell
Livingston
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Partick
Queen's Park
Ayr Utd