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Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren Result & Analysis

Date: 18/08/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Vs
42%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dundee Utd win✓ Hit
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren win✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W00D41W02L30W21W52W22D11DH·AYR20/04H·AYR20/04A·AIR26/04H·PAR03/05A·FAL13/07H·STE16/07H·AYR20/07A·BUC23/07H·DUN04/08A·ROS10/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.932.000.802.001.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.911.001.820.732.001.25
vs Weaker (7)2.290.712.501.002.000.33
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W01L22D23L00D41W30W11D13L13LA·DUN04/05H·KIL11/05H·HEA15/05A·CEL18/05A·VAL25/07H·VAL01/08H·HIB04/08H·BRA08/08A·ABE11/08A·BRA15/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.371.331.001.131.73
vs Stronger (16)1.251.751.251.501.252.00
vs Similar (14)1.210.931.430.431.001.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.5%
Under 1.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.2%
Under 3.5
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0 ✓
10.9%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
01234
010%8.3%5.0%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.2%8.7%4.6%1.6%0.4%
33.7%3.9%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Falkirk
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
ST Johnstone
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Partick
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Dundee Utd is 2.00 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Rangers
2.50
Falkirk
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Dundee Utd is 2.00 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Falkirk
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Dundee Utd
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Stirling
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Dundee Utd is 0.17 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

For 8.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 12.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

17057561221231115274116121114151271117A·ROSH·DUNH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·QUEA·RAIA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

110212141265143233325311556A·ROSH·DUNH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·QUEA·RAIA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

320131186109516141416161147162414192128321523A·ROSH·DUNH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·QUEA·RAIA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 4.9 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1507526483114385844811187128121471312121215A·BRAA·ABEH·HIBA·CELH·HEAH·KILA·DUNH·RANA·CELH·HEA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

604232312121121211136542322324A·BRAA·ABEH·HIBH·KILA·DUNH·RANA·CELH·HEAA·MOTA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 9.5 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

290149141510997710101398121212714523291916172317241919A·BRAA·ABEH·HIBA·CELH·HEAH·KILA·DUNH·RANA·CELH·HEA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.711.312.21.21.31.121.120.921.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)11.711.312.21.61.71.421.120.921.3
vs Weaker (12)---0.00.00.0---
% over line77%71%83%14%15%12%46%43%50%
% under line23%29%17%86%85%88%54%57%50%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.111.02.62.32.921.720.922.4
vs Stronger (27)11.09.712.42.62.42.822.022.121.9
vs Similar (23)10.110.69.62.72.33.021.419.622.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line66%65%67%38%28%48%46%45%48%
% under line34%35%33%62%72%52%54%55%52%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.0
Rangers
11.4
Heart Of Midlothian
11.4
Falkirk
11.2
Kelty Hearts
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Ross County
11.1
Dundee
11.0
Kilmarnock
11.0
ST Mirren
10.8
Motherwell
10.8
Morton
10.7
Dunfermline
10.7
Dumbarton
10.6
Arbroath
10.6
Aberdeen
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Hibernian
10.4
Inverness CT
10.3
Stirling
10.3
Cove Rangers
10.2
Stranraer
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Edinburgh City
10.1
Montrose
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Forfar
10.0
Airdrie United
10.0
Partick
9.9
Livingston
9.7
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.5
Spartans
9.3
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.9
Annan Athletic
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Morton
4.3
Aberdeen
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Rangers
4.1
Dumbarton
4.1
Dundee
4.1
Montrose
4.0
Hibernian
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Dundee Utd
3.9
Falkirk
3.9
Motherwell
3.9
Stirling
3.8
East Fife
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.7
Ross County
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Partick
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Elgin
3.5
Livingston
3.5
Stranraer
3.5
Kelty Hearts
3.5
Forfar
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Spartans
3.3
ST Mirren
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.3
Inverness CT
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.0
Aberdeen
24.2
Forfar
23.8
Livingston
23.7
Elgin
23.7
Heart Of Midlothian
22.8
Kilmarnock
22.5
Morton
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.4
Stenhousemuir
22.2
Motherwell
22.0
Ross County
22.0
Rangers
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
ST Mirren
21.6
Kelty Hearts
21.6
Falkirk
21.5
Hibernian
21.4
East Fife
21.3
Spartans
20.9
Annan Athletic
20.8
Arbroath
20.8
Montrose
20.8
Edinburgh City
20.6
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Clyde
20.4
Stirling
20.3
Dundee
20.0
Stranraer
19.9
Partick
19.9
Celtic
19.7
Inverness CT
19.4
Dunfermline
19.3
Airdrie United
18.7
Cove Rangers
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.7%
Under 3.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.6%
Under 21.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundee Utd or Draw✓ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
28%
covers Dundee Utd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd or ST Mirren✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
28%
covers Dundee Utd + ST Mirren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or ST Mirren✗ Miss
57.8%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
28%
covers Draw + ST Mirren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.0%
Under
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.0%
Under
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.2%
Under
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.4%
Under
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dundee Utd, so a minus line means Dundee Utd give that many goals of a start and ST Mirren receive them. At -1, Dundee Utd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundee Utd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundee Utd)Actual: ST Mirren
Dundee Utd -2
7.4%
Draw -2
12.9%
ST Mirren +2
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Draw
Dundee Utd -1
20.3%
Draw -1
21.9%
ST Mirren +1
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd +1
72.0%
Draw +1
16.8%
ST Mirren -1
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd +2
88.9%
Draw +2
7.9%
ST Mirren -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D11D00D20W10W20W21W00DH·AYR20/04H·AYR20/04A·AIR26/04H·PAR03/05A·FAL13/07H·STE16/07H·AYR20/07A·BUC23/07H·DUN04/08A·ROS10/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.471.070.470.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.700.480.910.360.500.58
vs Weaker (7)1.290.431.500.751.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D22D00D10W00D00D11D01LA·DUN04/05H·KIL11/05H·HEA15/05A·CEL18/05A·VAL25/07H·VAL01/08H·HIB04/08H·BRA08/08A·ABE11/08A·BRA15/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.270.600.730.53
vs Stronger (16)0.560.810.250.880.880.75
vs Similar (14)0.430.290.290.290.570.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D30W02L10W11D32W01L11DH·AYR20/04H·AYR20/04A·AIR26/04H·PAR03/05A·FAL13/07H·STE16/07H·AYR20/07A·BUC23/07H·DUN04/08A·ROS10/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.470.930.331.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.220.520.910.361.500.67
vs Weaker (7)1.000.291.000.251.000.33
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D11D01L00D31W30W11D02L12LA·DUN04/05H·KIL11/05H·HEA15/05A·CEL18/05A·VAL25/07H·VAL01/08H·HIB04/08H·BRA08/08A·ABE11/08A·BRA15/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.801.070.400.401.20
vs Stronger (16)0.690.941.000.620.381.25
vs Similar (14)0.790.641.140.140.431.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.590.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals84.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.6%--------
Over 19.5 fouls81.2%--------
Away +2 handicap79.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.8%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals74.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw72.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap72.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals71.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards70.4%--------
Home or Away70.2%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sam Dalby40%
Ross Graham27%
Samuel Cleall-Harding25%
Louis Moult16%
Kristijan Trapanovski10%
Luca Stephenson10%
Emmanuel Adegboyega10%
Kevin Holt9%
Miller Thomson7%
Glenn Middleton7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Vicko Å evelj6%
David Babunski4%
Declan Gallagher3%
Ryan Strain0%
Jack Walton0%
Jort van der Sande0%
Allan Campbell0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Will Ferry0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Ferry34%
Emmanuel Adegboyega32%
Ross Docherty27%
Vicko Å evelj23%
Luca Stephenson23%
Ross Graham20%
Declan Gallagher18%
Kevin Holt17%
Louis Moult16%
Ryan Strain14%
Kristijan Trapanovski14%
David Babunski12%
Glenn Middleton10%
Jack Walton8%
Richard Odada8%
Miller Thomson7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Jort van der Sande3%
Sam Dalby3%
Allan Campbell0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Glenn Middleton14%
Ryan Strain14%
Will Ferry11%
Vicko Å evelj9%
Kristijan Trapanovski7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Declan Gallagher6%
Sam Dalby6%
Kevin Holt4%
David Babunski4%
Luca Stephenson3%
Jort van der Sande3%
Louis Moult0%
Jack Walton0%
Allan Campbell0%
Ross Graham0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Miller Thomson0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sam Dalby34%
Louis Moult16%
Glenn Middleton10%
Kevin Holt9%
Miller Thomson7%
Ross Graham7%
David Babunski4%
Kristijan Trapanovski3%
Ryan Strain0%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Jack Walton0%
Jort van der Sande0%
Allan Campbell0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Will Ferry0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Luca Stephenson0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Conor McMenamin27%
Toyosi Olusanya26%
Mikael Mandron18%
Oisin Smyth16%
Jonah Ayunga14%
Evan Mooney14%
Caolan Boyd-Munce13%
Roland Idowu13%
Mark O'Hara12%
Killian Phillips11%
Declan John11%
Alex Iacovitti7%
Richard Taylor6%
Scott Tanser3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Zac Hemming0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shaun Rooney50%
Dennis Adeniran50%
Jaden Brown29%
Toyosi Olusanya26%
Killian Phillips26%
Charles Dunne25%
Callum Penman25%
Alexander Gogić22%
Alex Iacovitti21%
Marcus Fraser21%
Greg Kiltie21%
Elvis Bwomono20%
Richard Taylor18%
Roland Idowu16%
Mikael Mandron15%
Jonah Ayunga14%
Scott Tanser14%
Mark O'Hara12%
Caolan Boyd-Munce10%
Ellery Balcombe10%
Conor McMenamin9%
Ryan Alebiosu8%
Zac Hemming6%
Declan John6%
Oisin Smyth5%
Kevin van Veen0%
James Scott0%
Owen Oseni0%
Evan Mooney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaden Brown29%
Evan Mooney14%
Jonah Ayunga11%
Mark O'Hara9%
Conor McMenamin9%
Elvis Bwomono8%
James Scott8%
Ryan Alebiosu8%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Roland Idowu6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Declan John6%
Marcus Fraser5%
Ellery Balcombe5%
Scott Tanser3%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Richard Taylor3%
Killian Phillips3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Alex Iacovitti0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Charles Dunne0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Oisin Smyth0%
Zac Hemming0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Toyosi Olusanya23%
Mikael Mandron18%
Oisin Smyth11%
Conor McMenamin9%
Jonah Ayunga7%
Roland Idowu6%
Killian Phillips6%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Mark O'Hara3%
Richard Taylor3%
Jaden Brown0%
Alex Iacovitti0%
Declan John0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Scott Tanser0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Zac Hemming0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
Evan Mooney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's squad is €3m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€11m vs €8m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dundee Utd's attack is €2m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dundee Utd and ST Mirren have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Dundee Utd's defence is €1m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €3m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
DU wins
3
Draws
4
SM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren · H/A from DU
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HDU Vs ST Mirren1-1
22/10/22AST Mirren Vs DU2-1
20/08/22HDU Vs ST Mirren0-3
19/03/22AST Mirren Vs DU1-2
18/01/22HDU Vs ST Mirren1-2
11/09/21AST Mirren Vs DU0-0
16/05/21AST Mirren Vs DU0-0
27/01/21HDU Vs ST Mirren1-5

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24ARoss County Vs DU1-1
04/08/24HDU Vs Dundee2-2
23/07/24ABuckie Thistle Vs DU2-5
20/07/24HDU Vs Ayr Utd2-1
16/07/24HDU Vs Stenhousemuir3-0
13/07/24AFalkirk Vs DU2-0
03/05/24HDU Vs Partick4-1
26/04/24AAirdrie United Vs DU0-0
20/04/24HDU Vs Ayr Utd1-0
20/04/24HDU Vs Ayr1-0

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/24ABrann Vs SM3-1
11/08/24AAberdeen Vs SM3-1
08/08/24HSM Vs Brann1-1
04/08/24HSM Vs Hibernian3-0
01/08/24HSM Vs Valur Reykjavik4-1
25/07/24AValur Reykjavik Vs SM0-0
18/05/24ACeltic Vs SM3-2
15/05/24HSM Vs Heart Of Midlothian2-2
11/05/24HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-1
04/05/24ADundee Vs SM1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD2.04
HomeWWWWD2.15
AwayWDLWD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%65%54%
AVG goals2.702.732.67
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored1.962.041.88
Conceded0.740.690.79
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet46%46%46%
Corners11.6911.2912.17
Cards4.624.714.50
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.14
HomeLDWWD1.44
AwayWLDLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.702.562.84
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.221.361.08
Conceded1.481.201.76
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners10.5410.1010.95
Cards3.363.053.65

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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