This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.70
1.53
1.27
1.13
2.13
vs Stronger (16)
1.31
2.00
1.56
1.44
1.00
2.71
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.36
1.50
1.00
1.25
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.2%
@ 2.02+15.6%
Under 2.5
37.8%
@ 1.76-15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0 ✓
8.5%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.7%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
1
7.3%
11%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
2
8.5%
9.8%
5.7%
2.2%
0.6%
3
5.8%
6.7%
3.9%
1.5%
0.4%
4
3.0%
3.5%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Livingston
2.50
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
1.97
Hibernian
1.53
Ayr Utd
1.50
Aberdeen
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
ST Mirren
1.32
Motherwell
1.29
Kilmarnock
1.16
Dundee
1.08
Ross County
0.95
ST Johnstone
0.84
Partick
0.75
Dundee Utd is 0.08 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.95
Livingston
2.25
Rangers
2.11
Hibernian
1.63
Dundee
1.50
ST Mirren
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
Aberdeen
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.18
Dundee Utd
1.18
Ross County
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.00
Partick
0.50
Ayr Utd
0.50
Dundee Utd is 0.21 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.68
Livingston
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Rangers
1.08
Heart Of Midlothian
1.24
Partick
1.25
Hibernian
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.42
ST Mirren
1.55
Aberdeen
1.61
Motherwell
1.66
Kilmarnock
1.68
Ross County
1.75
ST Johnstone
1.79
Dundee
2.03
Dundee Utd is 0.13 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
74%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
54%
Aberdeen
53%
ST Johnstone
53%
Hibernian
45%
Dundee
44%
Dundee Utd
44%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Motherwell
42%
Ross County
40%
Dundee Utd is 1.3 percentage points better than ST Mirren in terms of average possession (44% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee Utd
For 4.0 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
For 5.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 9.6 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.0
11.6
2.2
2.6
1.8
21.4
23.0
19.8
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
8.0
10.0
7.0
10.0
4.0
21.0
24.0
18.0
vs Similar (40)
11.6
11.3
11.8
2.4
2.7
2.0
21.4
22.9
20.0
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
77%
64%
91%
28%
32%
24%
50%
64%
36%
% under line
23%
36%
9%
72%
68%
76%
50%
36%
64%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.3
10.8
3.3
3.0
3.5
21.3
20.8
21.9
vs Stronger (25)
10.9
9.9
11.8
3.6
3.4
3.8
21.9
21.7
22.2
vs Similar (25)
10.2
10.8
9.6
2.9
2.7
3.2
20.6
19.8
21.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
70%
71%
68%
42%
31%
54%
48%
46%
50%
% under line
30%
29%
32%
58%
69%
46%
52%
54%
50%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.5
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Kilmarnock
11.2
Motherwell
11.0
Dundee Utd
11.0
Rangers
10.9
Ross County
10.9
Dundee
10.8
ST Mirren
10.6
Aberdeen
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.5
Hibernian
10.4
Partick
9.9
Livingston
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.5
Aberdeen
4.4
Motherwell
4.3
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Dundee Utd
4.3
Dundee
4.2
Hibernian
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Ross County
3.9
Livingston
3.9
ST Mirren
3.8
Celtic
3.7
Partick
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
24.3
Livingston
23.9
Kilmarnock
22.5
Motherwell
22.3
ST Johnstone
22.1
Rangers
22.1
Ross County
22.1
ST Mirren
21.8
Heart Of Midlothian
21.7
Dundee Utd
21.5
Hibernian
21.3
Dundee
20.0
Celtic
19.6
Partick
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.3%
Under 9.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.1%
Under 21.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.33
0.73
0.40
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.32
0.75
0.33
0.38
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.60
0.67
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
0.81
0.56
0.78
0.86
0.86
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.57
0.67
0.50
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.57
1.13
0.27
1.40
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.36
0.60
1.25
0.33
1.46
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.93
0.60
0.27
1.40
vs Stronger (16)
0.62
1.19
1.00
0.67
0.14
1.86
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.79
0.83
0.50
0.38
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sam Dalby40%
Ross Graham27%
Samuel Cleall-Harding25%
Louis Moult16%
Kristijan Trapanovski10%
Luca Stephenson10%
Emmanuel Adegboyega10%
Kevin Holt9%
Miller Thomson7%
Glenn Middleton7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Vicko Ševelj6%
David Babunski4%
Declan Gallagher3%
Ryan Strain0%
Jack Walton0%
Jort van der Sande0%
Allan Campbell0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Will Ferry0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Ferry34%
Emmanuel Adegboyega32%
Ross Docherty27%
Vicko Ševelj23%
Luca Stephenson23%
Ross Graham20%
Declan Gallagher18%
Kevin Holt17%
Louis Moult16%
Ryan Strain14%
Kristijan Trapanovski14%
David Babunski12%
Glenn Middleton10%
Jack Walton8%
Richard Odada8%
Miller Thomson7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Jort van der Sande3%
Sam Dalby3%
Allan Campbell0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Glenn Middleton14%
Ryan Strain14%
Will Ferry11%
Vicko Ševelj9%
Kristijan Trapanovski7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Declan Gallagher6%
Sam Dalby6%
Kevin Holt4%
David Babunski4%
Luca Stephenson3%
Jort van der Sande3%
Louis Moult0%
Jack Walton0%
Allan Campbell0%
Ross Graham0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Miller Thomson0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sam Dalby34%
Louis Moult16%
Glenn Middleton10%
Kevin Holt9%
Miller Thomson7%
Ross Graham7%
David Babunski4%
Kristijan Trapanovski3%
Ryan Strain0%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Jack Walton0%
Jort van der Sande0%
Allan Campbell0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Will Ferry0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Luca Stephenson0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Conor McMenamin27%
Toyosi Olusanya26%
Mikael Mandron18%
Oisin Smyth16%
Jonah Ayunga14%
Evan Mooney14%
Caolan Boyd-Munce13%
Roland Idowu13%
Mark O'Hara12%
Killian Phillips11%
Declan John11%
Alex Iacovitti7%
Richard Taylor6%
Scott Tanser3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Zac Hemming0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shaun Rooney50%
Dennis Adeniran50%
Jaden Brown29%
Toyosi Olusanya26%
Killian Phillips26%
Charles Dunne25%
Callum Penman25%
Alexander Gogić22%
Alex Iacovitti21%
Marcus Fraser21%
Greg Kiltie21%
Elvis Bwomono20%
Richard Taylor18%
Roland Idowu16%
Mikael Mandron15%
Jonah Ayunga14%
Scott Tanser14%
Mark O'Hara12%
Caolan Boyd-Munce10%
Ellery Balcombe10%
Conor McMenamin9%
Ryan Alebiosu8%
Zac Hemming6%
Declan John6%
Oisin Smyth5%
Kevin van Veen0%
James Scott0%
Owen Oseni0%
Evan Mooney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaden Brown29%
Evan Mooney14%
Jonah Ayunga11%
Mark O'Hara9%
Conor McMenamin9%
Elvis Bwomono8%
James Scott8%
Ryan Alebiosu8%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Roland Idowu6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Declan John6%
Marcus Fraser5%
Ellery Balcombe5%
Scott Tanser3%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Richard Taylor3%
Killian Phillips3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Alex Iacovitti0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Charles Dunne0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Oisin Smyth0%
Zac Hemming0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Toyosi Olusanya23%
Mikael Mandron18%
Oisin Smyth11%
Conor McMenamin9%
Jonah Ayunga7%
Roland Idowu6%
Killian Phillips6%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Mark O'Hara3%
Richard Taylor3%
Jaden Brown0%
Alex Iacovitti0%
Declan John0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Scott Tanser0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Zac Hemming0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
Evan Mooney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Dundee Utd's squad is €3m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€11m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's attack is €2m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd and ST Mirren have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Dundee Utd's defence is €1m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →