Dundee vs Aberdeen Result & Analysis

Dundee are tipped to edge Aberdeen in a 2.6-goal encounter, with the model favouring a home win. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13 % chance, while the expected total of 2.6 goals suggests a balanced but slightly high-scoring game. Dundee, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.4 conceded, whereas Aberdeen, on the road to a weaker opponent, nets 1.2 and concedes 1.6. The odds of a win for the home side stand at 51 %, a draw at 27 %, and an away win at 22 %. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 78.2 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.2 %, Under 5.5 cards at 76.2 %, Over 1.5 goals at 75.0 % (hit), Under 3.5 goals at 73.0 % (miss), and Under 11.5 corners at 70.4 % (hit). Dundee’s recent form, with a win in their last match, adds momentum, while Aberdeen’s recent 3-0 win shows they are also in good shape.

Dundee’s win extends their recent run, while Aberdeen also come off a victory, setting the stage for a closely contested match. The model’s pre-match favourite was a Home win with a 51 % probability, and this call proved correct as the final score was 3-2 in Dundee’s favour. The model’s selections performed largely as expected: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 78.2 %, Over 1.5 hit at 75.0 %, Under 11.5 corners hit at 70.4 %, but Under 3.5 missed at 73.0 %. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13 %, followed by 1-0 and 2-1, yet the 3-2 result delivered a higher-than-expected tally, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.