This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee Utd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.87
2.27
0.67
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.00
1.90
0.70
0.83
1.25
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
0.50
3.00
0.60
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.9%
@ 1.82-12.8%
Under 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.95+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2 â
4.8%
Dundee goals ↓
Dundee Utd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.8%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.2%
2.0%
0.5%
2
8.9%
8.4%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee goals (down), columns = Dundee Utd goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Dundee Utd
2.11
Inverness CT
1.67
Dundee
1.52
Ayr
1.48
Arbroath
1.38
Dunfermline
1.32
Morton
1.29
Alloa
1.11
Queen of Sth
1.00
Partick
0.96
Dundee is 0.59 points worse than Dundee Utd in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 2.11).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dundee Utd
1.86
Morton
1.61
Dunfermline
1.46
Inverness CT
1.44
Ayr
1.41
Partick
1.19
Dundee
1.19
Alloa
1.18
Queen of Sth
1.00
Arbroath
0.92
Dundee is 0.67 goals worse than Dundee Utd in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.86).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dundee Utd
0.79
Arbroath
1.00
Dundee
1.15
Inverness CT
1.19
Dunfermline
1.29
Ayr
1.30
Queen of Sth
1.43
Alloa
1.54
Partick
1.74
Morton
1.86
Dundee is 0.36 goals worse than Dundee Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 0.79).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Dundee
For 6.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 12.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 16.5 · Total 25.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
For 7.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.2
10.2
3.5
3.4
3.6
23.3
21.2
25.4
vs Stronger (15)
11.2
11.3
11.0
3.6
3.7
3.5
22.3
23.0
21.3
vs Similar (33)
10.2
10.6
9.9
3.3
2.9
3.6
23.6
19.6
26.6
vs Weaker (2)
15.5
15.5
-
5.0
5.0
-
24.5
24.5
-
% over line
52%
52%
52%
50%
44%
56%
62%
52%
72%
% under line
48%
48%
48%
50%
56%
44%
38%
48%
28%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.2
12.0
3.9
4.2
3.7
23.5
24.1
22.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
10.8
9.7
11.9
4.0
4.0
4.0
23.4
24.0
22.9
vs Weaker (12)
11.8
11.4
12.4
3.6
4.6
2.2
23.6
24.4
22.4
% over line
66%
52%
80%
60%
64%
56%
62%
60%
64%
% under line
34%
48%
20%
40%
36%
44%
38%
40%
36%
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Inverness CT
11.6
Partick
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Alloa
11.1
Dundee
10.7
Morton
10.6
Queen of Sth
10.0
Arbroath
10.0
Dunfermline
9.6
Ayr
9.4
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dundee Utd
3.9
Arbroath
3.8
Inverness CT
3.5
Dundee
3.5
Dunfermline
3.3
Morton
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.2
Ayr
3.1
Partick
3.1
Alloa
3.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundee Utd
23.5
Dundee
23.3
Morton
22.5
Dunfermline
22.2
Ayr
22.1
Alloa
22.0
Arbroath
21.7
Inverness CT
21.6
Queen of Sth
20.6
Partick
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
75.4%
Under 9.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.53
0.40
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.25
0.75
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.77
0.67
0.33
0.85
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.43
1.13
0.33
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.25
1.40
0.20
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.40
1.07
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.91
0.44
1.22
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
1.13
0.33
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.90
0.30
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.25
1.60
0.40
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 9.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Dundee · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Westley40%
D. Wright20%
C. Reilly20%
Owen Bevan20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Hamilton20%
D. Wright20%
Ryan Finnigan20%
J. Westley20%
Owen Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
C. Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
Joe Bevan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alan Forrest20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
D. Wright0%
F. Robertson0%
C. Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
J. Westley0%
B. Wales0%
Owen Bevan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
C. Reilly20%
J. Westley20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
D. Wright0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
Owen Bevan0%
Dundee Utd · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Agyei25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
D. Bennie0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vicko Å evelj67%
D. Bennie40%
Abdoulaye Yoro33%
Dylan Tait25%
William Ferry20%
B. Esselink20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Merghem25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
D. Bennie0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Merghem25%
Dylan Tait25%
D. Bennie20%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
William Ferry0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Dundee's squad is €5m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€5m vs €11m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Dundee's attack is €2m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€1m vs €4m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Dundee and Dundee Utd have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Dundee's defence is €2m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€2m vs €4m).
Scotland: Championship 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Inverness CT
Dunfermline
Arbroath
Morton
Partick