This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee Utd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.60
1.53
1.00
1.07
2.20
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.60
1.00
1.67
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.52
1.55
0.91
1.08
2.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.6%
Under 2.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.4%
No
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
4.7%
Dundee goals ↓
Dundee Utd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
4.1%
3.5%
1.6%
0.5%
1
6.3%
11%
6.6%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.0%
9.4%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
3
4.5%
6.1%
4.1%
1.9%
0.6%
4
2.2%
2.9%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee goals (down), columns = Dundee Utd goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Dundee is 0.08 points worse than Dundee Utd in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dundee is 0.18 goals worse than Dundee Utd in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
ST Johnstone
1.56
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Dundee is 0.03 goals worse than Dundee Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Dundee is 1.4 percentage points better than Dundee Utd in terms of average possession (44% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee
For 4.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 9.7 · Total 18.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
For 4.2 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
8.9
2.2
2.2
2.2
22.6
22.1
23.0
vs Stronger (19)
9.6
8.8
10.8
1.7
1.9
1.6
21.8
21.7
22.0
vs Similar (29)
8.9
9.9
8.2
2.7
2.6
2.7
23.4
23.5
23.4
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
12.0
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
14.0
14.0
-
% over line
55%
60%
50%
30%
30%
30%
59%
47%
71%
% under line
45%
40%
50%
70%
70%
70%
41%
53%
29%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.3
2.0
1.7
2.3
21.3
21.6
21.1
vs Stronger (8)
13.2
14.0
12.5
1.5
2.0
1.0
20.8
22.5
19.0
vs Similar (40)
9.9
9.8
10.0
2.1
1.7
2.7
21.4
21.4
21.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
63%
67%
60%
30%
27%
33%
48%
50%
47%
% under line
37%
33%
40%
70%
73%
67%
52%
50%
53%
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
11.0
Dundee Utd
10.5
Hibernian
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Rangers
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.1
Dundee
9.7
Falkirk
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Motherwell
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Rangers
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Celtic
3.8
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rangers
26.7
Motherwell
25.9
Aberdeen
25.6
Falkirk
25.4
Heart Of Midlothian
24.6
Kilmarnock
24.2
Hibernian
23.2
ST Mirren
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.2
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Celtic
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.2%
Under 9.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.7%
Under 3.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
57.9%
Under 21.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundee or Draw
74.0%
Avg Implied -
50%
24%
26%
covers Dundee + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dundee or Dundee Utd
75.9%
Avg Implied -
50%
24%
26%
covers Dundee + Dundee Utd
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dundee Utd
50.2%
Avg Implied -
50%
24%
26%
covers Draw + Dundee Utd
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundee over/under 0.5
Over
85.4%
Under
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5
Over
57.3%
Under
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5
Over
30.3%
Under
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 3.5
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5
Over
74.2%
Under
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5
Over
39.2%
Under
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 3.5
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dundee, so a minus line means Dundee give that many goals of a start and Dundee Utd receive them. At -1, Dundee must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundee win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundee)
Dundee -2
13.6%
Draw -2
15.4%
Dundee Utd +2
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dundee)
Dundee -1
29.0%
Draw -1
20.8%
Dundee Utd +1
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dundee)
Dundee +1
74.0%
Draw +1
14.4%
Dundee Utd -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dundee)
Dundee +2
88.3%
Draw +2
7.6%
Dundee Utd -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.64
0.71
0.38
0.31
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.58
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.17
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.50
0.86
0.57
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.47
0.33
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.33
0.67
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.61
0.45
0.27
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.83
1.43
0.57
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.17
1.17
0.67
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.69
1.29
0.57
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (2)
4.50
0.00
4.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
1.07
0.67
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.91
1.09
0.64
0.58
1.17
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Westley40%
D. Wright20%
C. Reilly20%
Owen Bevan20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Hamilton20%
D. Wright20%
Ryan Finnigan20%
J. Westley20%
Owen Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
C. Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
Joe Bevan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alan Forrest20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
D. Wright0%
F. Robertson0%
C. Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
J. Westley0%
B. Wales0%
Owen Bevan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
C. Reilly20%
J. Westley20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
D. Wright0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
Owen Bevan0%
Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Agyei25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
D. Bennie0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vicko Ševelj67%
D. Bennie40%
Abdoulaye Yoro33%
Dylan Tait25%
William Ferry20%
B. Esselink20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Merghem25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
D. Bennie0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Merghem25%
Dylan Tait25%
D. Bennie20%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
William Ferry0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
Dundee's squad is €5m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€5m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
Dundee's attack is €2m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€1m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
Dundee and Dundee Utd have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
Dundee's defence is €2m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€2m vs €4m).
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Rangers
Hibernian
ST Johnstone
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Kilmarnock