Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Analysis

The clash at Tannadice is a tight one, with the model pointing to an away win as the most likely outcome. Home and away win probabilities sit at 35% and 36% respectively, with a draw at 29%. The average goal tally is 2.6, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.9% chance. Dundee, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Hearts, on the road against a weaker side, average 0.89 scored and 0.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 90.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 81.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 81.1%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.8%, Under 3.5 at 74.4%, Over 1.5 at 73.8% (miss), and Under 5.5 cards at 72.0% (miss). Dundee’s recent form shows a mixed LWLWL streak and a recent 1-2 loss to Hibernian, while Hearts remain unbeaten in their last five, with a 2-1 win over St Johnstone. This balance of form and the narrow margin in probabilities keep the contest open, with the model favouring a Hearts victory.

The match saw the predicted outcome materialise, with Heart Of Midlothian securing a 0-1 victory at home. The model had named an away win as the favourite, assigning a 36% probability, and it proved correct. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s pick. The model’s suggested selections largely hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 90.4% probability, Over 2.5 cards at 81.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 81.1%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.8%, and Under 3.5 at 74.4% all came through. Two picks missed: Over 1.5 at 73.8% and Under 5.5 cards at 72.0%. The game’s form narrative showed Dundee struggling after a recent defeat, while Hearts remained unbeaten in their last five, underpinning the model’s accurate forecast.