This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.60
1.53
1.40
1.13
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.40
1.33
2.67
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.60
1.12
1.67
1.25
1.54
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.9%
@ 1.97+0.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
@ 1.82-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
Dundee goals ↓
Motherwell goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
8.7%
6.8%
3.1%
1.1%
1
7.8%
14%
8.5%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.7%
7.8%
5.4%
2.5%
0.8%
3
2.4%
3.3%
2.2%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee goals (down), columns = Motherwell goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
Dundee is 0.03 points worse than Motherwell in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
Dundee is 0.18 goals worse than Motherwell in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Dundee is 0.24 goals worse than Motherwell in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
Dundee is 1.8 percentage points worse than Motherwell in terms of average possession (44% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee
For 5.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Motherwell
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Dundee
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.4
1.0
0.8
1.2
21.2
17.1
25.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
10.0
9.6
10.4
1.2
1.0
1.4
21.2
17.1
25.9
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
50%
71%
10%
4%
16%
53%
25%
86%
% under line
40%
50%
29%
90%
96%
84%
47%
75%
14%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
8.6
13.5
0.7
0.4
1.0
24.0
23.2
24.8
vs Stronger (8)
12.5
7.0
18.0
0.8
1.2
0.2
24.5
27.0
22.0
vs Similar (40)
10.9
9.0
12.8
0.6
0.2
0.9
23.9
22.2
25.5
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
-
12.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
20%
83%
10%
4%
16%
80%
60%
100%
% under line
45%
80%
17%
90%
96%
84%
20%
40%
0%
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee
10.8
Motherwell
10.7
Rangers
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Hibernian
10.2
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.8
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hibernian
4.3
Rangers
4.3
Aberdeen
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Ross County
3.9
Dundee
3.8
ST Johnstone
3.8
Partick
3.5
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Airdrie United
3.2
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.6
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Dundee
24.1
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Rangers
21.4
Celtic
20.7
Partick
20.6
Airdrie United
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.5%
Under 9.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.8%
Under 3.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.5%
Under 21.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.94
0.38
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.60
0.93
0.29
0.82
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.44
0.83
0.42
0.46
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.33
1.81
0.56
0.86
0.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.56
0.24
2.00
0.43
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
0.87
1.07
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.40
1.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.68
0.83
0.83
1.08
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luke McCowan27%
Michael Mellon21%
Lyall Cameron16%
Jordan McGhee15%
Zak Rudden14%
Zach Robinson14%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Lee Ashcroft12%
Juan Portales9%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Owen Beck8%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Josh Mulligan6%
Ricki Lamie5%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Diego Pineda0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Jon McCracken0%
Owen Dodgson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Ryan Howley0%
Aaron Donnelly0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Owen Beck32%
Lee Ashcroft25%
Dara Costelloe25%
Owen Dodgson25%
Luke McCowan22%
Curtis Main21%
Zak Rudden21%
Michael Mellon21%
Aaron Donnelly19%
Amadou Bakayoko19%
Malachi Boateng16%
Jordan McGhee15%
Josh Mulligan11%
Cammy Kerr10%
Ricki Lamie10%
Juan Portales9%
Finlay Robertson8%
Lyall Cameron6%
Joe Shaughnessy6%
Mohammad Sylla4%
Trevor Carson4%
Scott Tiffoney4%
Diego Pineda0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Zach Robinson0%
Jon McCracken0%
Ryan Howley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Owen Beck16%
Aaron Donnelly14%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Dara Costelloe12%
Luke McCowan11%
Mohammad Sylla8%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Zak Rudden7%
Michael Mellon7%
Owen Dodgson6%
Ricki Lamie5%
Juan Portales5%
Malachi Boateng3%
Joe Shaughnessy3%
Diego Pineda0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Lee Ashcroft0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Lyall Cameron0%
Josh Mulligan0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Zach Robinson0%
Jon McCracken0%
Ryan Howley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Pineda33%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Luke McCowan11%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Zak Rudden7%
Michael Mellon7%
Jordan McGhee6%
Josh Mulligan6%
Zach Robinson5%
Aaron Donnelly5%
Lyall Cameron3%
Joe Shaughnessy3%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Juan Portales0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Ricki Lamie0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Lee Ashcroft0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Owen Beck0%
Jon McCracken0%
Owen Dodgson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Ryan Howley0%
Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Biereth43%
Moses Ebiye33%
Luca Ross33%
Thelonius Bair32%
Conor Wilkinson21%
Blair Spittal19%
Jack Vale15%
Sam Nicholson12%
Dan Casey11%
Jonathan Obika10%
Adam Devine10%
Andy Halliday8%
Shane Blaney8%
Harrison Paton8%
Bevis Mugabi6%
Callum Slattery5%
Davor Zdravkovski4%
Georgie Gent3%
Paul McGinn3%
Pape Souaré0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Oli Shaw0%
Liam Kelly0%
Calum Butcher0%
Brodie Spencer0%
Lennon Miller0%
Mark Ferrie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calum Butcher47%
Brodie Spencer39%
Callum Slattery35%
Pape Souaré33%
Dan Casey29%
Conor Wilkinson21%
Davor Zdravkovski19%
Georgie Gent17%
Stephen O'Donnell16%
Harrison Paton15%
Jack Vale15%
Mika Biereth14%
Blair Spittal14%
Sam Nicholson12%
Lennon Miller12%
Paul McGinn10%
Andy Halliday8%
Liam Kelly8%
Bevis Mugabi6%
Oli Shaw5%
Shane Blaney4%
Thelonius Bair3%
Jonathan Obika0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Adam Devine0%
Mark Ferrie0%
Luca Ross0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Blair Spittal30%
Mika Biereth29%
Georgie Gent17%
Jack Vale15%
Thelonius Bair13%
Stephen O'Donnell11%
Oli Shaw11%
Andy Halliday8%
Lennon Miller8%
Conor Wilkinson7%
Dan Casey7%
Brodie Spencer6%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Bevis Mugabi0%
Pape Souaré0%
Callum Slattery0%
Shane Blaney0%
Jonathan Obika0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Liam Kelly0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Calum Butcher0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Adam Devine0%
Mark Ferrie0%
Luca Ross0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thelonius Bair21%
Blair Spittal14%
Jack Vale8%
Conor Wilkinson7%
Brodie Spencer6%
Oli Shaw5%
Callum Slattery5%
Andy Halliday0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Bevis Mugabi0%
Pape Souaré0%
Shane Blaney0%
Jonathan Obika0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Kelly0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Calum Butcher0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Dan Casey0%
Mika Biereth0%
Georgie Gent0%
Adam Devine0%
Lennon Miller0%
Mark Ferrie0%
Luca Ross0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Dundee's squad is €10m less valuable than Motherwell's (€5m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Dundee's attack is €8m less valuable than Motherwell's (€1m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Dundee and Motherwell have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
Dundee's defence is €3m less valuable than Motherwell's (€2m vs €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →