Dundee vs ST Johnstone Result & Analysis

The match between Dundee and ST Johnstone is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. Home win probability is 37%, a draw 29% and an away win 34%. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14% chance. Dundee, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.89 conceded, while ST Johnstone, on the road, averages 1.5 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded. The suggested selections are: Over 19.5 fouls 88%, Over 2.5 cards 80.8%, Over 21.5 fouls 77.4%, Under 3.5 75.1%, Over 8.5 corners 73.2%, Over 1.5 73.1%, and Under 5.5 cards 73.0%. Each selection is presented with its probability, and the edge is noted where applicable. This concise preview highlights the tight odds, the expected scoring pattern, and the model’s key picks.

Dundee’s win extended their recent run, as the final score of 1-0 confirmed the model’s pick for a home victory. The prediction, made with a 37% probability, proved correct. The match saw the most likely total of 2 goals, with a 27% chance, and the 1-1 scoreline was the most probable outcome at 14%. The model’s selections performed largely well: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 88%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 77.4%, Under 3.5 hit at 75.1%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 73.2%, and Under 5.5 cards hit at 73.0%. Over 2.5 cards missed at 80.8% and Over 1.5 missed at 73.1%. The game reflected the balanced form of both sides, with Dundee’s defense holding strong to secure the win.