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Dundela vs Annagh United Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-2
Dundela
Dundela
Vs
31%
27%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annagh United
Annagh United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Annagh United is expected to win this match, with Dundela struggling at home against stronger opponents. Dundela has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing 3 of those games, including a 2-2 draw against Moyola Park. However, they face a tough test against Annagh United, who have been coming off a defeat but have a strong away record against weaker opponents, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding 1.83.

Annagh United's away form is expected to give them the edge in this match, with Dundela's home form being less impressive. The model predicts a 42% chance of Annagh United winning, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 31% chance of Dundela winning.

The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.9, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.7%. The model's selection is the Over 1.5, with a probability of 79.4%.

Results analysis

In a stunning turn of events, Annagh United have drawn against Dundela, spoiling the pre-match favourite's chances. The game ended 2-2, extending Dundela's unbeaten run to 6 matches. The model's selection, Annagh United's away win, was incorrect, as they failed to capitalise on their 42% pre-match probability. The model's pick was not the only one to miss out, as the most likely scores of 1-1, 1-2, and 2-1 all MISSED. However, the model did get one thing right, as the Over 1.5 goal line was hit, with a probability of 79.3%. Annagh United's away form showed they were coming off a draw, having scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 1.5 in their last 5 matches.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dundela win✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 3.98
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.17
Bet365
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.72
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.90
Dafabet
3.85
Betano
3.85
1xBet
3.76
Marathonbet
3.74
Annagh United win✗ Miss
41.8%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.71
Edge
-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.73
BetVictor
1.70

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DundelaDundela

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D11D12L10W20W00D22D22D22DA·H&W10/03H·ARD14/03A·ANN21/03H·INS28/03A·ARD04/04H·WAR11/04H·ARM18/04A·BAL25/04H·MOY08/08A·ARD11/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.871.201.801.271.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.061.651.001.861.101.50
vs Weaker (13)1.462.151.381.751.602.80
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L11D04L02L04L23L21W14L42WH·DUN21/03A·NEW27/03H·LOU04/04H·QUE11/04H·LIM18/04A·H&W24/04H·CRU28/04A·CRU01/05A·NEW08/08H·RAT11/08← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.431.761.411.151.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.621.691.881.751.201.60
vs Weaker (17)1.411.241.671.111.121.38
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
@ 1.19+2.7%
Under 1.5
20.7%
@ 3.92-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.68-0.1%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 2.05+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
BetVictor
1.67
Betano
1.65
Under
Bet365
2.20
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.5%
@ 2.65-1.7%
Under 3.5
67.5%
@ 1.38+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Pinnacle
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.0%
@ 1.65+3.5%
No
41.0%
@ 2.06-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
BetVictor
1.65
Betano
1.65
No
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 7.25+6.7%
1-2
9.0%@ 7.50+3.2%
2-1
7.6%@ 13.50+4.4%
0-1
7.6%@ 7.50+1.8%
0-2
6.8%@ 8.38+1.6%
0-0
6.8%@ 12.62+3.3%
1-0
6.3%@ 13.50+3.0%
2-2 ✓
5.9%@ 13.50+2.7%
Dundela goals ↓
Annagh United goals →
01234
06.8%7.6%6.8%3.5%1.4%
16.3%13%9.0%4.7%1.8%
24.9%7.6%5.9%3.1%1.2%
32.2%3.4%2.6%1.4%0.5%
40.7%1.1%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundela goals (down), columns = Annagh United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newington Youth
2.60
H&W Welders
2.40
Glenavon FC
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Queen's University
2.00
Loughgall
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Moyola Park
1.40
Ards
1.40
Warrenpoint Town
1.40
Ballinamallard United
1.20
Institute
0.80
Dundela
0.60
Strabane Athletic
0.60
Armagh City
0.40
Rathfriland
0.00
Dundela is 1.40 points worse than Annagh United in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glenavon FC
2.80
Newington Youth
2.80
Annagh United
2.40
Queen's University
2.20
Loughgall
2.00
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
H&W Welders
1.80
Dundela
1.40
Newry City AFC
1.40
Strabane Athletic
1.20
Moyola Park
1.20
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Rathfriland
1.00
Institute
0.80
Armagh City
0.60
Dundela is 1.00 goals worse than Annagh United in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
H&W Welders
0.60
Queen's University
1.00
Newington Youth
1.00
Loughgall
1.40
Moyola Park
1.40
Armagh City
1.40
Glenavon FC
1.60
Ballinamallard United
1.60
Annagh United
1.80
Institute
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
Dundela
2.00
Strabane Athletic
2.00
Rathfriland
3.20
Dundela is 0.20 goals worse than Annagh United in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DundelaDundela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L01L01L10W20W00D10W10W00DA·H&W10/03H·ARD14/03A·ANN21/03H·INS28/03A·ARD04/04H·WAR11/04H·ARM18/04A·BAL25/04H·MOY08/08A·ARD11/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.530.530.330.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.240.590.290.860.200.40
vs Weaker (13)0.690.770.750.250.601.60
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L00D01L03L21W10W12L30WH·DUN21/03A·NEW27/03H·LOU04/04H·QUE11/04H·LIM18/04A·H&W24/04H·CRU28/04A·CRU01/05A·NEW08/08H·RAT11/08← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.501.000.350.620.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.920.541.000.250.801.00
vs Weaker (17)0.760.471.000.440.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DundelaDundela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W11D00D00D00D12L12L22DA·H&W10/03H·ARD14/03A·ANN21/03H·INS28/03A·ARD04/04H·WAR11/04H·ARM18/04A·BAL25/04H·MOY08/08A·ARD11/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.200.671.270.931.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.821.060.711.000.901.10
vs Weaker (13)0.771.380.621.501.001.20
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L10W04L01L01L02L11D02L12LH·DUN21/03A·NEW27/03H·LOU04/04H·QUE11/04H·LIM18/04A·H&W24/04H·CRU28/04A·CRU01/05A·NEW08/08H·RAT11/08← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.930.761.060.540.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.691.150.881.500.400.60
vs Weaker (17)0.650.760.670.670.620.88
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.3%1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-+2.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (13)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (3)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (9)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
DUN wins
2
Draws
5
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dundela vs Annagh United · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26AAnnagh United Vs DUN1-1
13/12/25AAnnagh United Vs DUN2-1
06/09/25HDUN Vs Annagh United0-3
05/04/25AAnnagh United Vs DUN2-0
18/03/25HDUN Vs Annagh United0-1
25/10/24AAnnagh United Vs DUN0-0
21/09/24HDUN Vs Annagh United2-0
02/04/24HDUN Vs Annagh United0-1

DundelaDundela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/26AArds Vs DUN2-2
08/08/26HDUN Vs Moyola Park2-2
25/04/26ABallinamallard United Vs DUN2-2
18/04/26HDUN Vs Armagh City0-0
11/04/26HDUN Vs Warrenpoint Town2-0
04/04/26AArds Vs DUN0-1
28/03/26HDUN Vs Institute1-2
21/03/26AAnnagh United Vs DUN1-1
14/03/26HDUN Vs Ards1-1
10/03/26AH&W Welders Vs DUN3-1

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/26HAU Vs Rathfriland4-2
08/08/26ANewington Youth Vs AU4-1
01/05/26ACrusaders FC Vs AU1-2
28/04/26HAU Vs Crusaders FC2-3
24/04/26AH&W Welders Vs AU4-0
18/04/26HAU Vs Limavady United0-2
11/04/26HAU Vs Queen's University0-4
04/04/26HAU Vs Loughgall1-1
27/03/26ANewington Youth Vs AU1-0
21/03/26HAU Vs Dundela1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dundela
Dundela
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDD0.76
HomeDLWDD0.96
AwayLDWDD0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%19%8%
AVG goals3.103.153.04
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %40%46%33%
Scored1.141.271.00
Conceded1.961.882.04
BTTS68%69%67%
Clean Sheet12%15%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Annagh United
Annagh United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.92
HomeDLLLW2.08
AwayWLLWL1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%65%54%
AVG goals2.963.122.79
Over 1.5 %76%88%62%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored1.701.851.54
Conceded1.261.271.25
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Newington YouthNewington Youth513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2H&W WeldersH&W Welders512
80%
2.4
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC510
60%
2.0
148+6
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.81.6
-
4QueenQueen's University510
60%
2.0
115+6
3.2
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Annagh UnitedAnnagh United510
60%
2.0
129+3
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.8
-
6LoughgallLoughgall59
40%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC59
60%
1.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
8ArdsArds57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
10Moyola ParkMoyola Park57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
12InstituteInstitute54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
13DundelaDundela53
0%
0.6
710-3
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic53
20%
0.6
610-4
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
15Armagh CityArmagh City52
0%
0.4
37-4
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
16RathfrilandRathfriland50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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