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Dundela vs H&W Welders Result & Analysis

Date: 26/09/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 3-3
Dundela
Dundela
Vs
23%
22%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dundela win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders win✗ Miss
54.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DundelaDundela

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L13L13L22D01L03L22D03L12LH·ARD19/04A·BAN26/04A·WAR09/08H·QUE16/08H·LOU23/08A·ARD29/08H·ANN06/09H·INS13/09A·LIM16/09A·BAL20/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.302.001.402.001.202.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.941.272.091.001.60
vs Weaker (14)1.432.071.751.751.302.20
Clean sheet %7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L23L30W01L32W30W12L21W11D30WH·BAN19/04H·LIM26/04H·ARM09/08A·BAL16/08H·NEW23/08A·QUE30/08H·ARD06/09A·LOU13/09H·WAR16/09A·LIM20/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.072.210.931.751.19
vs Stronger (18)2.001.221.890.892.111.56
vs Similar (6)1.830.833.002.001.250.25
vs Weaker (6)2.000.832.670.331.331.33
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.8%
Under 2.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.2%
Under 3.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.0%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
0-3
5.0%
Dundela goals ↓
H&W Welders goals →
01234
03.9%5.6%7.0%5.0%2.7%
13.2%9.7%9.4%6.7%3.6%
22.8%5.9%6.4%4.5%2.4%
31.2%2.7%2.9%2.0%1.1%
40.4%0.9%1.0%0.7%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundela goals (down), columns = H&W Welders goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Dundela is 1.00 points worse than H&W Welders in terms of average points per game (0.74 vs 1.74).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Dundela is 1.16 goals worse than H&W Welders in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 2.29).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Dundela is 0.76 goals worse than H&W Welders in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.26).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DundelaDundela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L10W11D00D02L01L01L11DH·ARD19/04A·BAN26/04A·WAR09/08H·QUE16/08H·LOU23/08A·ARD29/08H·ANN06/09H·INS13/09A·LIM16/09A·BAL20/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.601.070.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.880.451.090.600.40
vs Weaker (14)1.000.791.001.001.000.70
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L20W20W01L21W11D00DH·BAN19/04H·LIM26/04H·ARM09/08A·BAL16/08H·NEW23/08A·QUE30/08H·ARD06/09A·LOU13/09H·WAR16/09A·LIM20/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.860.360.690.50
vs Stronger (18)0.670.440.670.330.670.56
vs Similar (6)0.500.330.500.500.500.25
vs Weaker (6)1.330.501.670.331.000.67
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DundelaDundela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L12L03L11D01L01L21W02L01LH·ARD19/04A·BAN26/04A·WAR09/08H·QUE16/08H·LOU23/08A·ARD29/08H·ANN06/09H·INS13/09A·LIM16/09A·BAL20/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.170.800.930.331.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.691.060.821.000.401.20
vs Weaker (14)0.431.290.750.750.301.50
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L20W00D12L10W11D00D00D30WH·BAN19/04H·LIM26/04H·ARM09/08A·BAL16/08H·NEW23/08A·QUE30/08H·ARD06/09A·LOU13/09H·WAR16/09A·LIM20/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.631.360.571.060.69
vs Stronger (18)1.330.781.220.561.441.00
vs Similar (6)1.330.502.501.500.750.00
vs Weaker (6)0.670.331.000.000.330.67
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
DUN wins
0
Draws
6
HW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dundela vs H&W Welders · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25AH&W Welders Vs DUN2-1
15/02/25HDUN Vs H&W Welders1-2
27/12/24HDUN Vs H&W Welders1-2
27/08/24AH&W Welders Vs DUN1-3
26/04/24HDUN Vs H&W Welders2-3
09/03/24AH&W Welders Vs DUN3-1
27/12/23AH&W Welders Vs DUN2-1
13/10/23HDUN Vs H&W Welders2-1

DundelaDundela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ABallinamallard United Vs DUN2-1
16/09/25ALimavady United Vs DUN3-0
13/09/25HDUN Vs Institute2-2
06/09/25HDUN Vs Annagh United0-3
29/08/25AArds Vs DUN1-0
23/08/25HDUN Vs Loughgall2-2
16/08/25HDUN Vs Queen's University1-3
09/08/25AWarrenpoint Town Vs DUN3-1
26/04/25ABangor Vs DUN3-1
19/04/25HDUN Vs Ards1-0

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ALimavady United Vs HW0-3
16/09/25HHW Vs Warrenpoint Town1-1
13/09/25ALoughgall Vs HW1-2
06/09/25HHW Vs Ards1-2
30/08/25AQueen's University Vs HW0-3
23/08/25HHW Vs Newington Youth3-2
16/08/25ABallinamallard United Vs HW1-0
09/08/25HHW Vs Armagh City3-0
26/04/25HHW Vs Limavady United2-3
19/04/25HHW Vs Bangor0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dundela
Dundela
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.10
HomeWLDLD1.08
AwayLLLLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals3.283.503.04
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %66%69%62%
Over 3.5 %48%54%42%
Scored1.441.541.33
Conceded1.841.961.71
BTTS68%69%67%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners---
Cards---
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.76
HomeLWWLD1.79
AwayWLWWW1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%58%50%
AVG goals3.363.253.46
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %72%75%69%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored2.042.042.04
Conceded1.321.211.42
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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