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Dundela vs Newington Youth Result & Analysis

Date: 16/11/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Dundela
Dundela
Vs
56%
22%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newington Youth
Newington Youth
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dundela win✓ Hit
56.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth win✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DundelaDundela

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L20W11D30W01L10W00D23L13LA·ARD07/09A·BAN13/09H·ANN21/09A·NEW28/09A·BAL05/10H·ARM12/10H·ARD19/10A·ANN25/10A·LIM02/11H·BAN09/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.571.821.531.691.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.811.432.001.451.601.40
vs Weaker (9)1.671.891.501.672.002.33
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L00D04L11D10W14L13L01L22D02LA·BAL07/09H·LIM14/09A·INS21/09H·DUN28/09A·ARM05/10H·H&W12/10A·NEW19/10H·INS26/10H·ARD02/11A·ANN08/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.302.031.361.791.252.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.051.741.201.400.892.11
vs Weaker (11)1.732.551.752.751.712.43
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.2%
Under 2.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.7%
Under 3.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.0%
No
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1 ✓
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
Dundela goals ↓
Newington Youth goals →
01234
03.8%3.1%2.6%1.1%0.4%
15.7%9.5%5.7%2.5%0.8%
27.2%9.5%6.2%2.8%0.9%
35.2%6.9%4.6%2.0%0.7%
42.9%3.8%2.5%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundela goals (down), columns = Newington Youth goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bangor
2.00
Annagh United
1.87
Limavady United
1.74
H&W Welders
1.74
Queen's University
1.50
Ards
1.37
Dundela
1.37
Institute
1.34
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Armagh City
1.11
Newington Youth
1.11
Ballyclare Comrades
1.07
Newry City AFC
0.82
Dundela is 0.26 points better than Newington Youth in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.16
H&W Welders
2.08
Annagh United
1.84
Limavady United
1.76
Armagh City
1.63
Institute
1.63
Dundela
1.53
Queen's University
1.50
Ballinamallard United
1.45
Ards
1.45
Ballyclare Comrades
1.35
Newington Youth
1.34
Newry City AFC
1.21
Dundela is 0.18 goals better than Newington Youth in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.34).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Annagh United
0.97
Queen's University
1.00
Limavady United
1.16
Bangor
1.21
H&W Welders
1.39
Ards
1.50
Ballinamallard United
1.63
Dundela
1.63
Institute
1.66
Newington Youth
1.95
Armagh City
2.05
Newry City AFC
2.05
Ballyclare Comrades
2.20
Dundela is 0.32 goals better than Newington Youth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.95).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DundelaDundela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L20W11D20W00D10W00D20W03LA·ARD07/09A·BAN13/09H·ANN21/09A·NEW28/09A·BAL05/10H·ARM12/10H·ARD19/10A·ANN25/10A·LIM02/11H·BAN09/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.820.470.920.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.810.670.910.550.700.80
vs Weaker (9)1.000.220.670.331.670.00
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D02L11D00D03L10W01L10W00DA·BAL07/09H·LIM14/09A·INS21/09H·DUN28/09A·ARM05/10H·H&W12/10A·NEW19/10H·INS26/10H·ARD02/11A·ANN08/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.070.531.200.530.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.370.950.451.000.250.88
vs Weaker (11)0.821.270.751.750.861.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DundelaDundela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D00D10W01L00D00D03L10WA·ARD07/09A·BAN13/09H·ANN21/09A·NEW28/09A·BAL05/10H·ARM12/10H·ARD19/10A·ANN25/10A·LIM02/11H·BAN09/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.031.001.060.771.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.000.761.090.910.900.60
vs Weaker (9)0.671.670.831.330.332.33
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D02L00D10W11D03L00D12L02LA·BAL07/09H·LIM14/09A·INS21/09H·DUN28/09A·ARM05/10H·H&W12/10A·NEW19/10H·INS26/10H·ARD02/11A·ANN08/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.030.800.670.731.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.680.890.730.550.621.38
vs Weaker (11)0.911.271.001.000.861.43
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
DUN wins
1
Draws
2
NY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dundela vs Newington Youth · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24ANewington Youth Vs DUN1-1
23/03/24ANewington Youth Vs DUN1-3
04/11/23HDUN Vs Newington Youth4-2
16/09/23ANewington Youth Vs DUN3-1
11/02/23ANewington Youth Vs DUN2-3
25/11/22HDUN Vs Newington Youth3-4
01/10/22HDUN Vs Newington Youth2-1

DundelaDundela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24HDUN Vs Bangor1-3
02/11/24ALimavady United Vs DUN3-2
25/10/24AAnnagh United Vs DUN0-0
19/10/24HDUN Vs Ards1-0
12/10/24HDUN Vs Armagh City0-1
05/10/24ABallyclare Comrades Vs DUN0-3
28/09/24ANewington Youth Vs DUN1-1
21/09/24HDUN Vs Annagh United2-0
13/09/24ABangor Vs DUN3-1
07/09/24AArds Vs DUN0-1

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/24AAnnagh United Vs NY2-0
02/11/24HNY Vs Ards2-2
26/10/24HNY Vs Institute0-1
19/10/24ANewry City AFC Vs NY3-1
12/10/24HNY Vs H&W Welders1-4
05/10/24AArmagh City Vs NY0-1
28/09/24HNY Vs Dundela1-1
21/09/24AInstitute Vs NY4-0
14/09/24HNY Vs Limavady United0-0
07/09/24ABallinamallard United Vs NY4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dundela
Dundela
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.66
HomeDWLWL1.73
AwayLDWDL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%54%46%
AVG goals3.263.542.96
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.782.081.46
Conceded1.481.461.50
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Newington Youth
Newington Youth
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.12
HomeDDLLD1.40
AwayLLWLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals3.423.283.56
Over 1.5 %92%88%96%
Over 2.5 %72%72%72%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.461.641.28
Conceded1.961.642.28
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BangorBangor3876
61%
2.0
8246+36
3.4
79%
71%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.21.2
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3871
58%
1.9
7037+33
2.8
76%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
53%
1.7
7953+26
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
4Limavady UnitedLimavady United3866
47%
1.7
6744+23
2.9
84%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
5ArdsArds3852
37%
1.4
5557-2
2.9
68%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
6DundelaDundela3852
39%
1.4
5862-4
3.2
82%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
7InstituteInstitute3851
34%
1.3
6263-1
3.3
84%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3844
34%
1.2
5562-7
3.1
79%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades4043
30%
1.1
5488-34
3.5
95%
75%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
10Armagh CityArmagh City3842
26%
1.1
6278-16
3.7
87%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11Newington YouthNewington Youth3842
29%
1.1
5174-23
3.3
82%
61%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
12Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3831
18%
0.8
4678-32
3.3
87%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
13QueenQueen's University23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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