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Dundela vs Strabane Athletic Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/09/2026
Time: 18:45
Dundela
Dundela
Vs
35%
24%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Strabane Athletic
Strabane Athletic
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.5 goals and a most likely total of three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.1 % chance. Home side Dundela, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 1.29 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Strabane Athletic, on the road, has similar offensive output but a slightly better defensive record against this tier. The model favours an away win, with a 41 % probability, followed by a 35 % chance of home victory and a 24 % draw. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.3 %), Under 6.5 (93.3 %), Home under 3.5 goals (91.0 %), Away under 3.5 goals (88.5 %), Over 1.5 (87.5 %), Under 5.5 (85.5 %), Away over 0.5 goals (84.1 %) and Away +2 handicap (82.1 %). Dundela’s recent form shows a string of losses after a 1-2 defeat, while Strabane Athletic has endured two straight defeats, ending 1-2 as well.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dundela win
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic win
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DundelaDundela

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W20W00D22D22D22D22D12L02LH·INS28/03A·ARD04/04H·WAR11/04H·ARM18/04A·BAL25/04H·MOY08/08A·ARD11/08H·ANN15/08A·BAL22/08A·H&W28/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.971.291.931.192.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.121.811.142.141.111.56
vs Weaker (14)1.362.141.431.711.292.57
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Strabane Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L31W14L12L12LH·INS07/08A·MOY11/08A·GLE15/08H·H&W22/08H·NEW28/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.000.671.672.002.50
vs Stronger (3)1.331.330.501.503.001.00
vs Similar (2)1.003.001.002.001.004.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.5%
Under 1.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.3%
Under 2.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
46.7%
Under 3.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
69.3%
No
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
Dundela goals ↓
Strabane Athletic goals →
01234
03.9%4.5%5.0%3.1%1.4%
14.1%10%8.4%5.2%2.4%
24.2%7.7%7.1%4.3%2.0%
32.3%4.3%4.0%2.4%1.1%
41.0%1.8%1.7%1.0%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundela goals (down), columns = Strabane Athletic goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newington Youth
2.60
H&W Welders
2.40
Glenavon FC
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Queen's University
2.00
Loughgall
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Moyola Park
1.40
Ards
1.40
Warrenpoint Town
1.40
Ballinamallard United
1.20
Institute
0.80
Dundela
0.60
Strabane Athletic
0.60
Armagh City
0.40
Rathfriland
0.00
Dundela and Strabane Athletic are level in average points per game (both 0.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glenavon FC
2.80
Newington Youth
2.80
Annagh United
2.40
Queen's University
2.20
Loughgall
2.00
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
H&W Welders
1.80
Dundela
1.40
Newry City AFC
1.40
Strabane Athletic
1.20
Moyola Park
1.20
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Rathfriland
1.00
Institute
0.80
Armagh City
0.60
Dundela is 0.20 goals better than Strabane Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
H&W Welders
0.60
Queen's University
1.00
Newington Youth
1.00
Loughgall
1.40
Moyola Park
1.40
Armagh City
1.40
Glenavon FC
1.60
Ballinamallard United
1.60
Annagh United
1.80
Institute
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
Dundela
2.00
Strabane Athletic
2.00
Rathfriland
3.20
Dundela and Strabane Athletic are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundela or Draw
58.8%
Avg Implied -
35%
24%
41%
covers Dundela + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dundela or Strabane Athletic
76.0%
Avg Implied -
35%
24%
41%
covers Dundela + Strabane Athletic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Strabane Athletic
65.2%
Avg Implied -
35%
24%
41%
covers Draw + Strabane Athletic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundela over/under 0.5
Over
81.4%
Under
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5
Over
50.1%
Under
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5
Over
23.8%
Under
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 3.5
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 0.5
Over
84.1%
Under
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 1.5
Over
54.8%
Under
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 2.5
Over
28.0%
Under
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 3.5
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dundela, so a minus line means Dundela give that many goals of a start and Strabane Athletic receive them. At -1, Dundela must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundela win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundela)
Dundela -2
7.3%
Draw -2
10.6%
Strabane Athletic +2
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dundela)
Dundela -1
17.9%
Draw -1
16.9%
Strabane Athletic +1
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dundela)
Dundela +1
58.8%
Draw +1
18.6%
Strabane Athletic -1
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dundela)
Dundela +2
77.4%
Draw +2
12.6%
Strabane Athletic -2
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DundelaDundela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W00D10W10W00D21W11D00DH·INS28/03A·ARD04/04H·WAR11/04H·ARM18/04A·BAL25/04H·MOY08/08A·ARD11/08H·ANN15/08A·BAL22/08A·H&W28/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.710.570.380.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.380.690.571.000.220.44
vs Weaker (14)0.710.710.860.140.571.29
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Strabane Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W12L01L11DH·INS07/08A·MOY11/08A·GLE15/08H·H&W22/08H·NEW28/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.200.331.001.501.50
vs Stronger (3)1.001.000.501.002.001.00
vs Similar (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundela over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DundelaDundela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D00D12L12L22D01L01L02LH·INS28/03A·ARD04/04H·WAR11/04H·ARM18/04A·BAL25/04H·MOY08/08A·ARD11/08H·ANN15/08A·BAL22/08A·H&W28/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.270.571.360.811.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.751.120.571.140.891.11
vs Weaker (14)0.641.430.571.570.711.29
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Strabane Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L11D01LH·INS07/08A·MOY11/08A·GLE15/08H·H&W22/08H·NEW28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.330.670.501.00
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.501.000.00
vs Similar (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundela) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundela over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundela over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.3%-------
Under 6.593.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals88.5%-------
Over 1.587.5%-------
Under 5.585.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals84.1%-------
Away +2 handicap82.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals81.4%-------
Home +2 handicap77.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals76.2%-------
Home or Away76.0%-------
Under 4.572.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals72.0%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (13)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (3)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (9)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DUN wins
0
Draws
0
SA wins

Head-to-head

Dundela vs Strabane Athletic · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DundelaDundela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AH&W Welders Vs DUN2-0
22/08/26ABallinamallard United Vs DUN2-1
15/08/26HDUN Vs Annagh United2-2
11/08/26AArds Vs DUN2-2
08/08/26HDUN Vs Moyola Park2-2
25/04/26ABallinamallard United Vs DUN2-2
18/04/26HDUN Vs Armagh City0-0
11/04/26HDUN Vs Warrenpoint Town2-0
04/04/26AArds Vs DUN0-1
28/03/26HDUN Vs Institute1-2

Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HSA Vs Newington Youth1-2
22/08/26HSA Vs H&W Welders1-2
15/08/26AGlenavon FC Vs SA4-1
11/08/26AMoyola Park Vs SA1-3
07/08/26HSA Vs Institute0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dundela
Dundela
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL0.70
HomeLWDDD0.92
AwayWDDLL0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%16%8%
AVG goals3.103.163.04
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %66%64%68%
Over 3.5 %40%48%32%
Scored1.101.240.96
Conceded2.001.922.08
BTTS68%72%64%
Clean Sheet12%16%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Strabane Athletic
Strabane Athletic
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.60
HomeLLL0.00
AwayWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%0%50%
AVG goals3.202.334.50
Over 1.5 %80%67%100%
Over 2.5 %80%67%100%
Over 3.5 %40%0%100%
Scored1.200.672.00
Conceded2.001.672.50
BTTS80%67%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Newington YouthNewington Youth513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2H&W WeldersH&W Welders512
80%
2.4
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC510
60%
2.0
148+6
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.81.6
-
4QueenQueen's University510
60%
2.0
115+6
3.2
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Annagh UnitedAnnagh United510
60%
2.0
129+3
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.8
-
6LoughgallLoughgall59
40%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC59
60%
1.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
8ArdsArds57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
10Moyola ParkMoyola Park57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
12InstituteInstitute54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
13DundelaDundela53
0%
0.6
710-3
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic53
20%
0.6
610-4
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
15Armagh CityArmagh City52
0%
0.4
37-4
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
16RathfrilandRathfriland50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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