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Dunfermline vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 08/04/2017
Time: 00:00
Final 1-0
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Vs
50%
28%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dunfermline win✓ Hit
49.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D02L22D51W11D00D01L10W11DH·ST 14/01H·DUN28/01A·FAL04/02A·HIB25/02H·DUM04/03H·QUE07/03A·ST 11/03H·AYR18/03A·MOR25/03H·HIB01/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.301.531.471.001.13
vs Stronger (4)1.252.001.002.001.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.961.091.091.270.830.92
vs Weaker (3)3.672.004.502.002.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L11D12L01L20W04L21W11D01LA·DUN04/02H·MOR07/02H·HIB18/02A·QUE25/02A·AYR28/02H·ST 08/03A·DUM11/03H·DUN18/03H·QUE25/03A·FAL01/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.401.121.190.641.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.001.261.081.000.901.60
vs Weaker (7)0.571.861.332.000.001.75
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0 ✓
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
Dunfermline goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
09.4%6.7%3.8%1.2%0.3%
111%13%5.8%1.9%0.4%
29.7%9.3%4.5%1.4%0.3%
35.0%4.8%2.3%0.7%0.2%
41.9%1.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunfermline goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hibernian
1.97
Falkirk
1.67
Dundee Utd
1.58
Morton
1.44
Dunfermline
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Dumbarton
1.08
ST Mirren
1.08
Raith Rvs
1.08
Ayr
0.92
Dunfermline is 0.25 points better than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hibernian
1.64
Falkirk
1.61
ST Mirren
1.44
Dundee Utd
1.39
Dunfermline
1.28
Dumbarton
1.28
Queen of Sth
1.28
Morton
1.22
Raith Rvs
0.97
Ayr
0.92
Dunfermline is 0.31 goals better than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hibernian
0.69
Falkirk
1.11
Morton
1.14
Dundee Utd
1.17
Dunfermline
1.19
Queen of Sth
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.44
Dumbarton
1.56
ST Mirren
1.56
Ayr
1.72
Dunfermline is 0.25 goals better than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.44).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

RR
Raith Rvs

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (36)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (10)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (36)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (11)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dundee Utd
12.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dundee Utd
3.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dundee Utd
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L12L20W11D00D00D10W01LH·ST 14/01H·DUN28/01A·FAL04/02A·HIB25/02H·DUM04/03H·QUE07/03A·ST 11/03H·AYR18/03A·MOR25/03H·HIB01/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.800.670.470.53
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.500.500.501.50
vs Similar (23)0.570.520.640.730.500.33
vs Weaker (3)1.330.672.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D02L00D00D02L10W11D00DA·DUN04/02H·MOR07/02H·HIB18/02A·QUE25/02A·AYR28/02H·ST 08/03A·DUM11/03H·DUN18/03H·QUE25/03A·FAL01/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.560.380.210.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.350.520.380.460.300.60
vs Weaker (7)0.570.571.330.000.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L10W31W00D00D01L00D10WH·ST 14/01H·DUN28/01A·FAL04/02A·HIB25/02H·DUM04/03H·QUE07/03A·ST 11/03H·AYR18/03A·MOR25/03H·HIB01/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.730.800.530.60
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.501.501.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.390.570.450.550.330.58
vs Weaker (3)2.331.332.501.502.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L11D10W01L20W02L11D00D01LA·DUN04/02H·MOR07/02H·HIB18/02A·QUE25/02A·AYR28/02H·ST 08/03A·DUM11/03H·DUN18/03H·QUE25/03A·FAL01/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.560.810.430.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.650.740.690.540.601.00
vs Weaker (7)0.001.290.002.000.000.75
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (27)
€20m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
DUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (9)
€7m
DU (7)
€4m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (7)
€8m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
DUN wins
1
Draws
1
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dunfermline vs Raith Rvs · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/17ARaith Rvs Vs DUN0-2
05/11/16HDUN Vs Raith Rvs0-0
20/08/16ARaith Rvs Vs DUN2-0

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/17HDUN Vs Hibernian1-1
25/03/17AMorton Vs DUN0-1
18/03/17HDUN Vs Ayr0-1
11/03/17AST Mirren Vs DUN0-0
07/03/17HDUN Vs Queen of Sth1-1
04/03/17HDUN Vs Dumbarton5-1
25/02/17AHibernian Vs DUN2-2
04/02/17AFalkirk Vs DUN2-0
28/01/17HDUN Vs Dundee Utd1-1
14/01/17HDUN Vs ST Mirren1-1

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/17AFalkirk Vs RR1-0
25/03/17HRR Vs Queen of Sth1-1
18/03/17HRR Vs Dundee Utd2-1
11/03/17ADumbarton Vs RR4-0
08/03/17HRR Vs ST Mirren2-0
28/02/17AAyr Vs RR1-0
25/02/17AQueen of Sth Vs RR2-1
18/02/17HRR Vs Hibernian1-1
07/02/17HRR Vs Morton0-1
04/02/17ADundee Utd Vs RR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWD1.62
HomeDWDLD1.68
AwayWLDDW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.743.122.36
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.561.881.24
Conceded1.181.241.12
BTTS56%72%40%
Clean Sheet30%16%44%
Corners---
Cards---
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.36
HomeLDWWD1.58
AwayLLLLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%29%
AVG goals2.482.622.33
Over 1.5 %68%73%62%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.181.380.96
Conceded1.301.231.38
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HibernianHibernian3671
53%
2.0
5925+34
2.3
78%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
7851.60.7
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3660
44%
1.7
5840+18
2.7
83%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.61.1
-
3Dundee UtdDundee Utd3657
42%
1.6
5042+8
2.6
69%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4341.41.2
-
4MortonMorton3652
36%
1.4
4441+3
2.4
75%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.1
-
5DunfermlineDunfermline3648
33%
1.3
4643+3
2.5
69%
39%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.31.2
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
3643
31%
1.2
4652-6
2.7
72%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
7ST MirrenST Mirren3639
25%
1.1
5256-4
3.0
89%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
1331.41.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3639
25%
1.1
4656-10
2.8
72%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3552-17
2.4
69%
39%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10
A
Ayr
3633
19%
0.9
3362-29
2.6
78%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
Scotland: Championship 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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