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Dunfermline vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 03/02/2021
Time: 19:45
Final 4-1
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Vs
36%
26%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dunfermline win✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied 49.0% · @ 1.89
Edge
-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.56
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.70
Edge
+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W22D12L33D10W11D00D00D01LA·AYR07/11H·HEA20/11A·RAI05/12H·MOR12/12A·DUN19/12H·ARB26/12A·INV29/12A·MOR15/01H·AYR23/01A·HEA30/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.231.801.001.401.47
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.711.211.750.921.671.50
vs Weaker (4)1.251.502.001.500.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D50W02L22D00D52W02L32W04L31WA·DUN31/10H·MOR07/11A·INV21/11H·DUN05/12A·AYR11/12A·ALL26/12H·QUE29/12A·HEA23/01H·HEA26/01H·DUN30/01
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.231.751.191.711.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.891.471.561.672.201.30
vs Weaker (11)1.450.822.000.570.501.25
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.5%
@ 1.78+6.0%
Under 2.5
41.5%
@ 1.97-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.1%
Under 3.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.1%
No
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
Dunfermline goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
05.9%6.3%5.7%2.9%1.1%
16.1%12%8.5%4.4%1.7%
25.4%8.3%6.4%3.3%1.3%
32.7%4.1%3.2%1.6%0.6%
41.0%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunfermline goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Dundee
1.67
Raith Rvs
1.59
Dunfermline
1.44
Inverness CT
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Arbroath
1.11
Morton
1.07
Ayr
1.07
Alloa
0.81
Dunfermline is 0.15 points worse than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.59).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Dundee
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.67
Dunfermline
1.41
Queen of Sth
1.41
Inverness CT
1.33
Ayr
1.15
Alloa
1.11
Arbroath
1.04
Morton
0.81
Dunfermline is 0.26 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Inverness CT
1.15
Morton
1.22
Dunfermline
1.26
Arbroath
1.26
Raith Rvs
1.33
Ayr
1.37
Dundee
1.48
Queen of Sth
1.89
Alloa
2.22
Dunfermline is 0.07 goals better than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

For 5.7 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

140687694666755325939731413131213105141210A·HEAH·AYRA·MORA·INVH·ARBA·DUNH·MORA·RAIH·HEAA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80111323213344221014521684A·HEAH·AYRA·MORA·INVH·ARBA·DUNH·MORA·RAIH·HEAA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

28015131013118714891314981513161142328231921172717282727A·HEAH·AYRA·MORA·INVH·ARBA·DUNH·MORA·RAIH·HEAA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 6.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 13.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

17084111215106441169556103821212171681714111310H·DUNH·HEAA·HEAH·QUEA·ALLA·AYRH·DUNA·INVH·MORA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6022213133222333111324346456242H·DUNH·HEAA·HEAH·QUEA·ALLA·AYRH·DUNA·INVH·MORA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

310111088161211111015121913157121311121221162822253128192424H·DUNH·HEAA·HEAH·QUEA·ALLA·AYRH·DUNA·INVH·MORA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.89.612.03.13.62.620.419.920.9
vs Stronger (2)13.012.014.04.58.01.027.527.028.0
vs Similar (42)10.79.312.13.13.32.820.519.921.0
vs Weaker (6)10.310.310.33.04.02.017.818.017.7
% over line66%52%80%46%60%32%38%32%44%
% under line34%48%20%54%40%68%62%68%56%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.610.03.53.73.421.822.121.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)11.311.411.24.74.94.423.022.123.9
vs Weaker (23)9.29.78.72.22.32.220.522.119.0
% over line56%62%50%58%67%50%40%46%35%
% under line44%38%50%42%33%50%60%54%65%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.6
Inverness CT
11.4
Morton
10.9
Heart Of Midlothian
10.9
Queen of Sth
10.9
Dunfermline
10.8
Ayr
10.3
Raith Rvs
10.3
Dundee
10.1
Arbroath
9.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.0
Raith Rvs
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Dundee
3.4
Ayr
3.1
Dunfermline
3.1
Inverness CT
3.0
Queen of Sth
2.9
Morton
2.9
Alloa
2.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
26.7
Dundee
24.9
Arbroath
21.9
Raith Rvs
21.8
Alloa
21.6
Ayr
21.3
Dunfermline
20.4
Inverness CT
20.3
Morton
20.2
Queen of Sth
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.7%
Under 9.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.8%
Under 21.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L01L01L00D10W00D00D00DA·AYR07/11H·HEA20/11A·RAI05/12H·MOR12/12A·DUN19/12H·ARB26/12A·INV29/12A·MOR15/01H·AYR23/01A·HEA30/01
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.800.470.470.67
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.580.920.420.500.75
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.501.000.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W01L10W00D20W01L10W02L11DA·DUN31/10H·MOR07/11A·INV21/11H·DUN05/12A·AYR11/12A·ALL26/12H·QUE29/12A·HEA23/01H·HEA26/01H·DUN30/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.000.500.860.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.050.531.000.671.100.40
vs Weaker (11)0.730.361.000.290.250.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W21W11D32W10W01L00D00D01LA·AYR07/11H·HEA20/11A·RAI05/12H·MOR12/12A·DUN19/12H·ARB26/12A·INV29/12A·MOR15/01H·AYR23/01A·HEA30/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.000.530.930.80
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.000.620.830.501.170.75
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.500.500.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W01L12L00D32W01L22D02L20WA·DUN31/10H·MOR07/11A·INV21/11H·DUN05/12A·AYR11/12A·ALL26/12H·QUE29/12A·HEA23/01H·HEA26/01H·DUN30/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.750.690.860.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.950.561.001.100.90
vs Weaker (11)0.730.451.000.290.250.75
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls75.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls71.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (30)
€22m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€12m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (6)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€6m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
DUN wins
2
Draws
1
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dunfermline vs Raith Rvs · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/20ARaith Rvs Vs DUN2-2
08/04/17HDUN Vs Raith Rvs1-0
02/01/17ARaith Rvs Vs DUN0-2
05/11/16HDUN Vs Raith Rvs0-0
20/08/16ARaith Rvs Vs DUN2-0

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/21AHeart Of Midlothian Vs DUN1-0
23/01/21HDUN Vs Ayr0-0
15/01/21AMorton Vs DUN0-0
29/12/20AInverness CT Vs DUN1-1
26/12/20HDUN Vs Arbroath1-0
19/12/20ADundee Vs DUN3-3
12/12/20HDUN Vs Morton1-2
05/12/20ARaith Rvs Vs DUN2-2
20/11/20HDUN Vs Heart Of Midlothian2-1
07/11/20AAyr Vs DUN0-0

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/21HRR Vs Dundee3-1
26/01/21HRR Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-4
23/01/21AHeart Of Midlothian Vs RR2-3
29/12/20HRR Vs Queen of Sth0-2
26/12/20AAlloa Vs RR2-5
11/12/20AAyr Vs RR0-0
05/12/20HRR Vs Dunfermline2-2
21/11/20AInverness CT Vs RR2-0
07/11/20HRR Vs Morton5-0
31/10/20ADundee Vs RR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDL1.24
HomeWWLWD1.48
AwayDDDDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.502.482.52
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.301.401.20
Conceded1.201.081.32
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners10.769.5611.96
Cards3.123.602.64
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.80
HomeWDLLW2.08
AwayDLDWW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals3.223.383.08
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %56%67%46%
Over 3.5 %42%50%35%
Scored1.902.171.65
Conceded1.321.211.42
BTTS62%54%69%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners10.3210.6210.04
Cards3.543.713.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian2757
63%
2.1
6324+39
3.2
78%
59%
41%
10.1
56%
3.0
41%
25.5
74%
22
12462.30.9
-
2DundeeDundee2745
44%
1.7
4940+9
3.3
89%
63%
44%
10.5
67%
3.0
33%
24.7
67%
5
1221.81.5
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
2743
44%
1.6
4536+9
3.0
70%
56%
44%
11.2
67%
4.5
74%
23.7
74%
0
0001.71.3
-
4DunfermlineDunfermline2739
37%
1.4
3834+4
2.7
59%
48%
37%
11.1
81%
2.9
33%
22.0
52%
4
2021.41.3
-
5Inverness CTInverness CT2736
30%
1.3
3631+5
2.5
78%
44%
26%
10.4
48%
3.5
48%
24.0
63%
1
0001.31.1
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
2732
33%
1.2
3851-13
3.3
85%
59%
41%
10.3
56%
3.5
48%
21.8
56%
0
0001.41.9
-
7ArbroathArbroath2730
26%
1.1
2834-6
2.3
59%
37%
26%
9.2
56%
3.4
52%
24.5
67%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
2729
22%
1.1
3137-6
2.5
74%
41%
30%
10.5
63%
3.1
48%
22.2
52%
0
0001.11.4
-
9MortonMorton2729
22%
1.1
2233-11
2.0
59%
30%
19%
10.4
70%
3.0
41%
22.1
48%
1
0000.81.2
-
10
A
Alloa
2722
19%
0.8
3060-30
3.3
89%
67%
41%
10.6
59%
3.4
56%
26.0
78%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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