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Dunfermline vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2021
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Vs
27%
30%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dunfermline win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.65
Edge
-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.1%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.32
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
43.3%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.51
Edge
+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D03L03L13L00D00D11D01L22D00DA·MOR31/07H·PAR07/08H·ARB28/08A·AYR11/09H·INV18/09H·HAM25/09A·RAI29/09A·QUE02/10H·KIL16/10A·PAR23/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.331.131.000.801.67
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.121.481.421.170.851.77
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.000.501.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-444D01L20W01L10W32W11D31W21W11DH·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09A·MOR18/09H·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.371.561.621.501.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.901.701.731.912.111.44
vs Weaker (10)0.800.701.201.000.400.40
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.5%
@ 1.86-9.0%
Under 2.5
58.5%
@ 1.90+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.2%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
Dunfermline goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
011%12%8.7%3.9%1.3%
18.3%14%8.7%3.9%1.3%
24.8%6.5%4.3%1.9%0.7%
31.6%2.2%1.4%0.6%0.2%
40.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunfermline goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Dunfermline is 0.42 points worse than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Dunfermline is 0.22 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Dunfermline is 0.25 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

For 5.9 · Against 6.2 · Total 12.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

170510733577793684537107515108141691281712A·PARH·KILA·QUEA·RAIH·HAMH·INVA·AYRH·ARBH·PARA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50222232412211210404554203A·PARH·KILA·QUEA·RAIH·HAMH·INVA·AYRH·ARBH·PARA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.4 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

3306129710159138141716710109995918162522223317191814A·PARH·KILA·QUEA·RAIH·HAMH·INVA·AYRH·ARBH·PARA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 5.8 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

2003277277756541464689355149141192010178H·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PARA·MORH·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

502323222223141222225544515442H·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PARA·MORH·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

280126714741391688513121115139121618211122241325262228H·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PARA·MORH·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.310.512.13.03.22.920.219.720.8
vs Stronger (3)11.310.014.03.75.01.027.026.528.0
vs Similar (41)11.410.612.12.82.63.019.718.620.7
vs Weaker (6)10.510.011.54.24.83.020.021.217.5
% over line76%65%88%40%42%38%38%31%46%
% under line24%35%12%60%58%62%62%69%54%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.911.24.14.33.922.422.921.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)11.811.911.74.54.84.322.822.922.8
vs Weaker (19)9.79.210.33.43.63.221.723.020.2
% over line60%65%54%70%77%62%60%58%62%
% under line40%35%46%30%23%38%40%42%38%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.3
Raith Rvs
11.0
Morton
10.6
Hamilton
10.4
Queen of Sth
10.4
Partick
10.3
Ayr
10.1
Kilmarnock
10.0
Inverness CT
9.9
Arbroath
9.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Kilmarnock
3.5
Inverness CT
3.4
Ayr
3.4
Hamilton
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.2
Partick
3.1
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.5
Hamilton
24.3
Arbroath
22.9
Raith Rvs
22.4
Inverness CT
22.3
Ayr
21.1
Queen of Sth
20.7
Partick
20.3
Dunfermline
20.2
Morton
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.1%
Under 9.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
45.0%
Under 21.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L02L12L00D00D01L00D00D00DA·MOR31/07H·PAR07/08H·ARB28/08A·AYR11/09H·INV18/09H·HAM25/09A·RAI29/09A·QUE02/10H·KIL16/10A·PAR23/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.400.470.400.80
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.440.760.500.580.380.92
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D20W01L10W10W10W10W20W00DH·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09A·MOR18/09H·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.690.500.640.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.750.600.730.730.780.44
vs Weaker (10)0.500.000.600.000.400.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L01L01L00D00D10W01L22D00DA·MOR31/07H·PAR07/08H·ARB28/08A·AYR11/09H·INV18/09H·HAM25/09A·RAI29/09A·QUE02/10H·KIL16/10A·PAR23/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.730.530.400.87
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.720.920.580.460.85
vs Weaker (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L01L00D00D00D22D01L21W01L11DH·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09A·MOR18/09H·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.970.881.120.860.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.151.101.001.181.331.00
vs Weaker (10)0.300.700.601.000.000.40
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls70.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
DUN wins
3
Draws
2
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dunfermline vs Raith Rvs · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/21ARaith Rvs Vs DUN1-1
30/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs DUN5-1
03/02/21HDUN Vs Raith Rvs4-1
05/12/20ARaith Rvs Vs DUN2-2
08/04/17HDUN Vs Raith Rvs1-0
02/01/17ARaith Rvs Vs DUN0-2
05/11/16HDUN Vs Raith Rvs0-0
20/08/16ARaith Rvs Vs DUN2-0

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/21APartick Vs DUN0-0
16/10/21HDUN Vs Kilmarnock2-2
02/10/21AQueen of Sth Vs DUN1-0
29/09/21ARaith Rvs Vs DUN1-1
25/09/21HDUN Vs Hamilton0-0
18/09/21HDUN Vs Inverness CT0-0
11/09/21AAyr Vs DUN3-1
28/08/21HDUN Vs Arbroath0-3
07/08/21HDUN Vs Partick0-3
31/07/21AMorton Vs DUN2-2

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/21HRR Vs Inverness CT1-1
16/10/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-1
02/10/21AKilmarnock Vs RR1-3
29/09/21HRR Vs Dunfermline1-1
26/09/21HRR Vs Partick3-2
18/09/21AMorton Vs RR0-1
11/09/21HRR Vs Queen of Sth0-1
07/09/21AAyr Vs RR0-2
07/08/21AInverness CT Vs RR1-0
31/07/21HRR Vs Hamilton4-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDD1.20
HomeLLDDD1.65
AwayDLDLD0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%46%8%
AVG goals2.642.502.79
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %36%31%42%
Scored1.261.381.12
Conceded1.381.121.67
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners11.2610.4612.12
Cards3.043.152.92
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.72
HomeLWDWD1.77
AwayLLWWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals2.903.152.62
Over 1.5 %70%77%62%
Over 2.5 %46%58%33%
Over 3.5 %34%42%25%
Scored1.641.771.50
Conceded1.261.381.12
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners11.0410.8811.21
Cards4.124.353.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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