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Dunfermline vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Vs
35%
30%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dunfermline win✓ Hit
35.1%
Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.18
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.29
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
35.2%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.17
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W11D12L00D01L22D11D41W02LH·INV22/01A·QUE29/01A·AYR05/02A·KIL12/02H·KIL26/02A·ARB05/03A·HAM12/03H·MOR18/03H·PAR22/03A·INV26/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.501.131.400.801.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.001.581.231.540.771.62
vs Weaker (4)0.751.000.500.501.001.50
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L22D33D00D03L00D04L10W23L33DH·ARB15/01A·MOR28/01H·QUE01/02H·HAM05/02A·KIL19/02H·PAR26/02H·AYR05/03A·QUE12/03H·INV19/03A·ARB26/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.201.201.331.201.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.111.111.001.201.221.00
vs Weaker (11)1.361.361.601.601.171.17
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.2%
@ 2.06-0.2%
Under 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.71+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0 ✓
6.4%
Dunfermline goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
09.6%9.1%6.5%2.7%0.8%
19.1%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.4%8.0%5.0%2.1%0.6%
32.7%3.3%2.1%0.8%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunfermline goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Dunfermline is 0.42 points worse than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Dunfermline is 0.22 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Dunfermline is 0.25 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

For 3.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

170373713224331515288922101015666610174A·INVH·PARH·MORA·HAMA·ARBH·KILA·KILA·AYRA·QUEH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90211212212314533333314349606A·INVH·PARH·MORA·HAMA·ARBH·KILA·KILA·AYRA·QUEH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 12.2 · Total 21.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801077881488913111671212161016121217152216222719282624A·INVH·PARH·MORA·HAMA·ARBH·KILA·KILA·AYRA·QUEH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 5.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

19018634333926261382457399761181910910A·ARBH·INVA·QUEH·AYRH·PARA·KILH·HAMH·QUEA·MORH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

801444132212325801304152A·ARBH·INVA·QUEH·AYRH·PARA·KILH·HAMH·QUEA·MORH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

300986107101515109101711134913814717161730192724132121A·ARBH·INVA·QUEH·AYRH·PARA·KILH·HAMH·QUEA·MORH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.610.63.02.93.121.020.821.2
vs Stronger (2)11.08.014.01.52.01.027.026.028.0
vs Similar (42)10.811.210.42.92.73.120.720.021.4
vs Weaker (6)9.07.310.74.35.03.721.225.017.3
% over line66%60%72%38%36%40%46%48%44%
% under line34%40%28%62%64%60%54%52%56%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.810.04.24.14.321.721.422.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.811.410.13.83.64.022.122.321.8
vs Weaker (17)9.89.69.95.05.24.821.019.522.3
% over line54%65%42%68%62%75%56%50%62%
% under line46%35%58%32%38%25%44%50%38%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.6
Dunfermline
10.6
Morton
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.5
Raith Rvs
10.4
Ayr
10.0
Partick
9.9
Arbroath
9.8
Kilmarnock
9.6
Inverness CT
9.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.2
Inverness CT
3.6
Hamilton
3.6
Arbroath
3.4
Partick
3.3
Ayr
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.0
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
24.1
Hamilton
23.8
Inverness CT
23.5
Arbroath
23.1
Raith Rvs
21.7
Ayr
21.3
Partick
21.1
Dunfermline
21.0
Queen of Sth
20.9
Morton
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.1%
Under 9.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
44.2%
Under 21.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W11D00D00D01L11D01L31W00DH·INV22/01A·QUE29/01A·AYR05/02A·KIL12/02H·KIL26/02A·ARB05/03A·HAM12/03H·MOR18/03H·PAR22/03A·INV26/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.530.730.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.580.810.620.770.540.85
vs Weaker (4)0.000.500.000.500.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W21W00D02L00D03L10W21W11DH·ARB15/01A·MOR28/01H·QUE01/02H·HAM05/02A·KIL19/02H·PAR26/02H·AYR05/03A·QUE12/03H·INV19/03A·ARB26/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.800.470.800.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.680.420.600.500.780.33
vs Weaker (11)1.000.361.200.400.830.33
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D12L00D00D11D10W10W02LH·INV22/01A·QUE29/01A·AYR05/02A·KIL12/02H·KIL26/02A·ARB05/03A·HAM12/03H·MOR18/03H·PAR22/03A·INV26/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.600.670.330.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.420.770.620.770.230.77
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L12L00D01L00D01L00D02L22DH·ARB15/01A·MOR28/01H·QUE01/02H·HAM05/02A·KIL19/02H·PAR26/02H·AYR05/03A·QUE12/03H·INV19/03A·ARB26/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.400.870.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.420.680.400.700.440.67
vs Weaker (11)0.361.000.401.200.330.83
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls83.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.576.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
DUN wins
4
Draws
1
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dunfermline vs Raith Rvs · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/22ARaith Rvs Vs DUN0-0
26/10/21HDUN Vs Raith Rvs1-1
29/09/21ARaith Rvs Vs DUN1-1
30/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs DUN5-1
03/02/21HDUN Vs Raith Rvs4-1
05/12/20ARaith Rvs Vs DUN2-2
08/04/17HDUN Vs Raith Rvs1-0
02/01/17ARaith Rvs Vs DUN0-2

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/22AInverness CT Vs DUN2-0
22/03/22HDUN Vs Partick4-1
18/03/22HDUN Vs Morton1-1
12/03/22AHamilton Vs DUN2-2
05/03/22AArbroath Vs DUN1-0
26/02/22HDUN Vs Kilmarnock0-0
12/02/22AKilmarnock Vs DUN2-1
05/02/22AAyr Vs DUN1-1
29/01/22AQueen of Sth Vs DUN0-2
22/01/22HDUN Vs Inverness CT1-1

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/22AArbroath Vs RR3-3
19/03/22HRR Vs Inverness CT2-3
12/03/22AQueen of Sth Vs RR0-1
05/03/22HRR Vs Ayr0-4
26/02/22HRR Vs Partick0-0
19/02/22AKilmarnock Vs RR3-0
05/02/22HRR Vs Hamilton0-0
01/02/22HRR Vs Queen of Sth3-3
28/01/22AMorton Vs RR2-2
15/01/22HRR Vs Arbroath1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.06
HomeWDDDW1.52
AwayDLLDL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%36%8%
AVG goals2.402.402.40
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %42%48%36%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.021.280.76
Conceded1.381.121.64
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet28%40%16%
Corners10.6210.6410.60
Cards3.022.923.12
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.42
HomeDDDLL1.38
AwayDDLWD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%38%
AVG goals2.622.922.29
Over 1.5 %66%69%62%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %32%42%21%
Scored1.281.381.17
Conceded1.341.541.12
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet28%23%33%
Corners10.4410.8510.00
Cards4.204.124.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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