Dynamo are tipped to win, with a 43% chance of triumph, a 30% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of an Akhmat victory. The match is expected to see 2.4 goals, averaging a total of two, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 14.2% chance. Dynamo, playing at home against a weaker side, have been prolific, scoring an average of 2.38 goals per game while conceding only 0.88. Akhmat, on the road to stronger opponents, have struggled, netting just 0.88 goals and conceding 1.75. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners (99.7%), Under 7.5 goals (99.7%), Under 10.5 corners (99.2%), Under 6.5 goals (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9%), Under 9.5 corners (97.9%), Under 5.5 goals (96.6% with a 5% edge) and Under 8.5 corners (95.2%). Dynamo’s recent form shows a win after a streak of losses, while Akhmat are on a two-game winning run.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Dynamo secured a 3-0 home win, extending their three-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was Home win, assigned a 44% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 3-0 matched the actual result. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 hit with a 99.6% probability, Under 6.5 hit at 98.5%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.7%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.7%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.1%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 90.7%, Home +2 handicap hit at 89.4%, and Under 4.5 hit at 89.0%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each selection’s outcome was stated once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dynamo win✓ Hit
44.5%
Avg Implied 50.6% · @ 1.85
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.89
Dafabet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.64
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
Akhmat win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.97
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.18
Pinnacle
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Dafabet
3.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dynamo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.07
1.80
1.07
1.33
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.29
0.86
1.40
1.00
1.22
0.78
vs Weaker (12)
2.08
1.00
2.38
0.88
1.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.40
1.47
1.20
0.93
1.60
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
1.54
1.00
1.20
0.88
1.75
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.29
1.70
1.20
1.00
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.8%
@ 1.23-3.0%
Under 1.5
27.2%
@ 3.83+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
3.98
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.76
Marathonbet
3.68
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.78-7.7%
Under 2.5
54.1%
@ 2.05+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
SBO
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Under
1xBet
2.09
SBO
2.06
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.5%
@ 2.84-8.3%
Under 3.5
75.5%
@ 1.39+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.99
1xBet
2.82
Marathonbet
2.82
Superbet
2.72
Under
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.4%
@ 1.67-4.0%
No
48.6%
@ 2.08+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.66
No
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 6.46+7.0%
1-0
10.5%@ 7.48+4.6%
0-0
9.4%@ 12.35+5.8%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.71+3.4%
2-0
8.5%@ 8.76+3.5%
0-1
7.4%@ 12.02+3.8%
1-2
6.7%@ 12.83+3.3%
2-2
4.8%@ 12.74+1.4%
Dynamo goals ↓
Akhmat goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
7.4%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
1
10%
14%
6.7%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.5%
9.0%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.1%
4.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dynamo goals (down), columns = Akhmat goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Lokomotiv
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Chita
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Tver
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Dynamo is 0.92 points better than Akhmat in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Chita
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Tver
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Dynamo is 0.25 goals better than Akhmat in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Tver
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
Baltika
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Chita
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
Dynamo is 0.75 goals better than Akhmat in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dynamo
For 4.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 16.0 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akhmat
For 4.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 15.9 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dynamo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.8
10.2
4.1
4.1
4.1
27.3
27.4
27.3
vs Stronger (5)
9.3
9.0
9.5
4.2
3.0
5.0
29.3
26.0
31.0
vs Similar (23)
9.5
10.0
9.1
4.3
4.0
4.5
29.4
31.1
28.1
vs Weaker (22)
9.6
8.0
11.9
3.9
4.3
3.3
25.0
24.9
25.1
% over line
47%
33%
61%
66%
68%
64%
97%
100%
94%
% under line
53%
67%
39%
34%
32%
36%
3%
0%
6%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.8
9.0
4.1
4.1
4.2
28.2
28.0
28.4
vs Stronger (20)
9.6
10.6
8.8
3.6
3.8
3.5
27.7
27.1
28.2
vs Similar (30)
9.2
9.3
9.2
4.5
4.2
4.7
28.5
28.6
28.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
52%
35%
58%
60%
56%
88%
90%
85%
% under line
56%
48%
65%
42%
40%
44%
12%
10%
15%
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
FC Orenburg
9.7
Dynamo
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Arsenal Tula
9.3
Akron
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Rubin
8.4
Ural
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Fakel
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
Akron
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Rodina Moskva
3.5
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Zenit
26.8
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
28.2%
@ 1.79-23.9%
Under 9.5
71.8%
@ 1.95+23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.3%
Under 3.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.6%
Under 21.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dynamo or Draw✓ Hit
73.3%
Avg Implied 77.2% · @ 1.22
Edge
-3.9%
44%
29%
27%
covers Dynamo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.20
SBO
1.13
Dynamo or Akhmat✓ Hit
71.1%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.25
Edge
-3.9%
44%
29%
27%
covers Dynamo + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.24
SBO
1.17
Draw or Akhmat✗ Miss
55.5%
Avg Implied 47.8% · @ 1.97
Edge
+7.7%
44%
29%
27%
covers Draw + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.99
SBO
1.99
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.92
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dynamo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.4%
@ 1.15-4.4%
Under
23.6%
@ 4.85+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Under
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Dynamo over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.3%
@ 1.82-9.7%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.97+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.74
Under
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Dynamo over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
17.7%
@ 3.56-8.6%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.27+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.79
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.30
Under
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Dynamo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 8.00-5.8%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.05+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
7.70
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Akhmat over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.6%
@ 1.42-0.1%
Under
34.4%
@ 2.73+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.90
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.69
Superbet
2.62
Akhmat over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.9%
@ 3.02-2.3%
Under
71.1%
@ 1.37+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.11
Marathonbet
3.06
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.33
Akhmat over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 7.80-2.7%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.06+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
7.30
Under
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Akhmat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dynamo, so a minus line means Dynamo give that many goals of a start and Akhmat receive them. At -1, Dynamo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dynamo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dynamo)Actual: Dynamo
Dynamo -2
8.6%
@ 6.00-6.1%
Draw -2
13.7%
@ 5.30-2.9%
Akhmat +2
77.7%
@ 1.29+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.29
Handicap -1 (Dynamo)Actual: Dynamo
Dynamo -1
22.3%
@ 3.10-6.7%
Draw -1
22.1%
@ 3.55-3.2%
Akhmat +1
55.5%
@ 1.97+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.10
Draw
Marathonbet
3.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.97
Handicap +1 (Dynamo)Actual: Dynamo
Dynamo +1
73.3%
@ 1.27+1.4%
Draw +1
16.0%
@ 5.50-0.6%
Akhmat -1
10.6%
@ 8.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw
Marathonbet
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
8.00
Handicap +2 (Dynamo)Actual: Dynamo
Dynamo +2
89.4%
Draw +2
7.5%
Akhmat -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dynamo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.33
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.36
0.20
0.80
0.56
0.11
vs Weaker (12)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.08
0.40
0.60
0.50
1.38
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.26
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.68
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.62
Superbet
2.47
Under
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.15
Superbet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dynamo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.96
Dynamo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Dynamo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dynamo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
1.13
0.47
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.50
1.20
0.20
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.67
1.38
0.62
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.93
0.60
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.46
0.60
0.60
0.38
0.38
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.76
1.10
0.60
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.01
Superbet
1.92
Under
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
3.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dynamo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.40
Dynamo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Dynamo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Under
1xBet
1.02
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.1%
1.05
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.7%
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.0%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.3%
1.27
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
-
+8.6%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
77.7%
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+9.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
76.4%
1.15
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
-
-
-
-4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.5%
1.39
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
73.3%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.20
SBO
1.13
-
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.3%
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.8%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.1%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.24
SBO
1.17
-
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.1%
1.37
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.33
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dynamo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anton Miranchuk33%
Dmitri Skopintsev20%
Konstantin Tyukavin20%
Timofey Marinkin20%
Arthur Gomes17%
Maksim Osipenko17%
Daniil Fomin0%
Danil Glebov0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Bitello0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Viktor Okishor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Ricardo50%
Viktor Okishor33%
Daniil Fomin25%
Juan Cáceres20%
Timofey Marinkin20%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Yaroslav Gladyshev17%
Rubens17%
Anton Miranchuk0%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Arthur Gomes0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danil Glebov0%
Bitello0%
Konstantin Tyukavin0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Viktor Okishor33%
Konstantin Tyukavin20%
Maksim Osipenko17%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Bitello17%
Anton Miranchuk0%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Arthur Gomes0%
Daniil Fomin0%
Danil Glebov0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Timofey Marinkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Konstantin Tyukavin40%
Anton Miranchuk17%
Arthur Gomes17%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Bitello17%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Daniil Fomin0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danil Glebov0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Viktor Okishor0%
Timofey Marinkin0%
Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Egas Cacintura50%
Lechi Sadulaev40%
Georgiy Melkadze33%
Erald Maksuti20%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev17%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Ismael Silva0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgiy Melkadze33%
Lechi Sadulaev20%
Júlio Romão20%
Erald Maksuti20%
Miroslav Bogosavac17%
Klisman Cake17%
Ousmane N’Dong17%
Ismael Silva0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Egas Cacintura0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lechi Sadulaev40%
Egas Cacintura25%
Arsen Adamov17%
Kirill Shchetinin17%
Georgiy Melkadze0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Ismael Silva0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Erald Maksuti0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ismael Silva33%
Egas Cacintura25%
Lechi Sadulaev20%
Georgiy Melkadze17%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev17%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Erald Maksuti0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Dynamo's squad is €80m more valuable than Akhmat's (€110m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Dynamo's attack is €28m more valuable than Akhmat's (€45m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Dynamo's midfield is €19m more valuable than Akhmat's (€24m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Dynamo's defence is €33m more valuable than Akhmat's (€42m vs €9m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel