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Dynamo vs Krylia Sovetov Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 11:00
Final 0-0
Dynamo
Dynamo
Vs
71%
18%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
Russia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Odd / Even7 Home & Away Over/Under8 Handicap9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Dynamo a 71% win probability against Krylia Sovetov in the Russia: Premier League on 2026-07-25, with 18% for the draw and 11% for Krylia Sovetov. The model estimates around 3.4 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 2-0 the most likely scoreline (10.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 21.5 fouls (88%), Over 1.5 (86%), Home win (71%).

Results analysis

Dynamo finished 0-0 against Krylia Sovetov (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 71% home win, 18% draw and 11% away win. Picks that landed: Over 21.5 fouls (88%). Missed: Over 1.5 (86%), Home win (71%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dynamo win✗ Miss
71.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Krylia Sovetov win✗ Miss
10.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DynamoDynamo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L33D32W11D01L20W11D21W21WA·FC 14/03H·ZEN22/03H·FC 04/04A·AKR13/04A·NIZ18/04H·RUB22/04H·FC 26/04A·LOK01/05H·FC 11/05A·BAL17/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.331.931.531.471.13
vs Stronger (4)1.001.751.502.000.501.50
vs Similar (10)1.501.601.402.401.600.80
vs Weaker (16)2.001.062.380.881.621.25
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L00D12L22D11D12L20W21W01L41WA·NIZ15/03H·RUB22/03A·ZEN04/04H·AKH11/04H·CSK18/04A·FC 21/04H·LOK25/04H·SPA01/05A·FC 10/05H·AKR17/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.671.601.130.732.20
vs Stronger (16)0.812.061.121.620.502.50
vs Similar (14)1.571.212.140.571.001.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.4%
Under 1.5
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.6%
Under 2.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
Dynamo goals ↓
Krylia Sovetov goals →
01234
04.0%2.2%1.4%0.4%0.1%
17.4%8.2%3.4%1.0%0.2%
210%9.4%4.3%1.3%0.3%
38.6%7.9%3.6%1.1%0.3%
45.4%4.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dynamo goals (down), columns = Krylia Sovetov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.27
FC Krasnodar
2.20
Lokomotiv
1.77
Spartak Moscow
1.73
CSKA Moscow
1.70
Baltika
1.53
Dynamo
1.50
Rubin
1.43
Akhmat
1.23
Rodina Moskva
1.14
FC Rostov
1.10
Fakel
1.10
Krylia Sovetov
1.07
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.97
Akron
0.94
Dynamo is 0.43 points better than Krylia Sovetov in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Krasnodar
2.00
Lokomotiv
1.80
Zenit
1.77
Dynamo
1.70
Spartak Moscow
1.57
CSKA Moscow
1.47
Baltika
1.27
Krylia Sovetov
1.17
Akhmat
1.17
Akron
1.16
Rodina Moskva
1.02
Fakel
0.98
FC Orenburg
0.97
Rubin
0.97
FC Rostov
0.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.69
Dynamo is 0.53 goals better than Krylia Sovetov in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zenit
0.63
Baltika
0.70
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Rubin
1.00
FC Rostov
1.07
CSKA Moscow
1.10
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.16
Akhmat
1.30
Spartak Moscow
1.30
Lokomotiv
1.30
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.43
FC Orenburg
1.47
Fakel
1.49
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Akron
1.69
Dynamo is 0.33 goals better than Krylia Sovetov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Spartak Moscow
62%
FC Krasnodar
60%
Zenit
59%
CSKA Moscow
56%
Dynamo
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
48%
FC Orenburg
47%
Baltika
46%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Dinamo Makhachkala
46%
Akhmat
46%
Akron
45%
Rubin
43%
Dynamo is 8.3 percentage points better than Krylia Sovetov in terms of average possession (54% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DynamoDynamo

For 5.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

1502526565587122873136777811101514154914A·BALH·FC A·LOKH·FC H·RUBA·NIZA·AKRH·FC H·ZENA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

9034312223111611241637445272619A·BALH·FC A·LOKH·FC H·RUBA·NIZA·AKRH·FC H·ZENA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 16.0 · Total 27.5

⚠️ Fouls

34082416181119121314181015913717179111432343025322522242625A·BALH·FC A·LOKH·FC H·RUBA·NIZA·AKRH·FC H·ZENA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

For 4.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

1501653103857114114367127781011121515989H·AKRA·FC H·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·CSKH·AKHA·ZENH·RUBA·NIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

100334212348243331212166371076313H·AKRA·FC H·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·CSKH·AKHA·ZENH·RUBA·NIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.8

⚠️ Fouls

330171116171215981513141212181014181020728332717282630242827H·AKRA·FC H·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·CSKH·AKHA·ZENH·RUBA·NIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DynamoDynamo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.110.64.33.84.727.026.327.7
vs Stronger (6)8.79.38.04.23.05.330.829.332.3
vs Similar (16)10.110.99.44.84.15.528.928.629.2
vs Weaker (28)10.99.911.94.03.94.125.124.425.9
% over line58%52%64%66%64%68%90%92%88%
% under line42%48%36%34%36%32%10%8%12%
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.610.98.54.53.95.124.924.825.0
vs Stronger (26)10.110.99.24.13.94.423.724.023.2
vs Similar (24)9.110.97.95.03.95.726.225.926.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%71%23%58%46%69%80%71%88%
% under line54%29%77%42%54%31%20%29%12%
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Orenburg
11.1
Dynamo
10.4
CSKA Moscow
10.1
Akhmat
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.6
Zenit
9.6
Lokomotiv
9.3
Akron
9.3
Spartak Moscow
9.2
Rubin
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.0
Fakel
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
FC Rostov
8.5
Baltika
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Rubin
5.0
Baltika
4.9
Akhmat
4.8
FC Krasnodar
4.8
FC Rostov
4.8
CSKA Moscow
4.8
Fakel
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.7
Krylia Sovetov
4.5
Lokomotiv
4.5
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.4
Dynamo
4.3
Zenit
4.3
Akron
3.9
Rodina Moskva
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Baltika
30.7
Spartak Moscow
30.6
Akhmat
29.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.3
FC Rostov
29.2
Rubin
29.0
Fakel
28.6
FC Krasnodar
28.5
FC Orenburg
27.5
Dynamo
27.0
Zenit
26.9
Lokomotiv
26.9
Akron
26.3
CSKA Moscow
26.1
Krylia Sovetov
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.0%
Under 9.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.6%
Under 3.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.0%
Under 21.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 21.5 fouls88.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.586.4%-------✗ Miss
Home win71.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (35)
€204m
CM (35)
€137m
FK (31)
€125m
SM (26)
€119m
LOK (28)
€111m
DYN (33)
€111m
RUB (32)
€53m
FR (33)
€37m
BAL (34)
€36m
KS (32)
€32m
AKH (31)
€32m
AKR (31)
€30m
FO (42)
€25m
DM (30)
€23m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Dynamo's squad is €78m more valuable than Krylia Sovetov's (€111m vs €32m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (11)
€109m
FK (15)
€64m
SM (11)
€58m
LOK (9)
€53m
DYN (10)
€46m
CM (16)
€41m
RUB (10)
€18m
FR (14)
€17m
AKH (10)
€16m
KS (13)
€13m
AKR (11)
€11m
FO (15)
€10m
BAL (10)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
DM (11)
€6m
FAK (10)
€5m
Dynamo's attack is €33m more valuable than Krylia Sovetov's (€46m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (7)
€52m
ZEN (6)
€44m
SM (4)
€29m
DYN (6)
€23m
FK (4)
€20m
LOK (7)
€18m
RUB (9)
€13m
BAL (10)
€13m
KS (6)
€8m
AKR (6)
€8m
FO (10)
€6m
DM (4)
€3m
RM (4)
€3m
AKH (6)
€3m
FR (4)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Dynamo's midfield is €15m more valuable than Krylia Sovetov's (€23m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (18)
€51m
CM (12)
€44m
DYN (17)
€41m
FK (12)
€41m
LOK (12)
€41m
SM (11)
€32m
RUB (13)
€22m
FR (15)
€17m
BAL (14)
€16m
DM (15)
€13m
AKH (15)
€13m
KS (13)
€11m
AKR (14)
€11m
FO (17)
€9m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Dynamo's defence is €30m more valuable than Krylia Sovetov's (€41m vs €11m).

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Dynamo vs Krylia Sovetov · H/A from DYN
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26HDYN Vs Krylia Sovetov4-0
26/09/25AKrylia Sovetov Vs DYN2-3
05/05/25AKrylia Sovetov Vs DYN1-3
17/08/24HDYN Vs Krylia Sovetov1-0
18/05/24HDYN Vs Krylia Sovetov4-1
29/07/23AKrylia Sovetov Vs DYN3-3
05/03/23HDYN Vs Krylia Sovetov1-0
07/08/22AKrylia Sovetov Vs DYN0-2

DynamoDynamo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26ABaltika Vs DYN1-2
11/05/26HDYN Vs FC Krasnodar2-1
01/05/26ALokomotiv Vs DYN1-1
26/04/26HDYN Vs FC Sochi2-0
22/04/26HDYN Vs Rubin0-1
18/04/26ANizhny Novgorod Vs DYN1-1
13/04/26AAkron Vs DYN2-3
04/04/26HDYN Vs FC Orenburg3-3
22/03/26HDYN Vs Zenit1-3
14/03/26AFC Rostov Vs DYN0-1

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HKS Vs Akron4-1
10/05/26AFC Orenburg Vs KS1-0
01/05/26HKS Vs Spartak Moscow2-1
25/04/26HKS Vs Lokomotiv2-0
21/04/26AFC Sochi Vs KS2-1
18/04/26HKS Vs CSKA Moscow1-1
11/04/26HKS Vs Akhmat2-2
04/04/26AZenit Vs KS2-1
22/03/26HKS Vs Rubin0-0
15/03/26ANizhny Novgorod Vs KS3-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Dynamo
Dynamo
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.62
HomeLDLWW1.80
AwayWWDDW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals3.183.482.88
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %62%72%52%
Over 3.5 %40%48%32%
Scored1.882.201.56
Conceded1.301.281.32
BTTS72%68%76%
Clean Sheet20%28%12%
Corners10.3810.1210.64
Cards4.283.844.72
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.04
HomeDDWWW1.54
AwayLLLLL0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%42%12%
AVG goals2.982.833.12
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %34%25%42%
Scored1.241.540.96
Conceded1.741.292.15
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet14%29%0%
Corners9.6410.888.50
Cards4.523.885.12

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar412
100%
3.0
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
8.0
25%
4.5
100%
24.0
50%
125
6420412.21.0
60%
2ZenitZenit49
75%
2.2
122+10
3.5
100%
100%
25%
10.8
50%
3.8
75%
25.0
50%
204
10944513.00.5
59%
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow49
75%
2.2
84+4
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.0
75%
4.5
75%
27.2
100%
119
5829322.01.0
62%
4Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala49
75%
2.2
96+3
3.8
100%
100%
50%
10.0
75%
4.2
50%
24.0
50%
23
63132.21.5
46%
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow48
50%
2.0
42+2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
7.5
25%
3.5
25%
25.5
75%
137
4152441.00.5
56%
6BaltikaBaltika46
50%
1.5
65+1
2.8
100%
75%
0%
9.5
50%
3.0
25%
27.0
100%
36
813161.51.2
46%
7FC RostovFC Rostov45
25%
1.2
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
7.8
25%
4.8
25%
26.0
75%
37
173171.51.2
48%
8RubinRubin45
25%
1.2
56-1
2.8
100%
50%
25%
7.8
25%
3.5
25%
25.8
75%
53
1813221.21.5
43%
9FC OrenburgFC Orenburg45
25%
1.2
46-2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
8.5
25%
5.0
50%
28.8
100%
25
10691.01.5
47%
10DynamoDynamo44
25%
1.0
46-2
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.0
25%
4.0
67%
28.5
100%
111
4623411.01.5
54%
11Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva44
25%
1.0
711-4
4.5
100%
100%
50%
11.8
75%
2.2
0%
27.5
75%
17
7371.82.8
-
12LokomotivLokomotiv43
0%
0.8
34-1
1.8
75%
25%
0%
8.2
25%
3.5
25%
27.5
75%
111
5318410.81.0
51%
13AkhmatAkhmat42
0%
0.5
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
8.5
25%
3.8
50%
24.0
75%
32
163130.51.0
46%
14Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov42
0%
0.5
27-5
2.2
75%
25%
25%
9.0
25%
3.7
33%
27.0
75%
32
138110.51.8
46%
15AkronAkron42
0%
0.5
410-6
3.5
75%
75%
50%
9.0
25%
3.5
50%
24.8
50%
30
118111.02.5
45%
16FakelFakel41
0%
0.2
36-3
2.2
50%
50%
25%
10.2
75%
3.5
50%
24.5
75%
14
5270.81.5
-
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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