Dynamo is the clear favourite to win at home, with a 63% chance of victory. This is largely due to Rodina Moskva's struggles on the road, particularly against stronger opponents, where they average 1 goal scored and 2 conceded. Dynamo, on the other hand, have a strong home record, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against weaker opponents.
The expected total goals is 3.1, with a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 10.2% probability. Dynamo are also likely to win the match, with the model's selection being a Home win at 63% probability.
Other suggested picks include Over 21.5 fouls at 84.2% and Over 1.5 goals at 83% with a 7% edge. Rodina Moskva's away form is also worth noting, with them averaging 1 goal scored and 2 conceded against stronger opponents.
In terms of match probabilities, Dynamo have a 63% chance of winning, Rodina Moskva have a 16% chance of winning, and the draw has a 22% chance.
Results analysis
The Dynamo win extends their recent winning streak, ending the match 3-1 in their favour. The model’s favourite, a home win with a 63 % probability, proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 3, with a 22 % chance, and the actual result matched the predicted 3-1 outcome. The model’s selections performed impressively: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1 %, Under 7.5 at 98.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.2 %, Under 6.5 at 95.9 %, Home +2 handicap at 94.4 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.7 %, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 92.4 %. All picks were settled, with every one hitting the mark.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dynamo win✓ Hit
63.0%
Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.36
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
Dafabet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
SBO
1.34
Draw✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied 17.9% · @ 5.30
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.64
Pinnacle
5.64
Marathonbet
5.50
Dafabet
5.20
Superbet
5.10
Rodina Moskva win✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied 12.4% · @ 7.65
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
8.63
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.00
Dafabet
7.40
SBO
6.86
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dynamo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.10
1.71
1.07
1.25
1.12
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.86
1.40
1.00
1.11
0.78
vs Weaker (11)
2.00
1.00
2.29
0.86
1.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodina Moskva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.00
1.81
1.00
1.79
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
2.00
1.12
2.00
1.44
2.00
0.71
vs Weaker (12)
1.67
0.67
1.57
0.43
1.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.14+2.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
@ 4.89-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Pinnacle
5.31
Superbet
4.85
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.51-1.1%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.45+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.64
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.4%
@ 2.38-2.0%
Under 3.5
61.6%
@ 1.61+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.43
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
2.35
Superbet
2.32
Under
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
@ 1.79+4.6%
No
43.6%
@ 1.93-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
No
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%@ 9.25+5.4%
2-0
10.0%@ 6.95+3.7%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.74+4.2%
1-0
8.4%@ 7.94+2.9%
3-0
7.2%@ 8.98+2.3%
3-1 ✓
7.1%@ 10.06+2.7%
0-0
5.2%@ 18.60+2.9%
2-2
4.9%@ 17.92+2.5%
Dynamo goals ↓
Rodina Moskva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
3.4%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
1
8.4%
10%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.2%
7.1%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.9%
3.8%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dynamo goals (down), columns = Rodina Moskva goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Dynamo is 1.00 points better than Rodina Moskva in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Dynamo and Rodina Moskva are level in goals scored per game (both 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Dynamo is 1.67 goals better than Rodina Moskva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 2.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Dynamo is 19.0 percentage points better than Rodina Moskva in terms of average possession (63% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dynamo
For 5.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 16.8 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rodina Moskva
For 2.5 · Against 9.2 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dynamo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.6
10.5
4.1
4.1
4.0
27.8
27.6
28.1
vs Stronger (5)
9.3
9.0
9.5
4.2
3.0
5.0
29.3
26.0
31.0
vs Similar (23)
9.8
10.0
9.7
4.2
4.0
4.3
30.4
31.1
29.8
vs Weaker (22)
10.4
9.4
11.9
3.9
4.4
3.3
25.2
25.2
25.1
% over line
50%
39%
61%
64%
68%
60%
97%
100%
94%
% under line
50%
61%
39%
36%
32%
40%
3%
0%
6%
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodina Moskva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.8
8.5
15.0
2.4
2.4
2.4
27.5
32.0
23.0
vs Stronger (2)
15.0
-
15.0
2.5
-
2.5
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (29)
8.5
8.5
-
2.2
2.4
1.8
32.0
32.0
-
vs Weaker (19)
-
-
-
2.7
2.4
2.9
-
-
-
% over line
75%
50%
100%
34%
38%
29%
75%
100%
50%
% under line
25%
50%
0%
66%
62%
71%
25%
0%
50%
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodina Moskva
11.8
CSKA Moscow
10.3
FC Orenburg
10.1
Dynamo
10.0
Zenit
9.7
Akhmat
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akron
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.2
Lokomotiv
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Rubin
8.6
FC Krasnodar
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.2
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
5.0
FC Rostov
4.8
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
Krylia Sovetov
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Akhmat
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.4
Fakel
4.1
Zenit
4.0
Akron
3.9
Rodina Moskva
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Baltika
30.3
Spartak Moscow
29.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.5
FC Krasnodar
29.1
FC Rostov
28.8
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.7
FC Orenburg
28.6
Fakel
28.0
Dynamo
27.6
Rodina Moskva
27.5
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.3
Zenit
27.2
CSKA Moscow
26.6
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.8%
@ 1.91+8.3%
Under 9.5
43.2%
@ 1.80-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.85
Under
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.4%
@ 1.71+5.5%
Under 3.5
40.6%
@ 2.00-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Under
Superbet
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.3%
Under 21.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dynamo or Draw✓ Hit
84.6%
Avg Implied 87.5% · @ 1.08
Edge
-2.9%
63%
22%
15%
covers Dynamo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
SBO
1.05
Dynamo or Rodina Moskva✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied 81.8% · @ 1.15
Edge
-3.4%
63%
22%
15%
covers Dynamo + Rodina Moskva
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
SBO
1.12
Draw or Rodina Moskva✗ Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.08
Edge
+6.4%
63%
22%
15%
covers Draw + Rodina Moskva
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.22
Superbet
2.92
SBO
2.89
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dynamo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.4%
@ 1.05+0.0%
Under
11.6%
@ 8.00-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Under
1xBet
8.30
Superbet
7.70
Dynamo over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
63.3%
@ 1.39-4.6%
Under
36.7%
@ 2.94+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.14
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.90
Superbet
2.80
Dynamo over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
36.4%
@ 2.22-6.1%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.64+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.61
Dynamo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 4.13-5.5%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.21+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.47
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.8%
@ 1.66+6.2%
Under
37.2%
@ 2.16-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.22
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.0%
@ 4.26+3.9%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.21-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.53
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 11.48-0.4%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.03+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
11.70
Superbet
11.00
Under
Superbet
1.03
Rodina Moskva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 37.00-98.2%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dynamo, so a minus line means Dynamo give that many goals of a start and Rodina Moskva receive them. At -1, Dynamo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dynamo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dynamo)Actual: Draw
Dynamo -2
21.2%
@ 3.21-6.8%
Draw -2
19.3%
@ 4.05-2.9%
Rodina Moskva +2
59.5%
@ 1.81+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.18
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.77
Handicap -1 (Dynamo)Actual: Dynamo
Dynamo -1
40.5%
@ 1.96-5.7%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.62-2.5%
Rodina Moskva +1
37.0%
@ 3.14+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Draw
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.55
Away
Marathonbet
3.28
Superbet
3.00
Handicap +1 (Dynamo)Actual: Dynamo
Dynamo +1
84.6%
@ 1.10+12.8%
Draw +1
9.8%
@ 4.60-7.3%
Rodina Moskva -1
5.6%
@ 7.20-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Marathonbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Dynamo)Actual: Dynamo
Dynamo +2
94.4%
Draw +2
4.1%
Rodina Moskva -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dynamo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.64
0.57
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.36
0.20
0.80
0.56
0.11
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.27
1.00
0.14
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodina Moskva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.23
1.00
0.25
1.29
0.21
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.31
0.19
1.00
0.33
1.71
0.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.17
1.00
0.14
1.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
80% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.0%
@ 1.24+0.1%
Under 0.5
25.0%
@ 3.70-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Under
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.2%
@ 2.25-3.8%
Under 1.5
61.8%
@ 1.63+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.17
Under
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 4.83-5.7%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.15+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.70
Under
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dynamo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
61.0%
@ 1.43-4.2%
Under
39.0%
@ 2.69+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.82
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Dynamo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.5%
@ 3.11-7.3%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.32+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
3.05
Under
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Dynamo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 8.12-3.8%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.04+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.75
Superbet
7.50
Under
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.6%
@ 2.95+3.9%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.36-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.29
1xBet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.82
Under
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 11.33-1.1%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.50
Marathonbet
11.50
Superbet
11.00
Under
Superbet
1.03
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 50.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dynamo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.07
0.50
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.50
1.20
0.20
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.73
1.29
0.71
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodina Moskva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.81
0.75
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.94
1.00
1.11
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.50
0.57
0.29
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.3%
@ 1.14+0.0%
Under 0.5
18.7%
@ 4.97-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.77-5.6%
Under 1.5
52.4%
@ 2.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Under
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.0%
@ 3.28-6.4%
Under 2.5
78.0%
@ 1.30+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dynamo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
66.9%
@ 1.29-4.6%
Under
33.1%
@ 3.25+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Dynamo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
31.7%
@ 2.38-7.1%
Under
68.3%
@ 1.51+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Dynamo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 5.50-4.1%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.10+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.6%
@ 2.38+2.6%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.52-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.37
Superbet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 8.40-0.4%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.03+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
8.60
Superbet
7.90
Under
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 30.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.4%
1.04
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.2%
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.1%
1.05
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.4%
1.03
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.4%
1.05
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.4%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
84.6%
1.08
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
SBO
1.05
-
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
84.6%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+12.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.0%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
82.9%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.3%
1.14
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.1%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.4%
1.15
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
SBO
1.12
-
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.5%
1.32
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.0%
1.24
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.0%
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
-
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dynamo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anton Miranchuk33%
Dmitri Skopintsev20%
Konstantin Tyukavin20%
Timofey Marinkin20%
Arthur Gomes17%
Maksim Osipenko17%
Daniil Fomin0%
Danil Glebov0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Bitello0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Viktor Okishor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Ricardo50%
Viktor Okishor33%
Daniil Fomin25%
Juan Cáceres20%
Timofey Marinkin20%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Yaroslav Gladyshev17%
Rubens17%
Anton Miranchuk0%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Arthur Gomes0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danil Glebov0%
Bitello0%
Konstantin Tyukavin0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Viktor Okishor33%
Konstantin Tyukavin20%
Maksim Osipenko17%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Bitello17%
Anton Miranchuk0%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Arthur Gomes0%
Daniil Fomin0%
Danil Glebov0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Timofey Marinkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Konstantin Tyukavin40%
Anton Miranchuk17%
Arthur Gomes17%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Bitello17%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Daniil Fomin0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danil Glebov0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Viktor Okishor0%
Timofey Marinkin0%
Rodina Moskva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Pozo33%
Artur Gharibyan20%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Stanislav Bessmertniy0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Dyatlov50%
Andrey Egorychev33%
Dmitriy Tananeev33%
Iker Pozo33%
Ruslan Fishchenko20%
Yordy Reyna17%
Artem Meshchaninov17%
Ivan Timoshenko17%
Stanislav Bessmertniy17%
Leon Musaev0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Artem Maksimenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Artur Gharibyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Artur Gharibyan20%
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Iker Pozo17%
Stanislav Bessmertniy17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Iker Pozo0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Stanislav Bessmertniy0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
Artur Gharibyan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Dynamo's squad is €94m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€110m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Dynamo's attack is €38m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€45m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Dynamo's midfield is €20m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€24m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Dynamo's defence is €35m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€42m vs €7m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel