The match between Dynamo and Spartak Moscow is a tight affair, with no clear favourite. The model favours a home win, giving Dynamo a 40% chance, a draw 27%, and a 33% chance for Spartak. The expected total is 2.9 goals, but the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 24% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12.7%. Dynamo’s home form shows they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opponents, while Spartak Moscow, on the road, averages 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8%, Under 6.5 at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 96.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.6%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 94.9% with a 4% edge. Both sides are coming off recent wins, Dynamo 3-1 over Rodina Moskva and Spartak 2-0 over Zenit.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dynamo win
40.7%
Avg Implied 33.4% · @ 2.82
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.93
Marathonbet
2.86
Dafabet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.84
Superbet
2.82
Draw
26.9%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.37
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Marathonbet
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.34
Spartak Moscow win
32.3%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.44
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.52
Pinnacle
2.51
Dafabet
2.41
Superbet
2.37
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dynamo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.03
1.88
1.00
1.21
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.33
0.50
2.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (14)
1.29
0.86
1.40
1.00
1.22
0.78
vs Weaker (13)
2.15
0.92
2.44
0.78
1.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Moscow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.13
2.00
0.94
1.36
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.23
1.23
1.22
0.78
1.25
2.25
vs Weaker (17)
2.06
1.06
3.00
1.14
1.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.7%
@ 1.23+4.0%
Under 1.5
20.3%
@ 3.83-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.04
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.5%
@ 1.79+2.2%
Under 2.5
44.5%
@ 2.04-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
SBO
1.78
Superbet
1.74
Under
1xBet
2.10
SBO
2.04
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.1%
@ 2.79-0.3%
Under 3.5
66.9%
@ 1.40+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
59.6%
@ 1.60+1.7%
No
40.4%
@ 2.20-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
No
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 6.03+5.4%
2-1
8.9%@ 9.85+4.4%
1-2
7.8%@ 8.99+2.9%
1-0
7.3%@ 9.96+2.9%
0-0
6.6%@ 10.01+2.2%
2-0
6.6%@ 15.05+3.6%
0-1
6.3%@ 9.06+1.4%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.26+2.1%
Dynamo goals ↓
Spartak Moscow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
6.3%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.3%
13%
7.8%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
8.9%
6.0%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.4%
4.6%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.3%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dynamo goals (down), columns = Spartak Moscow goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Dynamo is 0.50 points worse than Spartak Moscow in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Dynamo is 0.50 goals worse than Spartak Moscow in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Dynamo is 0.33 goals worse than Spartak Moscow in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Dynamo is 0.8 percentage points better than Spartak Moscow in terms of average possession (63% vs 62%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dynamo
For 4.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 16.0 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Moscow
For 6.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 14.6 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dynamo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.7
10.2
4.1
4.1
4.1
27.2
27.1
27.3
vs Stronger (5)
9.3
9.0
9.5
4.2
3.0
5.0
29.3
26.0
31.0
vs Similar (22)
9.5
10.0
9.1
4.2
3.9
4.5
29.2
30.8
28.1
vs Weaker (23)
9.5
8.0
11.9
3.9
4.4
3.3
25.0
24.9
25.1
% over line
44%
28%
61%
66%
68%
64%
97%
100%
94%
% under line
56%
72%
39%
34%
32%
36%
3%
0%
6%
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Moscow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.1
9.2
4.8
4.6
5.1
30.5
29.9
31.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
9.0
9.4
8.4
5.3
4.8
5.9
31.7
30.1
33.8
vs Weaker (31)
9.2
8.8
9.6
4.6
4.5
4.7
29.9
29.8
30.0
% over line
40%
33%
47%
72%
69%
75%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
60%
67%
53%
28%
31%
25%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Dynamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.6%
@ 1.85-9.8%
Under 9.5
59.4%
@ 1.88+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.3%
Under 3.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
91.7%
Under 21.5
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dynamo or Draw
67.7%
Avg Implied 61.2% · @ 1.54
Edge
+6.5%
41%
27%
32%
covers Dynamo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.54
SBO
1.51
Dynamo or Spartak Moscow
73.1%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.31
Edge
+0.9%
41%
27%
32%
covers Dynamo + Spartak Moscow
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.26
Draw or Spartak Moscow
59.3%
Avg Implied 66.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
-7.4%
41%
27%
32%
covers Draw + Spartak Moscow
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.45
Superbet
1.40
SBO
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dynamo over/under 0.5
Over
78.7%
@ 1.27+5.4%
Under
21.3%
@ 3.48-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.65
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Dynamo over/under 1.5
Over
45.7%
@ 2.38+6.1%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.56-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Under
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.56
Dynamo over/under 2.5
Over
20.3%
@ 5.28+2.6%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.13-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.25
Under
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Dynamo over/under 3.5
Over
7.1%
@ 13.00-0.1%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.02+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Under
Superbet
1.02
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5
Over
74.3%
@ 1.23-1.4%
Under
25.7%
@ 3.84+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Under
Superbet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
1xBet
3.72
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5
Over
39.3%
@ 2.18-3.9%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.66+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Superbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.63
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5
Over
15.6%
@ 4.58-4.7%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.17+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Superbet
4.45
Under
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Spartak Moscow over/under 3.5
Over
4.9%
@ 9.93-4.4%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.90
Under
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dynamo, so a minus line means Dynamo give that many goals of a start and Spartak Moscow receive them. At -1, Dynamo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dynamo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dynamo)
Dynamo -2
8.3%
@ 9.32-0.9%
Draw -2
12.5%
@ 6.05-1.6%
Spartak Moscow +2
79.2%
@ 1.11+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Draw
Superbet
7.30
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Dynamo)
Dynamo -1
20.8%
@ 5.25+3.5%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 4.50-0.2%
Spartak Moscow +1
59.3%
@ 1.45-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.25
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.45
Handicap +1 (Dynamo)
Dynamo +1
67.7%
@ 1.56+9.9%
Draw +1
17.4%
@ 4.15-4.4%
Spartak Moscow -1
15.0%
@ 4.40-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.56
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Handicap +2 (Dynamo)
Dynamo +2
85.0%
@ 1.16+8.6%
Draw +2
9.7%
@ 6.60-3.8%
Spartak Moscow -2
5.3%
@ 8.80-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
6.30
Away
Marathonbet
8.80
Superbet
8.80
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dynamo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.69
0.56
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.36
0.20
0.80
0.56
0.11
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.31
1.00
0.22
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Moscow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.19
0.44
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.54
0.89
0.44
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
0.53
1.57
0.43
0.70
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.4%
@ 1.35+3.1%
Under 0.5
27.6%
@ 3.05-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.58+2.3%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.47-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
Superbet
2.52
Under
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 6.00-1.4%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.09+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Superbet
5.90
Under
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dynamo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.5%
@ 2.06+7.5%
Under
47.5%
@ 1.69-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Dynamo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.5%
@ 6.47+3.1%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.08-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.55
Superbet
6.30
Under
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Dynamo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
@ 21.00-96.3%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.9%
@ 1.95-0.8%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.78+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.96
Superbet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.82
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.0%
@ 5.82-5.9%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.10+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.45
Under
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
@ 18.00-3.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dynamo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.19
0.44
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.50
1.20
0.20
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.62
1.44
0.56
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Moscow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.81
0.50
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.69
0.33
0.33
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.53
1.43
0.71
0.70
0.40
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.19+1.0%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 4.20-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.8%
@ 1.97-1.1%
Under 1.5
53.2%
@ 1.81+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 3.92-5.2%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.22+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.88
Marathonbet
3.88
Under
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dynamo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.5%
@ 1.74+1.4%
Under
45.5%
@ 1.97-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
Dynamo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.9%
@ 4.60-1.3%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.16+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Dynamo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.2%
@ 14.00-2.6%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.8%
@ 1.65-6.3%
Under
50.2%
@ 2.10+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.11
Superbet
2.10
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.6%
@ 4.18-4.6%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.19+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Under
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.6%
@ 12.00-4.2%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Under
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
Under 6.5
97.1%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.02
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
Home under 3.5 goals
92.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.1%
Under 5.5
92.6%
1.02
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+5.9%
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.09
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+1.4%
Home +2 handicap
85.0%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-
+8.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
84.4%
1.17
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+4.7%
Over 23.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.1%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
+1.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.5%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-3.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.4%
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+4.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
-
-
+1.3%
Under 11.5 corners
80.8%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-
-
-
+9.3%
Over 1.5
79.7%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+4.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
79.7%
1.13
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-2.6%
Away +2 handicap
79.2%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+2.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.19
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+1.0%
Home over 0.5 goals
78.7%
1.27
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
-
+5.4%
Away over 0.5 goals
74.3%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
-
-
-1.4%
Over 3.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.1%
1.31
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.26
-
+0.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.4%
1.35
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
-
+3.1%
Over 25.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
71.2%
1.52
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
-
-
+10.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dynamo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anton Miranchuk33%
Dmitri Skopintsev20%
Konstantin Tyukavin20%
Timofey Marinkin20%
Arthur Gomes17%
Maksim Osipenko17%
Daniil Fomin0%
Danil Glebov0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Bitello0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Viktor Okishor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Ricardo50%
Viktor Okishor33%
Daniil Fomin25%
Juan Cáceres20%
Timofey Marinkin20%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Yaroslav Gladyshev17%
Rubens17%
Anton Miranchuk0%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Arthur Gomes0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danil Glebov0%
Bitello0%
Konstantin Tyukavin0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Viktor Okishor33%
Konstantin Tyukavin20%
Maksim Osipenko17%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Bitello17%
Anton Miranchuk0%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Arthur Gomes0%
Daniil Fomin0%
Danil Glebov0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Timofey Marinkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Konstantin Tyukavin40%
Anton Miranchuk17%
Arthur Gomes17%
Ivan Sergeev17%
Bitello17%
Dmitri Skopintsev0%
Daniil Fomin0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danil Glebov0%
Juan Cáceres0%
Yaroslav Gladyshev0%
Rubens0%
David Ricardo0%
Kurban Rasulov0%
Leon Zaydenzal0%
Viktor Okishor0%
Timofey Marinkin0%
Spartak Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Manfred Ugalde33%
Christopher Martins33%
Mirlind Daku25%
Ezequiel Barco25%
Christopher Wooh20%
Roman Zobnin17%
Marquinhos17%
Danyl Prutsev17%
Pablo Solari17%
Srđan Babić0%
Gedson Fernandes0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Victor Parada0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gedson Fernandes60%
Christopher Wooh40%
Roman Zobnin33%
Manfred Ugalde33%
Mirlind Daku25%
Aleksandr Maksimenko17%
Marquinhos17%
Igor Dmitriev17%
Srđan Babić0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Christopher Martins0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Danyl Prutsev0%
Ezequiel Barco0%
Victor Parada0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Pablo Solari0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marquinhos50%
Alexander Djiku33%
Mirlind Daku25%
Ezequiel Barco25%
Roman Zobnin17%
Srđan Babić0%
Gedson Fernandes0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Manfred Ugalde0%
Christopher Martins0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Danyl Prutsev0%
Victor Parada0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Pablo Solari0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manfred Ugalde33%
Srđan Babić0%
Gedson Fernandes0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Roman Zobnin0%
Marquinhos0%
Mirlind Daku0%
Christopher Martins0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Danyl Prutsev0%
Ezequiel Barco0%
Victor Parada0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Pablo Solari0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Dynamo's squad is €19m less valuable than Spartak Moscow's (€110m vs €129m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Dynamo's attack is €14m less valuable than Spartak Moscow's (€45m vs €59m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Dynamo's midfield is €13m less valuable than Spartak Moscow's (€24m vs €37m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Dynamo's defence is €8m more valuable than Spartak Moscow's (€42m vs €34m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel