The model sees HB Torshavn as the clear favourite, rating a 72% chance of victory because they are playing away against a home side that struggles against stronger opposition, scoring only 0.75 goals and conceding 3.0. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely scoreline 0-2 for HB at 10.3%. Home win stands at 11%, draw at 18%, and away win at 72%. EB / Streymur have just returned from a win, yet their recent form shows they are still vulnerable at home, while HB Torshavn have gone unbeaten in five games, scoring 3.5 and conceding just 1.0 on the road. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 7.5 (97.6%), Away +2 handicap (96.5%), Under 6.5 (94.0%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.6%), Away over 0.5 goals (92.0%), Draw or Away (89.4%), and Away +1 handicap (89.4%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
EB / Streymur win
10.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn win
72.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
EB / Streymur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.23
1.00
2.14
1.38
2.31
vs Stronger (17)
0.88
2.88
0.75
3.00
1.00
2.78
vs Similar (13)
1.62
1.38
1.33
1.00
1.86
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
0.97
2.33
1.20
2.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.77
1.08
1.83
1.83
1.71
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
3.06
0.88
2.67
0.78
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.8%
Under 2.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.0%
Under 3.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-4
5.0%
EB / Streymur goals ↓
HB Torshavn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
7.5%
11%
9.0%
5.7%
1
2.1%
8.0%
9.3%
7.9%
5.0%
2
1.3%
3.2%
4.1%
3.5%
2.2%
3
0.4%
0.9%
1.2%
1.0%
0.7%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = EB / Streymur goals (down), columns = HB Torshavn goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
EB / Streymur is 1.75 points worse than HB Torshavn in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
EB / Streymur is 1.12 goals worse than HB Torshavn in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
EB / Streymur is 1.50 goals worse than HB Torshavn in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
EB / Streymur or Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied -
10%
17%
73%
covers EB / Streymur + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur or HB Torshavn
82.8%
Avg Implied -
10%
17%
73%
covers EB / Streymur + HB Torshavn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or HB Torshavn
90.0%
Avg Implied -
10%
17%
73%
covers Draw + HB Torshavn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
EB / Streymur over/under 0.5
Over
58.6%
Under
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 1.5
Over
22.1%
Under
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 2.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5
Over
92.2%
Under
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5
Over
72.4%
Under
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5
Over
47.1%
Under
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 3.5
Over
25.5%
Under
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to EB / Streymur, so a minus line means EB / Streymur give that many goals of a start and HB Torshavn receive them. At -1, EB / Streymur must win by two or more to land; a one-goal EB / Streymur win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (EB / Streymur)
EB / Streymur -2
0.8%
Draw -2
2.5%
HB Torshavn +2
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (EB / Streymur)
EB / Streymur -1
3.3%
Draw -1
6.8%
HB Torshavn +1
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (EB / Streymur)
EB / Streymur +1
27.2%
Draw +1
21.0%
HB Torshavn -1
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (EB / Streymur)
EB / Streymur +2
48.1%
Draw +2
21.0%
HB Torshavn -2
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
EB / Streymur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.43
0.86
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
1.00
0.62
1.38
0.22
0.67
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.31
0.17
0.17
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.30
0.53
0.33
1.20
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.31
0.17
0.50
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (17)
1.29
0.29
0.78
0.22
1.88
0.38
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
EB / Streymur over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
EB / Streymur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.53
0.57
1.29
0.81
1.75
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
1.88
0.12
1.62
0.78
2.11
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.08
1.17
0.83
0.86
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.67
1.80
0.87
1.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
0.77
1.67
1.33
1.29
0.29
vs Weaker (17)
1.76
0.59
1.89
0.56
1.62
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
EB / Streymur over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
EB / Streymur's squad is €2m less valuable than HB Torshavn's (€1m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
EB / Streymur and HB Torshavn have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
EB / Streymur and HB Torshavn have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
EB / Streymur and HB Torshavn have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NSI Runavik
KI Klaksvik
Vikingur Gota
07 Vestur
Skála
B36 Torshavn
AB
B68