EB / Streymur are set to host Skála in a match that the model predicts will end in a home win. The expected total of 3.5 goals and the 3-goal most likely total suggest a lively affair, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at a 10.2% probability. EB / Streymur, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, have averaged 2.0 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded, while Skála, on the road, have managed just 0.5 goals and have given up 2.0. The probabilities for the match result are 43% for a home win, 24% for a draw, and 33% for an away win. The model’s selection Over 1.5 goals carries an 87.2% probability. The final score of the last match was 1-0, a home win, and the recent form shows EB / Streymur coming off a defeat, whereas Skála are coming off a draw.
Results analysis
The win for EB / Streymur extends their recent run, ending a string of defeats, while Skála comes off a draw. The final score was 1-0, a home win that matched the model’s pick and confirmed the pre-match favourite with a 43% probability. The model had expected a total of 3.5 goals, yet only one was scored, far below the 3-goal most likely outcome. The suggested pick “Over 1.5” at 87.2% probability missed, as the match fell short of that threshold. All selections were settled, and the model’s choice of a home win proved correct.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
EB / Streymur win✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skála win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
EB / Streymur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.92
1.57
2.00
0.83
1.83
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
3.00
1.25
3.25
1.00
2.75
vs Similar (5)
1.40
0.20
2.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.92
2.00
0.75
1.75
1.20
2.40
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
2.83
1.00
2.75
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.6%
Under 2.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.7%
No
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
1-0 ✓
4.8%
3-2
4.4%
EB / Streymur goals ↓
Skála goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
2.1%
0.9%
1
4.8%
10%
7.5%
4.0%
1.6%
2
5.4%
8.7%
7.0%
3.8%
1.5%
3
3.3%
5.4%
4.4%
2.3%
0.9%
4
1.6%
2.5%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = EB / Streymur goals (down), columns = Skála goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KI Klaksvik
2.85
Vikingur Gota
2.15
HB Torshavn
2.04
B36 Torshavn
1.52
EB / Streymur
1.30
07 Vestur
1.07
AB
1.07
B68
1.00
NSI Runavik
0.78
Skála
0.37
EB / Streymur is 0.93 points better than Skála in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 0.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KI Klaksvik
2.89
Vikingur Gota
2.56
HB Torshavn
2.07
B36 Torshavn
1.89
B68
1.30
07 Vestur
1.26
AB
1.22
NSI Runavik
1.15
EB / Streymur
1.15
Skála
0.93
EB / Streymur is 0.22 goals better than Skála in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
KI Klaksvik
0.26
Vikingur Gota
0.89
HB Torshavn
1.00
B36 Torshavn
1.00
B68
1.96
EB / Streymur
2.00
NSI Runavik
2.19
07 Vestur
2.26
AB
2.33
Skála
2.52
EB / Streymur is 0.52 goals better than Skála in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.52).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
EB / Streymur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.23
1.00
1.57
0.50
0.83
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.88
1.25
2.50
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.20
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
1.23
0.38
0.88
0.60
1.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.83
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
EB / Streymur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
EB / Streymur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.69
0.57
0.43
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.00
0.75
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.77
0.38
0.88
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.25
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.60
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
EB / Streymur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
EB / Streymur and Skála have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
EB / Streymur and Skála have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
EB / Streymur and Skála have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
EB / Streymur and Skála have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KI Klaksvik
Vikingur Gota
HB Torshavn
B36 Torshavn
07 Vestur
AB
B68
NSI Runavik