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Egersund vs Mjondalen Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 3-1
Egersund
Egersund
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egersund win✓ Hit
43.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen win✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W14L32W12L02L21W21W12L01L04LH·STA11/08A·RAU19/08H·MOS26/08A·LEV02/09H·RAN16/09H·STA25/09A·ASA28/09A·LYN02/10H·KON06/10A·VAL21/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.831.291.572.192.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.761.801.331.672.151.92
vs Weaker (5)1.802.001.001.002.332.67
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W20W01L11D05L12L10W24L00DA·LEV14/08A·RAN19/08H·LEV26/08A·MOS01/09H·BRY16/09A·ASA21/09H·KON25/09A·AAL28/09A·VAL02/10H·SOG21/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.631.361.501.121.75
vs Stronger (2)3.503.505.003.002.004.00
vs Similar (27)1.001.561.081.380.931.71
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
Egersund goals ↓
Mjondalen goals →
01234
07.7%6.6%4.7%1.9%0.6%
18.8%13%7.2%2.9%0.9%
27.7%9.2%5.5%2.2%0.7%
33.9%4.7%2.8%1.1%0.3%
41.5%1.8%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egersund goals (down), columns = Mjondalen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Egersund is 0.45 points better than Mjondalen in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Egersund is 0.60 goals better than Mjondalen in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Egersund is 0.20 goals worse than Mjondalen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EgersundEgersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L10W11D01L10W11D10W00D01LH·STA11/08A·RAU19/08H·MOS26/08A·LEV02/09H·RAN16/09H·STA25/09A·ASA28/09A·LYN02/10H·KON06/10A·VAL21/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.430.790.750.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.560.840.500.830.620.85
vs Weaker (5)0.801.000.000.501.331.33
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W00D10W02L00D00D03L00DA·LEV14/08A·RAN19/08H·LEV26/08A·MOS01/09H·BRY16/09A·ASA21/09H·KON25/09A·AAL28/09A·VAL02/10H·SOG21/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.860.500.380.88
vs Stronger (2)1.502.003.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.480.630.690.460.290.79
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EgersundEgersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D12L22D01L01L11D10W02L01L03LH·STA11/08A·RAU19/08H·MOS26/08A·LEV02/09H·RAN16/09H·STA25/09A·ASA28/09A·LYN02/10H·KON06/10A·VAL21/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.970.860.791.441.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.200.960.830.831.541.08
vs Weaker (5)1.001.001.000.501.001.33
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W01L01L03L12L10W21W00DA·LEV14/08A·RAN19/08H·LEV26/08A·MOS01/09H·BRY16/09A·ASA21/09H·KON25/09A·AAL28/09A·VAL02/10H·SOG21/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.501.000.750.88
vs Stronger (2)2.001.502.002.002.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.930.380.920.640.93
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
EGE wins
0
Draws
0
MJO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Egersund vs Mjondalen · H/A from EGE
DateH/AGameScore
23/06/24AMjondalen Vs EGE0-3

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/24AValerenga Vs EGE4-0
06/10/24HEGE Vs Kongsvinger0-1
02/10/24ALyn Vs EGE2-1
28/09/24AAsane Vs EGE1-2
25/09/24HEGE Vs Stabaek2-1
16/09/24HEGE Vs Ranheim0-2
02/09/24ALevanger Vs EGE2-1
26/08/24HEGE Vs Moss3-2
19/08/24ARaufoss Vs EGE4-1
11/08/24HEGE Vs Start3-2

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/24HMJO Vs Sogndal0-0
02/10/24AValerenga Vs MJO4-2
28/09/24AAalesund Vs MJO0-1
25/09/24HMJO Vs Kongsvinger1-2
21/09/24AAsane Vs MJO5-0
16/09/24HMJO Vs Bryne1-1
01/09/24AMoss Vs MJO1-0
26/08/24HMJO Vs Levanger2-0
19/08/24ARanheim Vs MJO0-1
14/08/24ALevanger Vs MJO1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.57
HomeWWLWL1.29
AwayLLWLL1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%36%56%
AVG goals3.602.864.25
Over 1.5 %87%86%88%
Over 2.5 %70%50%88%
Over 3.5 %47%36%56%
Scored1.771.292.19
Conceded1.831.572.06
BTTS70%64%75%
Clean Sheet13%7%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.10
HomeLWDLD1.21
AwayWLLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.822.882.77
Over 1.5 %74%88%62%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %28%21%35%
Scored1.261.461.08
Conceded1.561.421.69
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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