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EIF vs JäPS Result & Analysis

Date: 18/07/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
EIF
EIF
Vs
47%
23%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
JäPS
JäPS
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives EIF a 47% win probability against JäPS in the Finland: Ykkösliiga on 2026-07-18, with 23% for the draw and 30% for JäPS. The model estimates around 3.6 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (21%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (9.8%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (88%).

Results analysis

EIF finished 0-1 against JäPS (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 47% home win, 23% draw and 30% away win. Missed: Over 1.5 (88%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EIF win✗ Miss
46.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JäPS win✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EIFEIF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L02L00D04L23L22D41W21W21W13LH·SJK18/08H·LAH22/08A·JÄP29/08A·TUR05/09H·SAL12/09A·JIP19/09H·KÄP26/09A·PK-03/10H·KLU18/10A·HAK11/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.572.131.601.201.53
vs Stronger (11)0.641.910.401.400.832.33
vs Similar (16)2.001.382.751.751.251.00
vs Weaker (3)3.671.334.001.503.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JäPSJäPS

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W00D00D32W12L11D11D12L11DA·KÄP02/08H·SAL15/08A·PK-22/08H·EIF29/08A·KÄP05/09A·LAH14/09H·TUR19/09A·SJK28/09A·KLU04/10H·JIP18/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.971.431.861.882.06
vs Stronger (8)1.252.500.802.602.002.33
vs Similar (18)1.501.781.751.381.302.10
vs Weaker (4)3.251.752.002.003.671.67
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.0%
Under 2.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.6%
Under 3.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.2%
No
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
EIF goals ↓
JäPS goals →
01234
03.7%3.6%3.5%1.8%0.7%
14.8%9.8%7.0%3.6%1.4%
25.6%8.9%6.9%3.6%1.4%
33.7%5.9%4.6%2.4%0.9%
41.9%2.9%2.3%1.2%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = EIF goals (down), columns = JäPS goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Haka
2.67
Kooteepee
2.00
JIPPO
1.86
PK-35
1.83
JäPS
1.80
EIF
1.67
SJK Akatemia
1.00
MP
0.83
Klubi-04
0.71
KäPa
0.12
EIF is 0.13 points worse than JäPS in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Haka
2.83
PK-35
1.67
Kooteepee
1.60
JIPPO
1.43
MP
1.17
EIF
1.00
JäPS
1.00
KäPa
0.88
SJK Akatemia
0.83
Klubi-04
0.71
EIF and JäPS are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.60
EIF
0.67
JIPPO
1.00
Haka
1.00
PK-35
1.17
Kooteepee
1.20
SJK Akatemia
1.33
Klubi-04
1.43
MP
1.83
KäPa
2.25
EIF is 0.07 goals worse than JäPS in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 0.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EIFEIF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L12L21W21W00D10W00DH·SJK18/08H·LAH22/08A·JÄP29/08A·TUR05/09H·SAL12/09A·JIP19/09H·KÄP26/09A·PK-03/10H·KLU18/10A·HAK11/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.930.670.670.33
vs Stronger (11)0.550.640.200.600.830.67
vs Similar (16)0.810.381.250.620.380.12
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JäPSJäPS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D00D11D01L01L10W01L11DA·KÄP02/08H·SAL15/08A·PK-22/08H·EIF29/08A·KÄP05/09A·LAH14/09H·TUR19/09A·SJK28/09A·KLU04/10H·JIP18/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.070.431.290.810.88
vs Stronger (8)0.621.380.201.801.330.67
vs Similar (18)0.501.000.620.880.401.10
vs Weaker (4)1.250.750.002.001.670.33
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
EIF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SA (28)
€4m
SA (30)
€4m
HAK (24)
€1m
KOO (24)
€1m
JIP (25)
€1m
PK- (22)
€1m
EIF (21)
€1m
JÄP (27)
€1m
KÄP (30)
€1m
MP (30)
€0m
KLU (26)
€0m
EIF and JäPS have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SA (0)
€0m
SA (0)
€0m
EIF (0)
€0m
HAK (0)
€0m
JÄP (0)
€0m
JIP (0)
€0m
KÄP (0)
€0m
KLU (0)
€0m
KOO (0)
€0m
MP (0)
€0m
PK- (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SA (0)
€0m
SA (0)
€0m
EIF (0)
€0m
HAK (0)
€0m
JÄP (0)
€0m
JIP (0)
€0m
KÄP (0)
€0m
KLU (0)
€0m
KOO (0)
€0m
MP (0)
€0m
PK- (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SA (0)
€0m
SA (0)
€0m
EIF (0)
€0m
HAK (0)
€0m
JÄP (0)
€0m
JIP (0)
€0m
KÄP (0)
€0m
KLU (0)
€0m
KOO (0)
€0m
MP (0)
€0m
PK- (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

EIF vs JäPS · H/A from EIF
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25AJäPS Vs EIF0-0
19/06/25AJäPS Vs EIF1-1
27/04/25HEIF Vs JäPS4-2

EIFEIF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/07/26AHaka Vs EIF3-1
18/10/25HEIF Vs Klubi-042-1
03/10/25APK-35 Vs EIF1-2
26/09/25HEIF Vs KäPa4-1
19/09/25AJIPPO Vs EIF2-2
12/09/25HEIF Vs SalPa2-3
05/09/25ATurku PS Vs EIF4-0
29/08/25AJäPS Vs EIF0-0
22/08/25HEIF Vs Lahti0-2
18/08/25HEIF Vs SJK Akatemia2-3

JäPSJäPS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25HJÄP Vs JIPPO1-1
04/10/25AKlubi-04 Vs JÄP2-1
28/09/25ASJK Akatemia Vs JÄP1-1
19/09/25HJÄP Vs Turku PS1-1
14/09/25ALahti Vs JÄP2-1
05/09/25AKäPa Vs JÄP2-3
29/08/25HJÄP Vs EIF0-0
22/08/25APK-35 Vs JÄP0-0
15/08/25HJÄP Vs SalPa2-0
02/08/25AKäPa Vs JÄP0-3

📊 13. Overall Statistics

EIF
EIF
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.16
HomeLLLWW1.19
AwayDLDWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%29%
AVG goals3.263.423.08
Over 1.5 %88%92%83%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.361.621.08
Conceded1.901.812.00
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet14%12%17%
Corners---
Cards---
JäPS
JäPS
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.26
HomeWWDDD1.38
AwayDWLDL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%29%31%
AVG goals3.403.173.62
Over 1.5 %88%92%85%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.521.461.58
Conceded1.881.712.04
BTTS66%71%62%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HakaHaka616
83%
2.7
176+11
3.8
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.0
-
2JIPPOJIPPO713
57%
1.9
107+3
2.4
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
-
3PK-35PK-35611
50%
1.8
107+3
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
4KooteepeeKooteepee510
60%
2.0
86+2
2.8
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.2
-
5EIFEIF610
50%
1.7
64+2
1.7
50%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.7
-
6JäPSJäPS59
60%
1.8
53+2
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.6
-
7SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia66
17%
1.0
58-3
2.2
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0000.81.3
-
8MPMP65
17%
0.8
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
9Klubi-04Klubi-0475
14%
0.7
510-5
2.1
86%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.4
-
10KäPaKäPa81
0%
0.1
718-11
3.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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