

This highly anticipated match between EIF and Klubi-04 in the Finland: Ykkönsliiga is finely balanced, with EIF on a 2-game winning run, having defeated KäPa 1-0 in their last outing. Meanwhile, Klubi-04 has struggled, suffering three consecutive defeats, including a 0-1 loss to Kooteepee. Despite this, EIF's home form is not particularly strong, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and conceding 2.0 at home, especially when facing opponents of similar strength.
The model predicts EIF to win with a 37% chance, Klubi-04 to win with a 36% chance, and a draw with a 27% chance. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring with a 12.3% probability. EIF's away opponents have conceded an average of 1.86 goals, while Klubi-04's away scoring average is 1.29 goals. The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals, occurring with an 81.2% probability. The home win percentage is 37%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 36%.
The win extends EIF's run of two consecutive victories, which now totals four games. The final score was 2-0, resulting in a home win. The model correctly picked EIF as the favourite, with a pre-match probability of 37%. The model's selection, EIF to win, was correct. The model's other selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit at 81.2% probability, while the model's call for the most likely score, 1-1, missed at 12.3% probability. The most likely total goals was 2, but the actual total was not recorded.
EIF| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.63 | 1.57 | 2.07 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 1.00 | 1.83 | 0.60 | 1.20 | 1.29 | 2.29 |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.73 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 1.88 | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 3.67 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
Klubi-04| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.63 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.40 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| vs Similar (16) | 1.69 | 1.62 | 1.88 | 1.62 | 1.50 | 1.62 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Klubi-04 goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 12% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81.2% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.14 | -0.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 05/07/25 | A | 2-2 | |
| 10/05/25 | H | 3-4 |
EIF| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 18/07/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 11/07/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 18/10/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/10/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 26/09/25 | H | 4-1 | |
| 19/09/25 | A | 2-2 | |
| 12/09/25 | H | 2-3 | |
| 05/09/25 | A | 4-0 | |
| 29/08/25 | A | 0-0 |
Klubi-04| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 21/07/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 17/07/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 11/07/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 04/10/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 27/09/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 24/09/25 | H | 1-4 | |
| 20/09/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 14/09/25 | H | 2-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Haka | 6 | 16 | 83% | 2.7 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 2 | PK-35 | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 2.8 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | - |
| 3 | Kooteepee | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | JIPPO | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | JäPS | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 1.6 | 40% | 20% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | - |
| 6 | EIF | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 1.6 | 40% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 7 | SJK Akatemia | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.2 | 67% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 | MP | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - |
| 9 | Klubi-04 | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2.1 | 86% | 14% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | - |
| 10 | KäPa | 7 | 1 | 0% | 0.1 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3.0 | 86% | 71% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 2.1 | - |