The model favours a home win, with the EIF side holding a 45% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance of an away win. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.8% probability. EIF’s home form shows they average 1.75 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against stronger opponents, while SJK Akatemia, playing away against a weaker side, averages 2.17 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4%), Under 5.5 (93.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.2%), Home +2 handicap (87.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.5%), and Under 4.5 (84.5%). Both teams have recently lost their opening matches, with EIF falling 0-1 to Kooteepee and SJK Akatemia losing 0-2 to Haka. The overall shape suggests a tightly contested match where the home side’s slight edge could tip the balance.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
EIF win
40.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia win
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
EIF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.47
1.50
1.50
1.29
1.43
vs Stronger (18)
1.17
2.00
1.27
1.91
1.00
2.14
vs Similar (12)
1.75
0.67
2.00
0.60
1.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.97
1.57
1.93
1.56
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.12
1.94
1.00
2.14
1.20
1.80
vs Weaker (12)
2.17
2.17
2.17
2.00
2.17
2.33
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.6%
Under 2.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.5%
Under 3.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
EIF goals ↓
SJK Akatemia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
7.0%
5.2%
2.2%
0.7%
1
8.3%
13%
7.6%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
8.9%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.4%
4.4%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = EIF goals (down), columns = SJK Akatemia goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
EIF is 0.50 points better than SJK Akatemia in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
EIF is 0.12 goals worse than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
EIF is 1.12 goals better than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
EIF or Draw
68.6%
Avg Implied -
41%
28%
31%
covers EIF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
EIF or SJK Akatemia
72.1%
Avg Implied -
41%
28%
31%
covers EIF + SJK Akatemia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or SJK Akatemia
59.2%
Avg Implied -
41%
28%
31%
covers Draw + SJK Akatemia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
EIF over/under 0.5
Over
77.1%
Under
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5
Over
43.3%
Under
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 3.5
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5
Over
71.8%
Under
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5
Over
36.1%
Under
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5
Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to EIF, so a minus line means EIF give that many goals of a start and SJK Akatemia receive them. At -1, EIF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal EIF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (EIF)
EIF -2
7.9%
Draw -2
12.5%
SJK Akatemia +2
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (EIF)
EIF -1
20.4%
Draw -1
20.4%
SJK Akatemia +1
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (EIF)
EIF +1
68.6%
Draw +1
17.4%
SJK Akatemia -1
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (EIF)
EIF +2
86.0%
Draw +2
9.3%
SJK Akatemia -2
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
EIF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.69
0.50
0.79
0.29
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.61
0.45
0.64
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.08
1.20
0.20
0.71
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.90
0.29
0.86
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.94
0.14
1.14
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.92
0.50
0.67
0.67
1.17
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
EIF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
EIF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.07
0.81
1.00
0.50
1.14
vs Stronger (18)
0.56
1.39
0.82
1.27
0.14
1.57
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.58
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
1.29
1.07
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.82
1.00
0.86
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.58
1.25
1.67
1.33
1.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
EIF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
PK-35
JIPPO
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
JäPS
MP
KäPa