Eintracht Frankfurt’s home form shows a clean sheet average of zero conceded goals against weaker opposition, while FC Augsburg, playing away against stronger opponents, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. The model projects a 55% chance of a home win, 23% for a draw and 22% for an away win, making a home win the clear favourite. With an expected 3.3 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at about 10% probability. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with both sides likely to find the net. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7% (edge 7%), Under 7.5 at 97.9% (edge 3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3% (edge 7%), Away under 3.5 goals at 95.8% (edge 4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.7% (edge 6%), Under 6.5 at 94.7% (edge 3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.4% (edge 7%) and Under 25.5 fouls at 90.4%. The model’s selections reflect a strong likelihood of a tight, goal-rich encounter.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt win
54.9%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.93
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.00
Dafabet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.95
Draw
23.0%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.95
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.20
1xBet
4.16
Pinnacle
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
4.00
FC Augsburg win
22.2%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.47
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.64
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Pinnacle
3.56
Dafabet
3.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.97
1.33
1.60
1.67
2.33
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
3.33
2.00
3.00
1.25
3.50
vs Similar (20)
1.65
1.90
1.27
1.64
2.11
2.22
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Augsburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Augsburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.63
1.56
1.31
1.07
2.00
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
2.09
1.00
2.60
1.17
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.47
1.37
1.82
0.73
1.00
2.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Eintracht Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.6%
@ 1.12+1.9%
Under 1.5
14.4%
@ 5.72-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.10
BetVictor
6.00
Betano
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.9%
@ 1.45+0.1%
Under 2.5
35.1%
@ 2.67-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.77
Unibet
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.9%
@ 2.15-1.5%
Under 3.5
57.1%
@ 1.71+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
SBO
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Unibet
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Both teams to score
Yes
63.8%
@ 1.42-1.6%
No
36.2%
@ 2.69+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
No
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Betano
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 7.72+4.2%
2-1
9.6%@ 8.25+4.0%
2-0
7.6%@ 11.75+3.6%
3-1
6.7%@ 12.14+2.8%
1-0
6.4%@ 10.89+2.1%
2-2
6.1%@ 10.21+1.6%
1-2
5.9%@ 11.01+1.7%
3-0
5.2%@ 16.59+2.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt goals ↓
FC Augsburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.6%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.4%
10%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
2
7.6%
9.6%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.2%
6.7%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.7%
3.4%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eintracht Frankfurt goals (down), columns = FC Augsburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SV Elversberg
1.00
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
FC Schalke 04
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
Eintracht Frankfurt is 0.03 points better than FC Augsburg in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
SV Elversberg
1.15
FC Schalke 04
1.14
Werder Bremen
1.09
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Eintracht Frankfurt is 0.47 goals better than FC Augsburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
RB Leipzig
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
SV Elversberg
2.10
FC Schalke 04
2.11
Eintracht Frankfurt is 0.12 goals worse than FC Augsburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.91 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
Hamburger SV
45%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
40%
Eintracht Frankfurt is 11.0 percentage points better than FC Augsburg in terms of average possession (55% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt
For 5.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Augsburg
For 4.8 · Against 6.5 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.2 · Against 10.1 · Total 18.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eintracht Frankfurt
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.3
8.9
3.7
3.8
3.6
19.8
19.1
20.5
vs Stronger (12)
8.1
9.2
7.0
2.8
2.8
2.8
19.9
18.5
21.3
vs Similar (29)
9.5
10.3
8.8
4.2
4.3
4.1
20.1
19.6
20.5
vs Weaker (9)
9.1
6.6
12.2
3.2
3.6
2.8
18.7
18.2
19.2
% over line
46%
48%
44%
46%
60%
32%
36%
36%
36%
% under line
54%
52%
56%
54%
40%
68%
64%
64%
64%
This opponent (FC Augsburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Augsburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.2
9.5
4.0
4.0
4.0
21.7
21.3
22.0
vs Stronger (18)
11.3
10.4
12.1
3.7
4.6
2.9
19.7
21.7
17.8
vs Similar (32)
9.0
10.1
8.0
4.2
3.8
4.6
22.8
21.1
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
52%
56%
58%
56%
60%
56%
56%
56%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
42%
44%
40%
44%
44%
44%
This opponent (Eintracht Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RB Leipzig
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.3
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.8
FC Schalke 04
9.8
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Union Berlin
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
SV Elversberg
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.5
FSV Mainz 05
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Werder Bremen
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
1. FC Köln
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
Union Berlin
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
SC Freiburg
3.6
RB Leipzig
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Elversberg
24.3
SC Paderborn 07
24.2
Hamburger SV
24.1
FC Schalke 04
23.6
SC Freiburg
22.9
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
FC Augsburg
21.7
Union Berlin
21.6
Werder Bremen
20.5
1. FC Köln
20.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.6%
@ 1.68-0.7%
Under 9.5
45.4%
@ 2.08+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Under
Unibet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.07
Betano
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.4%
@ 1.80+2.0%
Under 3.5
46.6%
@ 1.90-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.05
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
32.4%
@ 1.87-17.7%
Under 21.5
67.6%
@ 1.88+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.88
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw
77.2%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.29
Edge
+4.4%
55%
23%
22%
covers Eintracht Frankfurt + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.33
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Eintracht Frankfurt or FC Augsburg
76.8%
Avg Implied 76.7% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.1%
55%
23%
22%
covers Eintracht Frankfurt + FC Augsburg
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Draw or FC Augsburg
46.0%
Avg Implied 50.5% · @ 1.86
Edge
-4.5%
55%
23%
22%
covers Draw + FC Augsburg
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Unibet
1.86
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 0.5
Over
87.0%
@ 1.10+2.7%
Under
13.0%
@ 5.91-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Under
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
5.80
1xBet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 1.5
Over
60.6%
@ 1.60+2.1%
Under
39.4%
@ 2.25-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
BetVictor
1.60
Betano
1.60
Under
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 2.5
Over
33.5%
@ 2.88+1.1%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.38-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
1xBet
2.98
Marathonbet
2.98
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 3.5
Over
15.1%
@ 6.01-0.4%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.10+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
FC Augsburg over/under 0.5
Over
72.3%
@ 1.24-2.5%
Under
27.7%
@ 3.69+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
3.84
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Betano
3.65
FC Augsburg over/under 1.5
Over
36.8%
@ 2.22-5.4%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.62+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
BetVictor
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
FC Augsburg over/under 2.5
Over
14.0%
@ 4.96-4.8%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.15+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Betfair
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
FC Augsburg over/under 3.5
Over
4.2%
@ 12.25-3.6%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Marathonbet
12.50
1xBet
12.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Eintracht Frankfurt, so a minus line means Eintracht Frankfurt give that many goals of a start and FC Augsburg receive them. At -1, Eintracht Frankfurt must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Eintracht Frankfurt win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Eintracht Frankfurt)
Eintracht Frankfurt -2
16.1%
@ 6.04+1.3%
Draw -2
16.6%
@ 5.40+0.0%
FC Augsburg +2
67.3%
@ 1.30-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Unibet
5.80
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Away
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap -1 (Eintracht Frankfurt)
Eintracht Frankfurt -1
32.7%
@ 3.14+4.0%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 4.00-1.3%
FC Augsburg +1
46.0%
@ 1.85-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.12
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Unibet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Away
Marathonbet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Eintracht Frankfurt)
Eintracht Frankfurt +1
77.2%
@ 1.29+7.1%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 5.43-3.6%
FC Augsburg -1
9.8%
@ 6.78-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Unibet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Away
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.65
10Bet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Eintracht Frankfurt)
Eintracht Frankfurt +2
90.2%
@ 1.08+5.8%
Draw +2
6.6%
@ 9.62-2.9%
FC Augsburg -2
3.2%
@ 14.75-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eintracht Frankfurt
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.33
0.40
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.60
0.27
0.36
1.22
0.89
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Augsburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Augsburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.69
0.69
0.50
1.07
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.18
0.60
1.60
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.68
0.73
0.27
0.38
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Eintracht Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.1%
@ 1.23-2.8%
Under 0.5
26.9%
@ 3.88+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Under
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.7%
@ 2.13-8.4%
Under 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.68+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.23
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 4.60-6.3%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.17+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.7%
@ 1.61-2.2%
Under
44.3%
@ 2.21+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Unibet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Unibet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Betano
2.15
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.5%
@ 3.99-3.8%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.21+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
3.95
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.3%
@ 9.00-6.0%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.04+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
FC Augsburg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.7%
@ 1.99-7.0%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.75+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.02
Unibet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
FC Augsburg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.8%
@ 6.01-5.6%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.09+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
FC Augsburg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 11.75-6.7%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.02+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eintracht Frankfurt
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.27
1.00
1.20
0.80
1.33
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.95
1.30
1.00
1.27
0.89
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Augsburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Augsburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.88
0.62
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.91
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.68
1.09
0.45
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Eintracht Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.12+0.0%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 5.56-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Under
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Unibet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.7%
@ 1.66-7.9%
Under 1.5
51.3%
@ 2.16+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 3.03-9.6%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.35+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
William Hil
3.10
Unibet
2.95
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Unibet
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.4%
@ 1.41-0.7%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.75+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.70
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.8%
@ 2.88-8.4%
Under
76.2%
@ 1.36+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.02
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Eintracht Frankfurt over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.6%
@ 7.00-6.7%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.07+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.04
FC Augsburg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.3%
@ 1.69-7.9%
Under
52.7%
@ 2.07+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
FC Augsburg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.8%
@ 4.24-8.0%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.19+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.05
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
FC Augsburg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 9.25-7.4%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.04+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
Under 7.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+3.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.7%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
Under 6.5
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Unibet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+2.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+6.7%
Under 25.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
+5.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+5.6%
Under 5.5
87.9%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09
+2.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
87.0%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+2.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.2%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+8.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.0%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+4.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.17
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
+6.3%
Over 1.5
85.6%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
Unibet
1.11
+1.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
84.9%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
+0.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
+0.0%
Under 23.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
81.0%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.5%
1.21
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
+3.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.35
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Unibet
1.33
+9.6%
Home or Draw
77.2%
1.29
Marathonbet
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.33
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+4.4%
Home +1 handicap
77.2%
1.29
Marathonbet
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
+7.1%
Home or Away
76.8%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
+0.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.36
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
-
+8.4%
Under 4.5
75.7%
1.28
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
+2.1%
Over 2.5 cards
73.7%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.1%
1.23
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.22
-2.8%
Away over 0.5 goals
72.3%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-2.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eintracht Frankfurt · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonathan Burkardt38%
Can Uzun36%
Arnaud Kalimuendo32%
Younes Ebnoutalib20%
Ansgar Knauff18%
Ritsu Doan12%
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab12%
Rasmus Kristensen11%
Mahmoud Dahoud11%
Michy Batshuayi10%
Nathaniel Brown10%
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya8%
Farès Chaïbi8%
Elye Wahi7%
Hugo Larsson6%
Robin Koch5%
Oscar Højlund4%
Nnamdi Collins3%
Arthur Theate3%
Mario Götze0%
Michael Zetterer0%
Aurélio Buta0%
Ellyes Skhiri0%
Aurèle Amenda0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Kauã Santos0%
Elias Baum0%
Love Arrhov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rasmus Kristensen25%
Arthur Theate24%
Arnaud Kalimuendo21%
Aurèle Amenda21%
Love Arrhov20%
Aurélio Buta17%
Nnamdi Collins17%
Ritsu Doan15%
Oscar Højlund11%
Can Uzun11%
Ansgar Knauff11%
Michy Batshuayi10%
Nathaniel Brown10%
Farès Chaïbi8%
Elye Wahi7%
Jonathan Burkardt7%
Ellyes Skhiri6%
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab6%
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya5%
Robin Koch5%
Michael Zetterer4%
Mario Götze3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Hugo Larsson0%
Kauã Santos0%
Elias Baum0%
Younes Ebnoutalib0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Elye Wahi21%
Farès Chaïbi21%
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab18%
Mahmoud Dahoud16%
Nathaniel Brown14%
Can Uzun14%
Ritsu Doan10%
Hugo Larsson9%
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya8%
Mario Götze7%
Jonathan Burkardt7%
Nnamdi Collins7%
Arnaud Kalimuendo5%
Ansgar Knauff5%
Robin Koch5%
Oscar Højlund4%
Rasmus Kristensen0%
Michy Batshuayi0%
Michael Zetterer0%
Aurélio Buta0%
Ellyes Skhiri0%
Aurèle Amenda0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Arthur Theate0%
Kauã Santos0%
Elias Baum0%
Younes Ebnoutalib0%
Love Arrhov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Younes Ebnoutalib20%
Can Uzun18%
Jonathan Burkardt17%
Elye Wahi14%
Ansgar Knauff8%
Ritsu Doan8%
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab6%
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya5%
Arnaud Kalimuendo5%
Arthur Theate3%
Robin Koch2%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Mario Götze0%
Rasmus Kristensen0%
Michy Batshuayi0%
Michael Zetterer0%
Aurélio Buta0%
Ellyes Skhiri0%
Aurèle Amenda0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Nnamdi Collins0%
Farès Chaïbi0%
Nathaniel Brown0%
Hugo Larsson0%
Oscar Højlund0%
Kauã Santos0%
Elias Baum0%
Love Arrhov0%
FC Augsburg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Gregoritsch24%
Arthur Chaves18%
Anton Kade17%
Alexis Claude-Maurice17%
Fabian Rieder15%
Rodrigo Ribeiro14%
Samuel Essende12%
Phillip Tietz8%
Robin Fellhauer8%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj7%
Kristijan Jakić7%
Dimitrios Giannoulis7%
Mert Kömür7%
Han-Noah Massengo6%
Chrislain Matsima5%
Noahkai Banks4%
Marius Wolf3%
Mads Pedersen0%
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw0%
Finn Dahmen0%
Keven Schlotterbeck0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Elias Saad0%
Aiman Dardari0%
Uchenna Ogundu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Noahkai Banks35%
Yannik Keitel33%
Aiman Dardari33%
Chrislain Matsima30%
Dimitrios Giannoulis28%
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw25%
Phillip Tietz25%
Cedric Zesiger24%
Keven Schlotterbeck23%
Kristijan Jakić21%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj15%
Han-Noah Massengo15%
Anton Kade14%
Marius Wolf13%
Samuel Essende12%
Fabian Rieder12%
Michael Gregoritsch12%
Alexis Claude-Maurice10%
Arthur Chaves9%
Elias Saad9%
Rodrigo Ribeiro7%
Robin Fellhauer6%
Mert Kömür3%
Finn Dahmen3%
Mads Pedersen0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Uchenna Ogundu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dimitrios Giannoulis17%
Mert Kömür13%
Michael Gregoritsch12%
Fabian Rieder9%
Elias Saad9%
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw8%
Robin Fellhauer8%
Alexis Claude-Maurice7%
Chrislain Matsima5%
Noahkai Banks4%
Keven Schlotterbeck4%
Kristijan Jakić4%
Marius Wolf3%
Han-Noah Massengo3%
Samuel Essende0%
Mads Pedersen0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Finn Dahmen0%
Phillip Tietz0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Anton Kade0%
Arthur Chaves0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Aiman Dardari0%
Uchenna Ogundu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Kade28%
Alexis Claude-Maurice27%
Michael Gregoritsch24%
Rodrigo Ribeiro21%
Mert Kömür10%
Fabian Rieder9%
Robin Fellhauer3%
Marius Wolf0%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Dimitrios Giannoulis0%
Samuel Essende0%
Kristijan Jakić0%
Mads Pedersen0%
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Finn Dahmen0%
Phillip Tietz0%
Keven Schlotterbeck0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Chrislain Matsima0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Arthur Chaves0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Elias Saad0%
Aiman Dardari0%
Noahkai Banks0%
Uchenna Ogundu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
Eintracht Frankfurt's squad is €162m more valuable than FC Augsburg's (€323m vs €161m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
Eintracht Frankfurt's attack is €110m more valuable than FC Augsburg's (€174m vs €64m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
SE (3)
€4m
Eintracht Frankfurt's midfield is €55m more valuable than FC Augsburg's (€78m vs €23m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
SE (12)
€14m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Eintracht Frankfurt's defence is €3m less valuable than FC Augsburg's (€72m vs €74m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart