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Ekibastuz vs Astana II Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2022
Time: 09:00
Final 2-2
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Vs
61%
20%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Astana II
Astana II
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ekibastuz win✗ Miss
61.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Astana II win✗ Miss
18.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W03L20W22D32W05L22D21W02L22DA·TAR30/07H·SPO06/08H·IGI20/08A·BAY27/08H·ZHE03/09A·ZHE11/09H·AKA17/09A·YAS30/09H·KAI09/10A·BUL16/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.611.701.361.361.832.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.531.881.001.622.002.11
vs Weaker (6)1.831.172.330.671.331.67
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Astana IIAstana II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-835L71W01L03L34L33D08L23L01L22DA·AKA06/08H·YAS20/08H·ZHE24/08A·KAI28/08H·BUL03/09A·IGI11/09A·OKZ17/09H·KYR30/09A·TAR09/10H·SPO17/10
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.872.482.381.541.203.70
vs Stronger (7)1.003.141.251.500.675.33
vs Similar (15)2.202.272.881.621.433.00
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %9% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.4%
Under 1.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.9%
Under 2.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.1%
Under 3.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.1%
No
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
2-2 ✓
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
Ekibastuz goals ↓
Astana II goals →
01234
03.2%2.4%2.0%0.9%0.3%
15.1%8.4%5.0%2.2%0.7%
27.1%9.2%6.0%2.6%0.8%
35.7%7.5%4.8%2.1%0.7%
43.5%4.5%2.9%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ekibastuz goals (down), columns = Astana II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.35
Kaisar
2.15
Zhetysu
2.12
Sport Academy Kairat
1.96
Kyran
1.58
Ekibastuz
1.42
Taraz Karatau
1.38
Zhenys
1.35
Yassy Turkistan
1.35
Akademiya Ontustik
1.15
Astana II
1.04
Igilik
0.81
Bulat
0.65
Baykonur
0.27
Ekibastuz is 0.38 points better than Astana II in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.04).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Okzhetpes
3.08
Sport Academy Kairat
2.35
Kaisar
2.31
Zhetysu
2.19
Kyran
2.19
Astana II
1.92
Yassy Turkistan
1.85
Taraz Karatau
1.73
Ekibastuz
1.73
Akademiya Ontustik
1.62
Zhenys
1.54
Bulat
1.38
Igilik
1.04
Baykonur
0.62
Ekibastuz is 0.19 goals worse than Astana II in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.85
Zhetysu
0.88
Kaisar
1.00
Sport Academy Kairat
1.19
Zhenys
1.38
Kyran
1.65
Taraz Karatau
1.81
Ekibastuz
1.81
Yassy Turkistan
2.08
Akademiya Ontustik
2.31
Astana II
2.38
Igilik
2.69
Baykonur
2.73
Bulat
2.77
Ekibastuz is 0.58 goals better than Astana II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 2.38).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D41W01L00D00D11D01L11D02L01LH·OKZ23/07A·TAR30/07H·SPO06/08H·IGI20/08A·BAY27/08H·ZHE03/09A·ZHE11/09H·AKA17/09H·KAI09/10A·BUL16/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.550.640.910.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.940.380.881.251.00
vs Weaker (6)0.500.171.000.000.000.33
Clean sheet %45% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Astana IIAstana II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W30W00D02L12L23L06L12L00D10WA·AKA06/08H·YAS20/08H·ZHE24/08A·KAI28/08H·BUL03/09A·IGI11/09A·OKZ17/09H·KYR30/09A·TAR09/10H·SPO17/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.051.181.330.670.701.80
vs Stronger (6)0.501.831.000.670.003.00
vs Similar (15)1.270.931.500.621.001.29
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %36% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D02L20W22D21W04L11D00D21WH·OKZ23/07A·TAR30/07H·SPO06/08H·IGI20/08A·BAY27/08H·ZHE03/09A·ZHE11/09H·AKA17/09H·KAI09/10A·BUL16/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.000.820.730.911.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.691.000.620.750.751.25
vs Weaker (6)1.331.001.330.671.331.33
Clean sheet %32% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Astana IIAstana II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L41W01L01L22D10W02L11D01L12LA·AKA06/08H·YAS20/08H·ZHE24/08A·KAI28/08H·BUL03/09A·IGI11/09A·OKZ17/09H·KYR30/09A·TAR09/10H·SPO17/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.911.411.251.000.501.90
vs Stronger (6)0.671.830.671.330.672.33
vs Similar (15)0.931.331.381.000.431.71
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (6)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
OKZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
EKI wins
0
Draws
1
AI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ekibastuz vs Astana II · H/A from EKI
DateH/AGameScore
16/07/22AAstana II Vs EKI3-0

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22ABulat Vs EKI2-2
09/10/22HEKI Vs Kaisar0-2
30/09/22AYassy Turkistan Vs EKI1-2
17/09/22HEKI Vs Akademiya Ontustik2-2
11/09/22AZhetysu Vs EKI5-0
03/09/22HEKI Vs Zhenys3-2
27/08/22ABaykonur Vs EKI2-2
20/08/22HEKI Vs Igilik2-0
06/08/22HEKI Vs Sport Academy Kairat0-3
30/07/22ATaraz Karatau Vs EKI2-5

Astana IIAstana II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/22HAI Vs Sport Academy Kairat2-2
09/10/22ATaraz Karatau Vs AI1-0
30/09/22HAI Vs Kyran2-3
17/09/22AOkzhetpes Vs AI8-0
11/09/22AIgilik Vs AI3-3
03/09/22HAI Vs Bulat3-4
28/08/22AKaisar Vs AI3-0
24/08/22HAI Vs Zhetysu0-1
20/08/22HAI Vs Yassy Turkistan7-1
06/08/22AAkademiya Ontustik Vs AI5-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.43
HomeLWWDL1.27
AwayWDLWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%27%42%
AVG goals3.302.733.83
Over 1.5 %83%73%92%
Over 2.5 %70%55%83%
Over 3.5 %43%36%50%
Scored1.611.361.83
Conceded1.701.362.00
BTTS57%36%75%
Clean Sheet17%36%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Astana II
Astana II
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.00
HomeWLLLD1.46
AwayLLDLL0.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%10%
AVG goals4.353.924.90
Over 1.5 %83%85%80%
Over 2.5 %74%69%80%
Over 3.5 %57%54%60%
Scored1.872.381.20
Conceded2.481.543.70
BTTS65%77%50%
Clean Sheet9%15%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2661
73%
2.3
8022+58
3.9
88%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2113.10.8
-
2KaisarKaisar2656
65%
2.2
6026+34
3.3
88%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
3ZhetysuZhetysu2655
65%
2.1
5723+34
3.1
77%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1022.20.9
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2651
58%
2.0
6131+30
3.5
88%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.2
-
5KyranKyran2641
46%
1.6
5743+14
3.8
85%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.7
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2637
35%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
85%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
7Taraz KaratauTaraz Karatau2636
38%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
8ZhenysZhenys2635
38%
1.3
4036+4
2.9
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.51.4
-
9Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2635
38%
1.3
4854-6
3.9
81%
77%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2630
31%
1.2
4260-18
3.9
88%
88%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
11Astana IIAstana II2627
27%
1.0
5062-12
4.3
85%
77%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.4
-
12IgilikIgilik2621
23%
0.8
2770-43
3.7
73%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
13BulatBulat2617
15%
0.7
3672-36
4.2
92%
81%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.8
-
14BaykonurBaykonur267
4%
0.3
1671-55
3.3
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.7
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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