This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.63
1.07
2.75
0.94
2.50
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
2.50
1.19
2.64
1.00
2.33
1.42
vs Weaker (4)
3.50
0.25
3.50
0.50
3.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
Ekibastuz goals ↓
Kaspiy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
7.3%
7.2%
4.1%
1.7%
1
5.3%
12%
9.4%
5.3%
2.3%
2
4.2%
7.2%
6.1%
3.5%
1.5%
3
1.8%
3.1%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ekibastuz goals (down), columns = Kaspiy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ekibastuz
2.33
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.20
Yelimay Semey
2.00
Ordabasy
1.60
Turan Turkistan
1.50
SD Family
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Irtysh
1.33
Khan Tengri
1.25
Zhenys
1.25
Kaspiy
1.25
Ansat
1.01
Karshiga Almaty
1.01
BKS
1.01
Chromtau
1.01
Jelaev Nan
1.01
Jaiyq
1.01
Taraz
1.00
Akademiya Ontustik
1.00
Arys
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Zhetysu
1.00
Talas Karatau
0.50
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Jas Qyran
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
Ekibastuz is 1.08 points better than Kaspiy in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SD Family
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.67
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.40
Kaspiy
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Irtysh
1.00
Ansat
0.79
Karshiga Almaty
0.79
BKS
0.79
Chromtau
0.79
Jelaev Nan
0.79
Jaiyq
0.79
Ordabasy
0.60
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.25
Talas Karatau
0.00
Jas Qyran
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.00
Taraz
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Ekibastuz is 0.42 goals better than Kaspiy in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Taraz
0.00
Yelimay Semey
0.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Ordabasy
0.40
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.40
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Kairat Almaty
0.50
Talas Karatau
1.00
Jas Qyran
1.00
Aktobe
1.00
Kaisar
1.00
Ekibastuz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
SD Family
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Ansat
1.09
Karshiga Almaty
1.09
BKS
1.09
Chromtau
1.09
Jelaev Nan
1.09
Jaiyq
1.09
Kaspiy
1.25
Irtysh
1.67
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Atyrau
2.00
Ulytau
3.00
Ekibastuz is 0.25 goals better than Kaspiy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ekibastuz or Draw✗ Miss
54.2%
Avg Implied -
28%
26%
46%
covers Ekibastuz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz or Kaspiy✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied -
28%
26%
46%
covers Ekibastuz + Kaspiy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kaspiy✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied -
28%
26%
46%
covers Draw + Kaspiy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.9%
Under
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
Under
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.8%
Under
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.9%
Under
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
24.4%
Under
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ekibastuz, so a minus line means Ekibastuz give that many goals of a start and Kaspiy receive them. At -1, Ekibastuz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ekibastuz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ekibastuz)Actual: Kaspiy
Ekibastuz -2
4.3%
Draw -2
8.3%
Kaspiy +2
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ekibastuz)Actual: Kaspiy
Ekibastuz -1
12.6%
Draw -1
15.7%
Kaspiy +1
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ekibastuz)Actual: Kaspiy
Ekibastuz +1
54.2%
Draw +1
20.8%
Kaspiy -1
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ekibastuz)Actual: Kaspiy
Ekibastuz +2
75.1%
Draw +2
14.2%
Kaspiy -2
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ekibastuz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
1.00
0.57
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.81
0.92
0.58
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
1.19
0.38
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.58
1.14
0.43
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ekibastuz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.37
0.86
1.50
0.62
1.25
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
1.27
0.92
1.42
0.50
1.14
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.57
1.56
0.56
1.86
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.58
0.62
1.50
0.57
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.25
2.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →