PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri Result & Analysis

Date: 09/06/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 2-3
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Vs
41%
26%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ekibastuz win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri win✓ Hit
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-762W25L13L20W22D21W11D34L30W07LH·KYR05/11A·SPO06/04H·AKZ13/04A·AST21/04H·JAS28/04A·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.832.201.801.671.872.73
vs Stronger (1)0.007.00--0.007.00
vs Similar (24)1.832.211.671.922.002.50
vs Weaker (5)2.201.202.330.672.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W11D13L40W02L20W01L00D30W01LA·ARY07/04H·SPO14/04A·AKZ22/04H·AST28/04A·JAS04/05H·TAR09/05A·TUR14/05H·YAS19/05A·AKT26/05H·YEL31/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.901.400.401.401.40
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (8)1.381.001.750.251.001.75
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
Ekibastuz goals ↓
Khan Tengri goals →
01234
05.4%5.3%4.7%2.3%0.8%
16.1%12%7.8%3.8%1.4%
26.0%8.9%6.5%3.2%1.2%
33.3%4.9%3.6%1.8%0.7%
41.4%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ekibastuz goals (down), columns = Khan Tengri goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Turan Turkistan
2.46
Zhenys
2.07
Akzhayik
1.93
Kyran
1.79
Sport Academy Kairat
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.25
Arys
1.18
Yassy Turkistan
1.14
Ekibastuz
1.14
Jas Qyran
1.14
Taraz
1.11
Aktobe Jas
0.82
Akademiya Ontustik
0.75
Astana II
0.68
Ekibastuz is 0.11 points worse than Khan Tengri in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.25).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turan Turkistan
3.07
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Zhenys
2.21
Akzhayik
2.21
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Kyran
1.96
Jas Qyran
1.79
Yassy Turkistan
1.68
Taraz
1.68
Ekibastuz
1.68
Akademiya Ontustik
1.64
Arys
1.46
Khan Tengri
1.39
Aktobe Jas
1.32
Astana II
1.14
Ekibastuz is 0.29 goals better than Khan Tengri in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.39).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yelimay Semey
0.61
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Akzhayik
1.04
Zhenys
1.21
Khan Tengri
1.36
Jas Qyran
1.86
Sport Academy Kairat
1.89
Taraz
2.04
Kyran
2.04
Yassy Turkistan
2.07
Ekibastuz
2.21
Arys
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.68
Aktobe Jas
2.75
Astana II
3.04
Ekibastuz is 0.86 goals worse than Khan Tengri in terms of goals conceded per game (2.21 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W04L11D10W21W00D00D22D20W04LH·KYR05/11A·SPO06/04H·AKZ13/04A·AST21/04H·JAS28/04A·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.031.000.690.791.43
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (23)0.961.130.920.921.001.36
vs Weaker (6)0.830.171.250.000.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D11D00D01L10W01L00D20W01LA·ARY07/04H·SPO14/04A·AKZ22/04H·AST28/04A·JAS04/05H·TAR09/05A·TUR14/05H·YAS19/05A·AKT26/05H·YEL31/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.200.201.000.80
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (8)0.500.500.250.000.751.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W21W02L10W01L21W11D12L10W03LH·KYR05/11A·SPO06/04H·AKZ13/04A·AST21/04H·JAS28/04A·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.130.880.881.071.43
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (23)0.871.130.751.001.001.27
vs Weaker (6)1.500.831.250.502.001.50
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D02L40W01L10W00D00D10W00DA·ARY07/04H·SPO14/04A·AKZ22/04H·AST28/04A·JAS04/05H·TAR09/05A·TUR14/05H·YAS19/05A·AKT26/05H·YEL31/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.401.200.200.400.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (8)0.880.501.500.250.250.75
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (23)
€8m
ZHE (18)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (11)
€4m
ZHE (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (10)
€3m
ZHE (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
EKI wins
0
Draws
0
KT wins

Head-to-head

Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri · H/A from EKI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/23AYelimay Semey Vs EKI7-0
19/05/23HEKI Vs Aktobe Jas3-0
15/05/23AYassy Turkistan Vs EKI4-3
10/05/23HEKI Vs Turan Turkistan1-1
05/05/23ATaraz Vs EKI1-2
28/04/23HEKI Vs Jas Qyran2-2
21/04/23AAstana II Vs EKI0-2
13/04/23HEKI Vs Akzhayik1-3
06/04/23ASport Academy Kairat Vs EKI5-2
05/11/22HEKI Vs Kyran6-2

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/23HKT Vs Yelimay Semey0-1
26/05/23AAktobe Jas Vs KT0-3
19/05/23HKT Vs Yassy Turkistan0-0
14/05/23ATuran Turkistan Vs KT1-0
09/05/23HKT Vs Taraz2-0
04/05/23AJas Qyran Vs KT2-0
28/04/23HKT Vs Astana II4-0
22/04/23AAkzhayik Vs KT3-1
14/04/23HKT Vs Sport Academy Kairat1-1
07/04/23AArys Vs KT1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.37
HomeWLDDW1.35
AwayLWWLL1.39
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%29%39%
AVG goals3.743.244.22
Over 1.5 %89%82%94%
Over 2.5 %74%65%83%
Over 3.5 %51%47%56%
Scored1.741.761.72
Conceded2.001.472.50
BTTS60%53%67%
Clean Sheet17%29%6%
Corners---
Cards---
Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.40
HomeDWWDL1.60
AwayWLLLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.301.802.80
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %40%20%60%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.401.401.40
Conceded0.900.401.40
BTTS30%20%40%
Clean Sheet40%60%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2876
86%
2.7
7617+59
3.3
86%
68%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4032.70.6
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2869
79%
2.5
8628+58
4.1
79%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.0
-
3ZhenysZhenys2858
64%
2.1
6234+28
3.4
93%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.21.2
-
4AkzhayikAkzhayik2854
61%
1.9
6229+33
3.2
82%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5KyranKyran2850
57%
1.8
5557-2
4.0
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2835
36%
1.2
5853+5
4.0
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
7Khan TengriKhan Tengri2835
36%
1.2
3938+1
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ArysArys2833
36%
1.2
4163-22
3.7
86%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
9Jas QyranJas Qyran2832
32%
1.1
5052-2
3.6
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
10Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2832
32%
1.1
4758-11
3.8
71%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
11EkibastuzEkibastuz2832
29%
1.1
4762-15
3.9
96%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12TarazTaraz2831
32%
1.1
4757-10
3.7
89%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2823
25%
0.8
3777-40
4.1
89%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.8
-
14Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2821
18%
0.8
4675-29
4.3
93%
86%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.7
-
15Astana IIAstana II2819
21%
0.7
3285-53
4.2
100%
89%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches