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Ekibastuz vs Zhetisay Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2025
Time: 11:30
Final 0-1
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Vs
46%
25%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zhetisay
Zhetisay
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ekibastuz win✗ Miss
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay win✓ Hit
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-730W32W10W11D04L00D33D07L22D02LH·AKZ25/10H·MAQ15/03A·ALT18/03A·KHA22/03A·IRT09/04A·ALT18/04H·AKT24/04A·SPO01/05H·SHA09/05A·AKA15/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.772.471.531.202.00
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (26)1.731.692.381.541.081.85
vs Weaker (3)3.331.673.001.504.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetisayZhetisay

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W22D00D21W01L10W12L02L11DA·YAS03/10H·TAR11/10A·ARY17/10A·ALT15/03A·TAR10/04H·KAS17/04A·YAS24/04H·SD 01/05A·KHA09/05H·IRT15/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.371.931.291.251.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.421.581.781.221.101.90
vs Weaker (11)1.821.002.201.401.500.67
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.6%
Under 2.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.4%
Under 3.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
Ekibastuz goals ↓
Zhetisay goals →
01234
05.2%4.7%4.0%1.8%0.6%
16.4%11%7.1%3.3%1.1%
26.7%9.3%6.4%3.0%1.0%
34.0%5.6%3.9%1.8%0.6%
41.8%2.5%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ekibastuz goals (down), columns = Zhetisay goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kaspiy
2.62
Irtysh
2.35
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.08
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Zhetisay
1.62
Sport Academy Kairat
1.54
Akademiya Ontustik
1.50
Taraz
1.35
AKAS
1.27
Ekibastuz
1.08
SD Family
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.69
Aktobe Jas
0.52
Yassy Turkistan
0.39
Ekibastuz is 0.54 points worse than Zhetisay in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.62).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kaspiy
2.85
Irtysh
2.73
Shakhter Karagandy
2.32
Sport Academy Kairat
2.23
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.04
Zhetisay
1.69
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Taraz
1.65
AKAS
1.62
Ekibastuz
1.38
SD Family
1.27
Aktobe Jas
1.24
Khan Tengri
1.04
Yassy Turkistan
0.70
Ekibastuz is 0.31 goals worse than Zhetisay in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.69).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Irtysh
0.77
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.92
Kaspiy
1.04
Zhetisay
1.35
Shakhter Karagandy
1.36
Taraz
1.46
AKAS
1.50
Sport Academy Kairat
1.62
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Khan Tengri
2.12
Ekibastuz
2.31
Aktobe Jas
2.60
SD Family
2.88
Yassy Turkistan
3.09
Ekibastuz is 0.96 goals worse than Zhetisay in terms of goals conceded per game (2.31 vs 1.35).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D11D01L00D31W03L11D00DA·ALT17/10H·MAQ15/03A·ALT18/03A·KHA22/03A·IRT09/04A·ALT18/04H·AKT24/04A·SPO01/05H·SHA09/05A·AKA15/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.571.000.500.380.62
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.540.830.500.290.57
vs Weaker (3)2.000.672.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetisayZhetisay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D01L00D01L00D00D01L02L11DA·YAS03/10H·TAR11/10A·ARY17/10A·ALT15/03A·TAR10/04H·KAS17/04A·YAS24/04H·SD 01/05A·KHA09/05H·IRT15/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.671.070.430.560.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.791.110.330.601.20
vs Weaker (11)0.730.451.000.600.500.33
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L32W10W00D03L00D02L04L11D02LA·ALT17/10H·MAQ15/03A·ALT18/03A·KHA22/03A·IRT09/04A·ALT18/04H·AKT24/04A·SPO01/05H·SHA09/05A·AKA15/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.271.211.140.811.38
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.001.231.251.170.791.29
vs Weaker (3)1.331.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetisayZhetisay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W21W00D20W01L10W11D00D00DA·YAS03/10H·TAR11/10A·ARY17/10A·ALT15/03A·TAR10/04H·KAS17/04A·YAS24/04H·SD 01/05A·KHA09/05H·IRT15/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.860.860.690.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.790.670.890.500.70
vs Weaker (11)1.090.551.200.801.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
IRT (7)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (13)
€2m
KAS (11)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
EKI wins
0
Draws
1
ZHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ekibastuz vs Zhetisay · H/A from EKI
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/24AZhetisay Vs EKI3-2
30/05/24HEKI Vs Zhetisay2-1

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/25AAKAS Vs EKI2-0
09/05/25HEKI Vs Shakhter Karagandy2-2
01/05/25ASport Academy Kairat Vs EKI7-0
24/04/25HEKI Vs Aktobe Jas3-3
18/04/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs EKI0-0
09/04/25AIrtysh Vs EKI4-0
22/03/25AKhan Tengri Vs EKI1-1
18/03/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs EKI0-1
15/03/25HEKI Vs Maqtaaral3-2
25/10/24HEKI Vs Akzhayik3-0

ZhetisayZhetisay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/25HZHE Vs Irtysh1-1
09/05/25AKhan Tengri Vs ZHE2-0
01/05/25HZHE Vs SD Family1-2
24/04/25AYassy Turkistan Vs ZHE0-1
17/04/25HZHE Vs Kaspiy0-1
10/04/25ATaraz Vs ZHE1-2
15/03/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs ZHE0-0
17/10/24AArys Vs ZHE2-2
11/10/24HZHE Vs Taraz2-0
03/10/24AYassy Turkistan Vs ZHE1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.56
HomeWWWDD2.04
AwayDLDLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%58%31%
AVG goals3.363.753.00
Over 1.5 %88%96%81%
Over 2.5 %74%79%69%
Over 3.5 %34%46%23%
Scored1.702.251.19
Conceded1.661.501.81
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Zhetisay
Zhetisay
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.62
HomeLWLLD1.72
AwayDDWWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%43%
AVG goals2.773.112.48
Over 1.5 %74%83%67%
Over 2.5 %51%56%48%
Over 3.5 %23%33%14%
Scored1.561.941.24
Conceded1.211.171.24
BTTS51%56%48%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KaspiyKaspiy2668
85%
2.6
7427+47
3.9
88%
81%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.81.0
-
2IrtyshIrtysh2661
73%
2.3
7120+51
3.5
77%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.70.8
-
3Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2552
64%
2.1
5123+28
3.0
84%
64%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.9
-
4Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2550
60%
2.0
5834+24
3.7
96%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5ZhetisayZhetisay2642
50%
1.6
4435+9
3.0
77%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2640
46%
1.5
5842+16
3.8
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2639
46%
1.5
4444+0
3.4
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8TarazTaraz2635
38%
1.3
4338+5
3.1
88%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9AKASAKAS2633
38%
1.3
4239+3
3.1
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10EkibastuzEkibastuz2628
31%
1.1
3660-24
3.7
81%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
11SD FamilySD Family2623
27%
0.9
3375-42
4.2
85%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
12Khan TengriKhan Tengri2618
19%
0.7
2755-28
3.2
85%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2513
8%
0.5
3165-34
3.8
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
14Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan239
9%
0.4
1671-55
3.8
83%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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