Ellas Syros enter the match with a defensive edge, having conceded only 0.77 goals per game at home against teams of similar strength, while their opponents, Anagennisi Karditsas, have allowed 0.73 goals per outing on the road. The model projects a tight, low-scoring affair, with the expected total at 2.0 goals and the most probable scoreline 0-0 at 15.5%. The favourite outcome is a home win, with the probabilities of 41% for Ellas Syros, 33% for a draw and 25% for Anagennisi Karditsas. Ellas Syros average 1.38 goals scored at home, whereas Anagennisi Karditsas average 0.64 away. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Under 5.5 (98.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Under 4.5 (95.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.8%) and Home +2 handicap (91.4%). The model’s pick remains a home win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ellas Syros win
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas win
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ellas Syros
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.07
1.75
1.00
1.29
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
5.00
2.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.00
1.38
0.77
1.17
1.25
vs Weaker (4)
3.00
0.50
4.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anagennisi Karditsas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.87
1.38
1.12
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.95
1.00
1.27
1.27
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.17
2.33
0.33
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
59.5%
Under 1.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.1%
Under 2.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
13.5%
Under 3.5
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
39.4%
No
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.5%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
Ellas Syros goals ↓
Anagennisi Karditsas goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
10%
4.9%
1.3%
0.3%
1
15%
15%
5.5%
1.5%
0.3%
2
9.0%
7.4%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
3
3.4%
2.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ellas Syros goals (down), columns = Anagennisi Karditsas goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Ellas Syros is 0.10 points worse than Anagennisi Karditsas in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Ellas Syros is 0.26 goals better than Anagennisi Karditsas in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Ellas Syros is 0.11 goals worse than Anagennisi Karditsas in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 0.75).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ellas Syros or Draw
74.5%
Avg Implied -
41%
33%
25%
covers Ellas Syros + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros or Anagennisi Karditsas
66.6%
Avg Implied -
41%
33%
25%
covers Ellas Syros + Anagennisi Karditsas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Anagennisi Karditsas
58.9%
Avg Implied -
41%
33%
25%
covers Draw + Anagennisi Karditsas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5
Over
67.6%
Under
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5
Over
31.0%
Under
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 0.5
Over
56.3%
Under
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 1.5
Over
20.2%
Under
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 2.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ellas Syros, so a minus line means Ellas Syros give that many goals of a start and Anagennisi Karditsas receive them. At -1, Ellas Syros must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ellas Syros win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ellas Syros)
Ellas Syros -2
5.7%
Draw -2
12.1%
Anagennisi Karditsas +2
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ellas Syros)
Ellas Syros -1
17.8%
Draw -1
23.3%
Anagennisi Karditsas +1
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ellas Syros)
Ellas Syros +1
74.5%
Draw +1
16.8%
Anagennisi Karditsas -1
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ellas Syros)
Ellas Syros +2
91.4%
Draw +2
6.6%
Anagennisi Karditsas -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ellas Syros
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.33
0.88
0.25
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.36
0.54
0.23
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.00
3.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anagennisi Karditsas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.69
0.62
0.50
0.14
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.50
0.73
0.82
0.27
0.18
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.17
0.67
0.33
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.7%
Under 0.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.6%
Under 1.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.2%
Under 2.5
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.3%
Under
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ellas Syros
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.88
0.75
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
4.00
2.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.64
0.85
0.54
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anagennisi Karditsas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.69
0.50
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.45
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.00
1.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.0%
Under 0.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.8%
Under 1.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.1%
Under 2.5
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.4%
Under
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
37.8%
Under
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Ellas Syros's squad is €1m less valuable than Anagennisi Karditsas's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Ellas Syros and Anagennisi Karditsas have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Ellas Syros and Anagennisi Karditsas have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Ellas Syros and Anagennisi Karditsas have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Panionios
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos